A 🧵on #IRGC missile strikes in Iraq’s Erbil, Syria’s Edlib and Pakistan.
1/ The IRGC says they avenged last month’s terrorist attacks in Kerman and Sistan-Baluchistan, claimed by ISIL and Jaish Al-Adl.
As 🇮🇷 saw Israel behind the attacks, it states to have hit 🇮🇱 assets, too.
2/ The #IRGC fired 24 missiles to Kurdistan and Idlib.
Four medium-range Kheibar Sheken missiles flew 1,280km.
The missile is designed to reach distances as far as 1,450km.
The Idlib strike was a direct warning to #Israel that Iran’s precise missiles have reached its vicinity.
3/ Thirteen missiles fired from #Iran’s Khouzestan and Kermanshah to Jabal Al-Samak in western Idlib, Syria.
The region is said to host Tahrir Al-Sham and Turkistan Islamic Party. They allegedly train ISIL Khorasan (ISIL-K), that claimed responsibility for Kerman double blasts.
4/ Missiles that hit Kurdistan were launched from kermanshah and West Azerbaijan.
The IRGC asserts it pounded “a MOSSAD center”.
But it seems Peshraw Majid Agha Dizayee, the Kurdish businessman whose property came under fire, was killed because of his business activities.
5/ Iranian media allege “Peshraw Dizayee had ties with Mossad”.
We know his main activity was Construction.
I searched a bit more and found that OIL, NATURAL GAS and SECURITY were among his activities, too.
🚩And that brings us to the main point.👇
6/ On November 1, Iran’s leader Ali Khamenei urged regional countries to stop oil and food supplies to Israel. His call fell on deaf ears.
In late November, Raisi cancelled a trip to Turkey, bcz Tehran expected Ankara to reduce business with Israel in the shadow of war in Gaza.
7/Iranian media claim Peshraw Dizayee and dead businessman Karam Mikhail, were killed for their ties with 🇮🇱 Mossad & Dizayee provided logistical support for Mossad agents and activities in Kurdistan.
But the real reason for killing him could be his oil & gas exports to Israel.
7/ IF we consider Houthi attacks on vessels/tankers en route to Israel as part of the strategy to impose oil, gas and food boycott on Israel, then the #IRGC’s strike on Peshraw Dizayee would be meaningful in that context and a part of the broader boycott plan.
8/ Therefore, I see #IRGC’s missile strikes as an initial warning to all oil exporters, specially private companies dealing with Israel, that their assets could be the next target and anytime anywhere in this region, they might come under a sudden attack from sea, land or air.
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Analysis 1- Iran apparently used warning & encouragement to force its will on Azerbaijan by persuading Baku into changing the path of the so-called Zangezur corridor.
Azerbaijan agrees to construct part of the corridor not from the Iran-Armenia border but from inside Iran.
2- Last week a top aide to Azerbaijan president as well as Armenia’s national security advisor were in Tehran.
They were told that Iran respects Azerbaijan’s right to Nagorno-Karabakh but it also supports the right and safety of ethnic Armenians living in that region.
3- Tehran informed Baku’s special representative Khalaf Khalafov that it is ready to cooperation with Azerbaijan, give it land access to Nakhchivan. Tehran made it clear it sees Zangezur corridor as a stepping stone for NATO’s presence on its border, WILL NOT accept it to happen.
#Iran_news 1- Iranian Interior Ministry says is investigating 100+ people suspected of playing a role in girl high schoolers’ poisoning incidents. Acc. to the ministry based on investigations, some students carried out this incidents carried as they tried to shut down schools.
2- Iran’s Interior Ministry asks parents to warn their daughters not to get engaged in poisoning activities, bcz per instructions, they will be dealt with, seriously. There haven’t been reports of new poisoning cases in recent days.
1- The agreement is a “security deal” and has the blessing of leaders of both 🇮🇷and 🇸🇦: SL Ali Khamenei and King Salman (or MBS).
Iranian media describe Ali Shamkhani first as “Khamenei’s representative” then “SNSC Secretary”
2- The fact that Iranian and Saudi national security advisors -not diplomats- clinched the deal after 5-day intense talks shows they had to settle out persistent disputes. They made the ground and relayed the torch to diplomats to meet, introduce ambassadors & reopen embassies.
3- The trilateral #Iran-#SaudiArabia, #China statement insists on “the two countries’ respect for each other’s sovereignty and non-interference in internal affairs of each other”. It mentions a 2001 security deal & a 1998 agreement as the basis for cooperation.
#Iran_domestic_politics 1- Iranian conservatives -specially Majlis- welcome resumption of diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia.
Keyhan declares the deal has angered pro-West reformist factions (without providing evidence). It says both Tehran and Riyadh made concessions.
2- IRNA quotes Iran’s diplomatic mission to UN as admitting that Tehran has finalized purchase of Sukhoi fighter jets from #Russia. The mission says Iran’s intention to buy Russian jets dates back to late 1980s, reiterates 🇷🇺-🇮🇷 military cooperation not related to Ukraine war.
3- ⬆️ Despite the statement by Iran’s UN mission, some words suggest #Iran already received the Sukhoi-35s from Russia, AND Iranian pilots had training sessions during flight missions with Russian aircraft in #Syria.
A thread on poisoning of female students in #Qom, Iran 🧵
1- poisoning cases started 3 months ago, Nov 30 to be exact. They’ve reported in a dozen high schools where female students study. It’s estimated some 150 students visited hospitals, with almost half hospitalized.
2- Students who visited hospitals were complaining of headache, vomiting, chest pain, dizziness, faster then normal breathing, rapid heartbeat, low blood pressure.
The case didn’t limit to #Qom, with similar incidents reported in Brujerd, Lorestan prov, far-away from Qom.
3- Acc. to media, the poisoning cases in Brujerd took place in several female high schools, a female elementary school and (to the surprise of many!) a male high school. The number of poisoned girls in Brujerd is over 250. #Iran
#Iran_politics_news 🧵 1- Spokesman of Iran’s Atomic Energy Org. B. Kamalvandi says talks with #IAEA’s delegation and head of Department of Safeguards was “promising & constructive”. He says AEOI head Eslami officially invited DG Grossi to visit Iran in the coming days.
2- CEO of #Russia’s state-owned gas company, Gazprom, to visit #Iran Tuesday. He will hold talks with Iranian officials on oil and gas cooperation between Tehran and Moscow.
3- an Iranian lawmaker says Iran & China discussed using Iranian confiscated assets in China for constructional projects. He says “we just need funds not Chinese materials or workforce”, adding “unlike the government, Majlis opposes projects being granted to Chinese companies”.