Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #referendum

Most recents (24)

1. Is financial market pricing in some heightened Taiwan Strait war risk this week? Yes, a little. No perfect measure. With China on holiday last wk, can attribute some pop of 5-yr CDS price as caused by heighted attention, which happens around Oct with back to back national days
2. To put in context, China 5 Yr CDS value is 48.87, reveals a 0.81% implied probability of default, on a 40% recovery rate supposed. US 5 Yr CDS is 17.4, reveals a 0.29% implied probability of default. Recent increase in US mostly by the debt ceiling fight. #MintTheCoin hahaha
3. @PredictIt betting market doesn't have a Taiwan specific market, but has 3 China related contracts. Betting on who would be confirmed for next US Ambassador to China, and Pres. Xi's chance of staying as party General Secretary for next 10 years.
Read 11 tweets
#XavierBertrand souhaite "un #référendum dès l'automne pour reprendre en main la politique migratoire (sic), c'est-à-dire demander au parlement d'organiser un débat chaque année"... mais qu'est ce qui empêche le parlement de débattre de ce sujet, pas besoin de faire un referendum
Ce que propose #XavierBertrand sur l'#immigration est le type même de l'arnaque électoraliste puisque la plupart des entrées sur le territoire français ne peuvent pas être contingentées par un nombre voté au parlement puisqu'elles résultent de l'application de règles automatiques
L'application du regroupement familial ne peut pas être contingenté par le parlement, l'application du droit d'asile ne peut pas être contingenté par le parlement, les immigrés clandestins inexpulsables ne peuvent pas être contingenté par le parlement... à la fin on ne décide pas
Read 7 tweets
1/14
Le scandale du #MEDIATOR
a tellement mis en avant des pbs de conflit d’intérêt entre les organismes de l’Etat et BIGPHARMA,

que l’AFSSAPS a changé de nom et c’est nommée #ANSM

franceinter.fr/emissions/affa… Image
2/ ETATS RESPONSABLES SI COMPLICATIONS DES VAXS

ET QUI GERENT AUSSI DE LA SURVEILLANCE

La sphère publique est juge et partie.
Cela peut mener a une sous-évaluation des incidents déclarés.

ANSM= une cible pour le lobby de BigPharma. Pb / Levothyrox, Depakine, Médiator… ImageImage
3/ DES PERSONNES INFLUENTES QUI ONT DES CONFLITS D’INTÉRÊT

Des politiques influents peuvent être rémunérées par Bigpharma.
Il y a aussi des récompenses (offres de travail); ex de Monsanto.

Des « experts » Français décideurs ont des conflits d’intérêt.

marianne.net/societe/118000… Image
Read 57 tweets
Je fais partie des 5 citoyens qui avaient travaillé sur cette réforme constitutionnelle adoptée par #les150, je pense que vous imaginez la déception de beaucoup d’entre nous...

1/8 Thread ⤵️
Tout d’abord je tiens à remercier tous ceux qui ont soutenu et continuerons de défendre cette réforme ! 👍🏼👏🏼

Aujourd’hui c’est un échec et j’entends « la gauche ceci », « la droite cela », « le gouvernement ceci », alors que dans le fond TOUS les partis sont responsables

2/8
Certains parlementaires de « gauche » qui pour des raisons partisanes ont voté contre alors que de base ils la défendaient et ont appelé carrément à voter contre si le référendum avait lieu ;

3/8
Read 9 tweets
Thread by @mojos55: A polling firm linked to #Brexiteer Nigel #Farage faces scrutiny over a short-lived company that its owner used to do political work for Farage’s party and the 12 million-pound ($15.5 million) ca...… threadreaderapp.com/thread/1388436…
A polling firm linked to #Brexiteer Nigel #Farage faces scrutiny over a short-lived company that its owner used to do political work for Farage’s party and the 12 million-pound ($15.5 million) campaign he fronted to leave the European Union, according to records and interviews.
As part of a broader probe, investigators for the U.K. Information Commissioner’s Office are seeking details behind more than £186,000s in payments made by #Farage’s U.K. #Independence Party (#UKIP) to an entity established by the head of the polling firm Survation.
Read 52 tweets
Before the referendum, #Frost said #Brexit was not sustainable
NORTHERN IRELAND PROTOCOL NOT SUSTAINABLE SAYS FROST
David Frost, the man who negotiated the Northern Ireland Protocol with the European Union, now says it is not sustainable in its current form.
Lord Frost is the cabinet minister in charge of relations with the EU & who was previously the UK’s chief #Brexit negotiator.
The EU and Ireland, however, have said there is no reason to change the #Brexit divorce deal which was signed by Prime Minister Boris Johnson
and is now an international treaty
Before the referendum, Mr Frost (as he was then known) warned that #Brexit would not be sustainable.
Read 6 tweets
Britain’s #Political #Media Corruption: A Coalition of the Guilty – Byline Times bylinetimes.com/2021/04/26/bri…
From #Leveson to #Brexit, phone-hacking to #CambridgeAnalytica, Peter Jukes sees a consistent theme – parties on the run from the rule of law. And how Dominic #Cummings could end the cycle of corruption

During the current furore over leaks from Number 10,
and the apparent internecine warfare between Boris #Johnson and his former senior advisor Dominic #Cummings, one piece of information emerged which, if true, does a lot to explain the current febrile state of British politics.
According to Caroline Wheeler and Gabriel Pogrund
Read 54 tweets
A polling firm linked to #Brexiteer Nigel #Farage faces scrutiny over a short-lived company that its owner used to do political work for Farage’s party and the 12 million-pound ($15.5 million) campaign he fronted to leave the European Union, according to records and interviews.
As part of a broader probe, investigators for the U.K. Information Commissioner’s Office are seeking details behind more than £186,000s in payments made by Farage’s U.K. #Independence Party (UKIP) to an entity established by the head of the polling firm Survation.
UKIP leaders have been fighting the demand for that information, and other details related to political operations, for almost a year, including in court.
The fact that the inquiry is looking at what role Survation may have played hasn’t been previously reported.
Read 61 tweets
Kalian selalu saja membawa Kepentingan Rakyat untuk sesuatu yang melanggar Konstitusi, Demi Keselamatan Rakyat Pemerintah boleh Melanggar Konstitusi, jika wacana 3 Periode ini memang dikehendaki sebaiknya menggunakan mekanisme Referendum Nasional #Referendum #hening @asboedionoid Image
Referendum adalah suatu proses pemungutan suara rakyat untuk mengambil sebuah keputusan politik yang memengaruhi suatu negara secara keseluruhan, misalnya seperti amendemen konstitusi atau undang-undang baru, atau perubahan wilayah suatu negara #hening @asboedionoid
UU no. 5 tahun 1985 👉🏿 Bab 1, Pasal 1a : Referendum adalah kegiatan untuk meminta pendapat rakyat secara langsung mengenai setuju atau tidak setuju terhadap kehendak Majelis Permusyawaratan Rakyat untuk mengubah Undang-Undang Dasar 1945 #hening @asboedionoid
Read 19 tweets
Another Suppressed Report: Facebook and the Brexit Data Breach – Byline Times bylinetimes.com/2021/02/01/ano…
ANOTHER SUPPRESSED REPORT
Facebook & the Brexit Data Breach
Ian Lucas
Former Labour MP and Digital Culture, Media and Sport Committee member Ian Lucas
looks at diluted parliamentary oversight after two landmark reports on dirty data and dark money
The Unresolved Investigation
The Information Commissioner, Elizabeth Denham was questioned last week by the Commons’ Digital, Culture, Media and Sport (DCMS) Committee –
specifically, its Sub-Committee on Disinformation – and, thanks to dogged, well-briefed questions by particular MPs, we learned a lot.
We learned, for example, that #Facebook’s secret deal with the Information Commissioner’s Office (ICO) in October 2019
Read 41 tweets
#politiek is perceptie en illusie.

Na 1977 is NL steeds verder weggegleden van 'n #democratie. Via het neoliberaal politiek beleid maakte 'het grote geld' zich meester van onderwijs, wetenschap, media en via lobbyisme ook van de #politiek. We zitten nu in #lockdown en #avondklok
#Partijkartels op rij :

Het #FvD olv #ThierryBaudet is ook gewoon een #kartelpartij en de extreem rechtse oligarchie flank van de #vvd onder grote invloed van mastodont aller #kartelpolitiek.

H A N S W I E G E L #vvd

Motto :

Eerst paaien en dan naaien ImageImageImageImage
#PvdA - na 1977 #kartelpartij geworden en mede verantwoordelijk, sinds de weggeblazen ideologische veren via #WimKok, voor alle neoliberale wantoestanden in Nederland :

Read 31 tweets
Ma réaction au lendemain de la rencontre : Je suis habité par une grande lassitude. Il reste une évidente surdité sur de nombreux sujets alors que nous citoyens continuons à manifester une très grande maitrise des objectifs. J'attendais tellement plus d'hier qu'un referendum. ⤵️
J'ai été séduit par la forme de l'exercice. Rappelé à juste titre par @MFesneau on continue dans les domaines de l'inédit démocratique. Pas d'intermédiaire : un débat public direct de citoyen à gouvernement. L'expression des positions de part et d'autre autour d'un même objectif.
Mais depuis juin, j'ai l'impression que nous tenons à 150 l'immense digue qui est notre rapport et que chacun de nous citoyens colmatons avec nos seuls mains les différentes brèches, vague après vague. D'où ma lassitude. On tiens dans le temps mais pour combien de temps encore?
Read 13 tweets
Arnaque en vue avec le #ReferendumClimat !
➡️La charte de l'environnement de 2004 est déjà dans le bloc de constitutionnalité => #Absurdistan
➡️Le "oui" validerait le capitalisme vert i.e. une écologie de façade compatible avec le mondialisme
Manœuvre politicienne à replacer dans un contexte global:
➡️L'#ONU appelle à un "état d'urgence climatique"
➡️La "Réinitialisation environnementale" est un chapitre du #GreatReset de Klaus Schwab

Un seul #Referendum compte: #MacronDestitution 👇

europe1.fr/international/…
58 députés ou 35 sénateurs suffisent à lancer la destitution.
Stop aux diversions, à la dictature du #COVID19, à ses conséquences économiques et sociales désastreuses et anticonstitutionnelles. Signons et partageons cette pétition! #MacronDestitution
mesopinions.com/petition/polit…
Read 3 tweets
One chapter of the interim #Report on Irish unification referendums @ConUnit_UCL contains analysis of public #opinion polls & surveys in NI, GB & Ireland on the subject. 📊📈📉

Do see the report for the details & sources, but here's a snapshot...
bit.ly/3nWfRiC

1/8
There's been a narrowing of the gap in recent yrs btn pro-Union & pro-Unity responses, & an increasing proportion think a united Ireland will happen at some point.
But if a #referendum were held tomorrow in NI, the combined evidence wouldn’t point to a clear majority Yes vote
2/8 Image
Online polling shows higher support for unification than interview-based surveying, even when don’t knows are excluded. 📊

It is important to bear these methodological differences in mind in assessing this evidence. But both types have their place.

3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
Jon Danzig

ROTTEN TO THE CORE
IT’S TIME FOR THIS #GOVERNMENT TO GO
So a big, bad apple is leaving 10 Downing Street. Is it enough? No. The government is rotten to the core.
They should all go.
Dominic Cummings is the architect of the darkest, most dastardly period of politics
in Britain in living memory.
He oversaw a mendacious, unethical and fraudulent #referendum campaign, with the use of unscrupulous methods to hoodwink the nation to vote for something that was nothing more than a clever, convincing puff of lies.
He is the one who’s always lurking in the background at 10 Downing Street, craftily pulling the strings of government with Svengali, smirking, smouldering shiftiness.
He is the kind of unelected dictatorial autocrat that #Brexiteers accused the #EU of having,
Read 8 tweets
David Hencke investigates why Boris #Johnson’s Government handed out £1.7 million for #election management services without a competitive tender.
A large software company whose shareholders include #Brexiter and former #Conservative Cabinet minister Peter #Lilley
has been given a lucrative contract by the Cabinet Office without competitive tendering to revamp the management of the electoral register in extraordinary circumstances.
Though local government is in charge of the electoral register, the Government has responsibility
to contract an annual national canvas of people entitled to vote. #Idox Software Ltd, part of the worldwide Idox Group, won the £1.7 million contract for its revamp just in advance of purdah imposed by the 2019 General Election –
Read 26 tweets
Have you noticed how the people making the arguments for a hard or no-deal #Brexit aren’t formally connected, but sound similar?
And have you noticed how none of their arguments seem to be a positive thing for the #environment?
There’s one very good reason why.
All those pushing for market deregulation and for the #UK to enter into trade deals that could be catastrophic for the #climate are connected
As a new map from DeSmog shows, there is a large network of lobbyists and campaigners based out of offices in and around Westminster’s
55 Tufton Street – with ties to climate science denial on both sides of the #Atlantic – that is now calling the #Brexit shots
Tufton Street Network
The map shows around 2,000 connections between the supposedly separate groups in the network, all operating around #Tufton Street.
Read 27 tweets
@Byline times
The #UK government issued a curious press release a few days ago to announce that the former CEO of Cambridge Analytica, Alexander Nix, had been disqualified as a company director for seven years for offering “shady political services”. These included “bribery
or honey trap stings, voter disengagement campaigns, obtaining information to discredit political opponents and spreading information anonymously in political campaigns”.

Tactfully, the release didn’t mention
#CambridgeAnalytica’s key role in the #Brexit referendum campaign,
or that a sister company of Cambridge Analytica, #AIQ, was paid by #DominicCummings and Vote #Leave to target #UK voters, by placing 1.5 billion #ads on their #Facebook pages in the days leading up to the 2016 #referendum.
Read 3 tweets
-Update

#Switzerland #EU #Bern #Referendum

The Swiss have refused to limit the influx of EU and other foreigners in a referendum.

According to the first trends, 63 percent voted against the submission of the right-wing conservative SVP,
as the broadcaster SRF reported on Sunday. The margin of error was still three percent, but an assumption was no longer possible. The SVP had argued that too many people reduced the prosperity of everyone and was too expensive for social welfare.
Since 1990 the population in Switzerland has increased by around a quarter to 8.6 million.
Read 3 tweets
#Switzerland #EU #Bern #Referendum
-Threade-

The right-wing populist Swiss People's Party is again launching an initiative to limit immigration. With a referendum she wants to get out of an agreement concluded in 1999.
According to this, EU citizens can live and work freely in Switzerland. The Swiss are speaking in a referendum this Sunday on a whole range of issues ranging from a reform of the hunting law to paid paternity leave.
An initiative by the right-wing populist Swiss People's Party (@SVPch) could have serious effects on the relationship with the EU: It provides for the country to withdraw from the principle of free movement for EU citizens.
Read 17 tweets
Chi vince, chi perde. Note sparse

[1] Iniziamo dal #ReferendumCostituzionale2020. Stavolta vince il Sì e #IoHoVotatoNO.
Il Sì è stato un voto di pancia? un voto dell'antipolitica? Certamente c'è anche questo o forse soprattutto questo. Detto ciò,
>>>
[2] non bisogna nascondersi dietro un dito, dietro al fatto che sulla carta il No aveva a stento il 5% e poi ha preso il 30%. Stupidaggini. Il No ha perso in modo netto: non c'è regione, non c'è provincia dove abbia vinto o perso con margine esiguo.
>>>
[3] E quindi anche senza election day il risultato non sarebbe cambiato. Prendiamone atto e facciamo di tutto perché vengano apportate quelle modifiche (costituzionali, legislative, regolamentari) che evitino che l'esito referendario faccia danni irreparabili.
>>>
Read 55 tweets
#Italien Heute um 15 Uhr haben die Wahllokale geschlossen. Zur #Wahl stand das #Referendum zur ,Verringerung der Parlamentarier in Italiens Kammern‘ und die #Neuwahl der Regionalparlamente und #Gouverneure. Laut den ersten #Hochrechnungen wurden die #Umfragewerte (1/4)
bestätigt: 69,55% der Bürger*innen haben für das Referendum gestimmt.
Bei den Regionalwahlen haben sich die #Amtsinhaber in der Toskana, Campania, Venetien und Ligurien gegen ihre Herausforderer durchgesetzt. Spannend wird es noch in Apulien werden. Dort erhält der (2/4)
Amtsinhaber @micheleemiliano 42,77% der #Stimmen, sein Herausforderer der Mitte-rechts-Koalition, @RaffaeleFitto, 42,53%. Auch in den Marken liegt der #Kandidat der Mitte-rechts-Koalition, Francesco Acquaroli, mit 47,51% der Stimmen weit vor Maurizio Mangialardi, dem (3/4)
Read 4 tweets
Voti a livello di sezione a Torino. La divisione geografica è molto notevole: il Sì prende la metà dei voti in centro rispetto alla periferia.

#Referendum
L'affluenza ha invece una distribuzione molto più omogenea, anche se nelle zone centrali hanno votato leggermente di più.
Nota tecnica. La mappe "spalmano" i risultati delle sezioni sui vari indirizzi. Per farlo ho abbinato a ogni indirizzo la propria sezione e lo ho localizzato sulla mappa. Mancano alcune vie/corsi, ma non ho avuto tempo di finirlo (sono pochi, comunque).
Read 3 tweets
Thread: first impressions on #Italian elections and #Referendum. @jeuasommenulle @amlivemon @nglinsman
@RobertMCutler .
Of course these are tentative numbers, but apparently the Constitutional change has been passed. THIS was the key part of today's vote . (1/9)
The opposition to the change managed to reach over 40%, and above all to mount a credible threat to the Government's design to freeze the present parliament in place until its expiry, in order to ensure it will nominate the next Republic president. (2/9)
In Italy, the President is not as central as in France, but it's quite far from the largely ceremonial figure of other countries. He IS the link between the all powerful Judiciary, which is indipendent from political or democratic control, and the true levers of power. (3/9)
Read 9 tweets

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