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ISW Profile picture
@TheStudyofWar
Jun 4 • 4 tweets • 4 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#Donetsk Axis: #Avdiivka-Donetsk City

Russian forces on the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line continued to focus their offensive efforts on #Marinka (on the southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City) on June 3. isw.pub/UkrWar060323 ImageImage
2/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled 14 Russian ground attacks in #Marinka and near Oleksandrivka (immediately south of #Donetsk City). The Ukrainian General Staff noted that Russian forces did not conduct ground attacks near #Avdiivka.
3/ Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian forces gained some territory in northwestern #Marinka and that Russian forces will likely attempt to encircle the settlement in June.
4/ One milblogger claimed that Russian forces made limited gains north of #Avdiivka and complained that Ukrainian forces successfully constrained Russian offensive efforts west of Avdiivka near Krasnohorivka. isw.pub/UkrWar060323 Image

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More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Jun 5
ISW is committed to helping policymakers and the public understand what is occurring in #Ukraine without reporting details that would in any way compromise Ukraine’s ability to liberate its occupied lands.

Follow-up 🧵on ISW policy and what to expect from us ⬇️
2/ We will remain conservative in mapping and assessing Ukrainian advances given that control of terrain may rapidly change during mechanized operations.
3/ ISW will not compromise Ukrainian operational security or report on anything the Russians don’t already know based on our extensive and detailed study of Russian publicly available sources.
Read 6 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jun 5
Russian and Ukrainian officials are signaling the start of the Ukrainian #counteroffensive. ISW has observed increased combat activity in different sectors of the frontline and assesses that Ukrainian forces are making territorial gains despite Russian claims to the contrary.🧵⬇️
2/ The signals include Russian MoD claims that Ukrainian forces launched an unsuccessful “large-scale offensive” on June 4 & Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar’s June 5 statement that Ukrainian forces are “transferring to offensive actions” in some unspecified areas.
3/ Russian officials have historically immediately claimed that Ukrainian counter-offensives failed even when the counter-offensives ultimately succeed.
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jun 5
Southern #Ukraine:

Ukrainian forces conducted local ground attacks and reportedly made limited tactical gains in western #Donetsk Oblast and eastern #Zaporizhia Oblast on June 4. isw.pub/UkrWar060423 ImageImage
2/ Ukrainian forces continued to target frontline and rear areas in southern #Ukraine. Russian sources claimed that Russian air defenses intercepted Ukrainian missiles targeting #Berdyansk and #Melitopol on June 3. isw.pub/UkrWar060423
3/ Russian sources also claimed that Ukrainian forces struck additional areas in #Zaporizhia Oblast on June 4: near #Melitopol, northeast of Melitopol near Chernihivka, and near the frontline near Verbove and Polohy. isw.pub/UkrWar060423
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jun 5
#Kharkiv-#Luhansk Axis

Ukrainian military officials reported that Russian forces are attempting to regain the initiative on the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.

Ukrainian & Russian forces both claimed to have made limited territorial gains on the Kupyansk-Svatove line on June 4. ImageImageImageImage
2/ Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Commander Colonel General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated that Ukrainian forces successfully advanced 400 meters in an unspecified area in the Svatove direction and liberated a significant area of the Ivanivskyi forest. isw.pub/UkrWar060423 Image
3/ Russian sources claimed that Russian forces crossed the #Oskil River and seized Novomlynsk (21km NE of #Kupyansk) but noted the absence of photo or video evidence for this claimed advance. isw.pub/UkrWar060423 Image
Read 5 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jun 5
#Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin claimed on June 4 that Ukrainian forces may have regained positions in SW #Bakhmut, supporting repeated Ukrainian reports that Ukrainian forces maintain positions on the southwestern outskirts of the city. isw.pub/UkrWar060423 ImageImage
2/ #Prigozhin claimed that some unspecified reports suggest that #Ukrainian forces established observation posts in the southwestern outskirts of #Bakhmut and recommended that the #Russian forces in the city take action if these reports are true.
3/ Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar and other Ukrainian officials have continuously reported that Ukrainian forces maintain positions in the southwestern outskirts of #Bakhmut since May 20, when #Prigozhin claimed that #Wagner forces seized the entirety of the city.
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Jun 5
The dissonant Russian responses to and reporting about the limited raid in #Belgorod Oblast continue to suggest that the Russian leadership has not yet decided how to react to these limited cross-border raids into #Russia. isw.pub/UkrWar060423
2/ The contradictory reporting from official Russian sources about the situation in #Belgorod Oblast and Gladkov’s apparent personal decision to respond to the RDK and LSR suggests that the MoD and Gladkov are not coordinating their responses to the raids.
3/ ISW has previously reported that Russian officials have disproportionately responded to the limited raids into #Russia to assuage growing Russian anxiety about the war in #Ukraine while supporting ongoing info operations that aim to present the war as existential to Russia.
Read 4 tweets

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