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@misconfig_exe {🗸} Profile picture
@misconfig_exe {🗸}
@misconfig_exe
Analyst, Swing Trader, Contrarian.
MSW Profile picture Alvelon Profile picture 2 subscribed
Jan 21, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Assume in February 2020, at the height of markets before the Covid crash, you knew the crash was coming, and had the option of putting your entire portfolio into S&P 500, GOLD, SILVER, or BITCOIN.
Which one would have fared best to today? S&P 500 from pre-pandemic highs to today:
-32% 2020 crash
+107% 2020-2021 rally from bottom
+43% 2020-2021 Feb to top
-25% 2022 correction top to bottom
+18% from Feb 2020 to today Image
Apr 2, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
I wrote out a long thread on this and hit the [X] on the tab instead of the tab itself to share the conclusion, and lost my draft.
So, here's the final image without commentary
#bitcoin I'll say this. Pearson's R of ~0.95 is pretty key.
Mar 30, 2022 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
#Bitcoin and TOTAL #crypto market 1Q charts -- each candlestick is 3 Months

What does this tell us about the market? Let's dive in - following tweets.

1/9 The current 3M candle (1 day until close) is in the form of a BULLish "Long Lower Shadow".
Long shadows (wicks) especially without a wick on the opposite end (I'll touch on that) often mean trend reversal.
2/9
Dec 17, 2021 • 23 tweets • 14 min read
The #BTC 200D MA (200-day moving average of price) is an important level for understanding #Bitcoin.
I think the $BTC 2Y MA and its 5x multiple are more valuable long-term, but mid-term the 200MA is worth paying attention to.
Here's my perspective 👇[THREAD]👇 Image From #Bitcoin's introduction in 2009 until its first halving, $BTC stayed above the 200D MA period until its first bear market period. The 200D MA served as resistance, but breaking above it led to prices higher than the 200D MA breakdown the previous year, signaling new 🆙trend Image
Dec 17, 2021 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Recent Amazon Web Services issues resulted in outages for food delivery apps, as well as some internet-"enabled"™ vacuums and pet food-dispensers. This is reminiscent of Cory Doctorow's prescient story "Unauthorized Bread" which explores how the future of internet-of-things may affect society

arstechnica.com/gaming/2020/01…
Dec 15, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Not too long ago, people said that another blow-off top was inevitable for Bitcoin.
Then, people said that because so many people believed it, it was unlikely to happen.
Now, fewer and fewer people believe in a blow-off top.
Based on above logic, this makes a blow-off more likely @TechDev_52 -- in ref to some comments back and forth we've had lately
Dec 15, 2021 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
"lengthening cycles" is a contradiction in terms.
If the peak takes longer to occur then in previous cycles, that does not mean that the cycle is longer.
Just as if the last snow of winter occurs later in the year, that does not make the year longer! Some people would have you believe that "The first cycle was from 2009 to 2011" (3 years) and "The second cycle was from 2011 to 2013" (4 years) and "The fourth cycle was from 2013 to 2017" (5 years) and therefore this cycle should be longer.
Aug 5, 2021 • 12 tweets • 7 min read
(づ｡◕‿‿◕｡)づ 🌊тнє 5тн ωανє ιѕ ¢σмιηg 🌊
⤷ And the Φ #GoldenRatio Φ plays a key role 👀

The #Bitcoin bull run is missing its 5th wave.
This final push will send #BTC and the $TOTAL #cryptocurrency market into 🚀MANIA🚀 mode.

Zooms and full analysis in following tweets Image #Bitcoin bull runs are composed of ↝ 5 Waves ↝
➚ Wave 1: finds resistance at 0.618 #GoldenRatio
➘ Wave 2: finds support near #BTC halving
➚ Wave 3: breaches above 2.618 Golden Fib level
➘ Wave 4: finds support at 1.618 #GoldenRatio
➚ Wave 5: tops out multiples above Wave 4 ImageImageImageImage
Aug 4, 2021 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
Are you even ready for something like this? 🤯
#Litecoin #Bitcoin ratio - daily chart.
I've been accumulating down here since late January

$LTC #LTC #LTCBTC #BTC $BTC
#DOGE $DOGE #DOGECOIN #DOGEBTC
Aug 4, 2021 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
Just found out my #Litecoin #LTCBTC analysis was featured in @CoinChapter - thanks for linking to my tweets!

#LTC $LTC #Bitcoin #BTC #cryptocurrency #cryptonews
coinchapter.com/litecoin-ltc-l… @CoinChapter
Aug 2, 2021 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
#Litecoin tends to have two huge bursts:
Once during early #Bitcoin Bull Run year,
The second at the end of the #BTC Bull Run year.

The fractal of each cycle is remarkably similar.
Note the timing of the recovery attempts in relation to the halvings.

#LTC $LTC #LTCUSD Image When also comparing RSI and MACD, the cyclical nature of #Litecoin becomes even more apparent.
Jul 24, 2021 • 12 tweets • 9 min read
My current weekly view on #Bitcoin: potential bullish engulfing candle forming after testing the 1.618 Golden Ratio of the 2018 decline. Watch this as the weekend closes on Sunday. If proves to be a bullish engulfing, this is an indication of trend reversal
(1/?) (2/?)
Long-term logarithmic growth line intact since March '20, potential support as we move on.
Weekly resistance level at about $39k; $30-39k being the same price range we have been in since late May.
Weekly RSI remains mildly overbought and approaching a descending resistance
Jul 22, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
🚫 POLL CLOSED 🚫
- NOW -❔What was this all about❔
👇Put your best explanation below 👇 Image
Jul 22, 2021 • 19 tweets • 12 min read
Why I stacked #Bitcoin all of 2020 but started stacking #Litecoin in January 2021: 👇A thread: 👇 What is #Litecoin
#LTC was created in Oct 2011 by computer scientist Charlie Lee, an ex-Googler.
$LTC is based on Bitcoin protocol but it has a different hashing algorithm, and the total supply is capped like Bitcoin, but a higher number of total tokens (84M vs 21M).
Jul 22, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
I turn 22 in December Are you guys kidding, come on. I'm 64, I have two adult kids and my mortgage is mostly paid off.
Jul 21, 2021 • 5 tweets • 6 min read
"What is your hope for #Bitcoin - how it can impact the world?" #TheBWord #Bitcoin
@elonmusk @CathieDWood @jack
[answers below] @elonmusk @CathieDWood @jack @elonmusk "For #crypto in general, that it can improve the efficiency of the information system we call 'money'. And more power to the individual which I very much agree with."
Jul 21, 2021 • 11 tweets • 7 min read
@elonmusk : "I own #Bitcoin . @Tesla owns #Bitcoin.
@SpaceX owns Bitcoin." @Jack Dorsey
"We are still fairly early" in #Bitcoin
"I want a currency that is standard and sound - for (use on) the Internet"
Jul 21, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
It's so funny to watch people openly demonstrate their ignorance.
Just because you don't understand something, doesn't mean it's "stupid".
Humble yourself and maybe you'll learn.
If not, that's fine, there's always next cycle. Unsurprising.
Jul 21, 2021 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Some of you doubt me.
But I'm writing a book right now.
It's already in process.
I've told you how it's going to end.
We're just writing the chapters right now.
#GoldenRatio #Bitcoin @bitcoinuponly @thisisbullish
Jul 19, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Three... Two.
Jun 16, 2021 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
The "magic" of the Golden Ratio: Phi.
Every cycle, #Bitcoin recovers from its previous bear market (0 to 1.0 as marked), then exceeds the recovery by 61.8% of the downside (marked at 1.618).
EVERY CYCLE, after exceeding above 1.618 #BTC has tested this level for support before🚀 Zooms per each #BTC cycle so it's easy to see.
This #Bitcoin #YearofTheBULL is not over.
Much more to come - and the $BTC price will go much higher.