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The smartest analytics in the game. Assess players' contributions to winning, playing styles, and skill levels. Benchmarked for your league.
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May 22, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
Do we have to do this again? Yes, apparently we do....

Earth to Boehly: Why Dušan Vlahović maybe not be worth €80m to a Premier League team

1/n First off, the basics. Vlahović has a total of 13 non-penalty goals and assists in about 3,000 league minutes over two seasons at Juventus. (Juventus! In Serie A!) You don't need fancy stats to say that's not too impressive. But let's look at the fancy stats anyway....

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May 4, 2023 20 tweets 7 min read
THE BOEHLY-ERA CHELSEA MEGATHREAD

Chelsea's new owners spent more than £550m in the transfer market – what did they get, and how have the players performed?

We start at the top with Enzo Fernández. Though his attacking output is down, his numbers are similar to at Benfica:

1/n Image Next, Wesley Fofana. He has also looked good, though not quite as good as at Leicester. And playing wide in a back three tends to boost metrics (more attacking opportunities, fewer backstop defending plays):

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Jan 5, 2023 6 tweets 3 min read
THREAD: What is João Félix for?

He's now 23 and was never flagged as a smarterscout young prospect. His attacking output was decent last season (even at Atleti!), but he rarely got shots off for a striker. His finishing and skills are so-so at a Premier League standard:

1/n A big reason behind the drop in João Félix's attacking output this season has been lower shot quality. But his shots were never so great for a striker – we'd want to see something more like 0.15 to 0.20 xG per shot:

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Jan 4, 2023 8 tweets 4 min read
THREAD: Where does Enzo Fernández fit in at Chelsea?

We flagged him as a smarterscout young prospect in 2021 with Defensa y Justicia, and just two years later he's a World Cup winner heading for the Premier League. His overall stats at a PL standard are amazing:

1/n #ChelseaFC The main caution with Enzo Fernández is that his skill ratings are pretty average for the Premier League so far. But he's an aggressive player on both sides of the ball. He's a very attacking DM, involved in the majority of Benfica's goals when on the pitch:

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Aug 19, 2022 5 tweets 3 min read
A short thread on Casemiro. At age 30, he's still a very aggressive defender with high ball retention and good attacking output at a Premier League standard. But his defending quality has been dropping, and he's been relatively worse in the #UCL.

1/4 #Casemiro #MUFC #ManUtd Casemiro covers a lot of ground but stayed quite central for Real Madrid last season. He doesn't come out to cover on the flanks very often, and he rarely gets in to the box. That doesn't stop him from taking pot shots, though....

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Jun 22, 2021 7 tweets 3 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Norwich have signed forward Milot Rashica ("hra-SHEET-sa") from Werder Bremen for €11m. We've been following him since 2015 – and he hasn't been as productive lately as he was in 2018-19. Let's find out why not.

Stats at a Premier League standard:

1/x As you can see above, Rashica has played mainly as a striker for Werder Bremen, with great skill in 1v1s but declining attacking output. His style hasn't changed much, but his passing has gotten less aggressive and his dribbling has declined a little bit:

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Jun 21, 2021 4 tweets 2 min read
NETHERLANDS 🇳🇱

THREAD: Ryan Gravenberch gets the start today for the Oranje. The 19-year-old Ajax phenom and smarterscout young prospect had an amazing breakout season. Apart from aerials in open play, there's not a bad number on here. Stats at a #UCL standard: 🔥🙇‍♂️🚀

1/4 Gravenberch operated mostly on the left for Ajax, and we'll expect to see him working there in a two again today. He's got a wide range of passes but is a storming dribbler up the left channel. He takes corners from both sides, too. Multitalented, you might say...

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Oct 14, 2020 5 tweets 3 min read
🧵 THREAD: Charlie Kelman steps up!

The British-born #USMNT youth player has left Southend for QPR. Last season was tough for Southend, and Kelman didn't get on the end of many balls in the box. At 1.69m he can't do much in aerials, either. Second striker might work better.

1/4 Kelman's involvement in Southend's most dangerous moves was rather low for a central striker, though he did take decent chances on average. He was active in both channels, a bit more on the left, usually linking up the play but also dribbling on the corner of the box.

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Sep 29, 2020 5 tweets 3 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Rhian Brewster is reportedly close to a move from Liverpool to Sheffield United. At first glance, the 20-year-old's stats from last season with Swansea don't look too impressive at a Premier League standard. But read on...

1/4 #LFC #TwitterBlades #SUFC Image Brewster was involved in a surprisingly high share of Swansea's goals while on the pitch despite being part of less than 40% of its shots. One reason was his finishing, which was well above par and partly made up for his low underlying output in attack.

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Sep 29, 2020 4 tweets 1 min read
📊 COACH RATINGS 📊

We now offer ratings for head coaches in all of our 48+ leagues around the world. We measure effects on attacking and defending, style, and more.

For example, our ratings suggest Leeds United would not be in the Premier League without Marcelo Bielsa.

1/4 Here are Bielsa's average differences (per league match) in expected goals for and against versus our predicted results, given his players' performances in previous seasons:

2018-19 xGF +0.44
2019-20 xGF +0.23

2018-19 xGA -0.23
2019-20 xGA -0.27

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Sep 28, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Rúben Dias has moved from Benfica to Manchester City for €68m, @DuncanCastles reports. Here are his stats at a Premier League standard – good attacking output and ball retention, great defending quality, awesome tackler, good in the air on dead balls:

1/4 But what's really exciting about Dias is his attacking. He was involved in 45% of Benfica's goals last season, which is huge for a RCB. He generated even more ball progression expected goals from receiving as from passing, too, taking high-quality shots (and finishing them):

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Sep 26, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Leeds may be signing Utrecht's Gyrano Kerk for around €10m. He improved last season and is an average attacker by a Premier League standard, a great finisher, but his ball retention was low – he's a big dribbler who may lack skill to beat PL defenders:

1/4 Image Kerk is a rare winger (at least for the Premier League) in that he likes to dribble the ball forward from deep. He can hug the touchline or come inside and has an unpredictable mix of actions near the corner. His style at RW bears similarities to Sarr, Zaha, and Sterling.

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Sep 25, 2020 5 tweets 4 min read
🙇‍♂️ YOUNG PROSPECTS 🙇‍♂️

At smarterscout.com, we use a unique algorithm calibrated to a decade of debuts in Europe's top five leagues to spot young talent. Premium users can see the young prospect badge, and Pro users can use it to search. Here are a few from the EFL:

1/4 ImageImageImage EFL Championship:

Bryan Mbeumo – flagged 2018-19 in Ligue 2.

Already close to average in attack for the Premier League, good in the air, great tackler, amazing finisher. That's why stats-driven Brentford let him take shots like these in open play. Scores from dead balls.

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Sep 22, 2020 6 tweets 2 min read
Unpopular (and unexpected) opinion, but our stats make Frank De Boer an okay coach. Here's % confidence in positive effects given his squads:

Crystal Palace
xGF 69%
xGA 57%

Atlanta United
xGF 39%
xGA 95%

Explanation of what's behind these numbers:
smarterscout.com/articles/premi…

1/3 So De Boer probably has little effect on attacking either way but may improve a club's defending. It's notable that he was unlucky at Palace, where his squad created close to 5 xGF and didn't score. These metrics gauging just one aspect of his coaching ability, though.

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Sep 22, 2020 5 tweets 3 min read
🧵 THREAD: What's happened to Gyasi Zardes?

Zardes has scored 10 goals in just over 1,000' this year in MLS. Yet all of his overall ratings are basically the same as last season... and fairly mediocre... except for his finishing:

1/4 #Crew96 #MLS #Zardes #USMNT Image Zardes's shot quality is the same, on average, as last season, but his conversion rate is through the roof. We think some of it is sustainable, though probably not all, since these numbers are just wacky (in a Zardes kind of way):

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Sep 20, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Nelson Semedo may go from Barcelona to Wolves. At RB, he's lately been a great defender, great in duels, with awesome ball retention as you'd expect. But he's never been a strong attacker, which could be an issue if he has to play further up at RM/RWB.

1/3 Image To explain why Semedo's attacking output isn't higher, we can look at his smartermap. He didn't get many touches close to the box at Barça, and his passing was fairly timid in the attacking half. It's been tough to fill those size 43 Dani Alves boots.

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Sep 15, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Spurs may be close to signing Sergio Reguilón from Real Madrid. He had great overall numbers by a Premier League standard last season at Sevilla, improving his attacking and defending. Very good in the air in open play, but mediocre in ground duels: 🔥

1/4 Image Reguilón was involved in almost half of Sevilla's most productive moves last season, which is quite good for a LB, and another improvement from the previous season:

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Sep 15, 2020 6 tweets 3 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Bertrand Traoré is reportedly close to moving from Lyon to Aston Villa for €19m. At RW last season he was average in attack by a Premier League standard, with excellent ball retention, outstanding as a defender, very good in the air as well. Read on...

1/5 Image Traoré's role changed a lot between 2018-19 and 2019-20. Have a look at his smartermaps for those two seasons at RW. He shifted from short passes further back on the pitch to longer passes, more dribbles in and near the area, and more shots in the box, raising his output:

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Sep 14, 2020 10 tweets 3 min read
Just a quick thread to say thank you to some of the people who have been sharing our work and using our content in interesting ways. We appreciate it!

First up:

From our friends following the Primeira Liga:

Sep 14, 2020 5 tweets 2 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Marcos Acuña has moved from Sporting to Sevilla for €10m. He's almost 29, but that's not a bad price for a guy with these numbers at a La Liga standard. Huge attacking output, good defending, excellent both ways in ground duels, awesome finisher: 🔥

1/4 Image Acuña is an excellent crosser who can make long passes from anywhere along the flank. He can also take corners and free kicks from both sides, as his smartermap shows:

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Sep 13, 2020 4 tweets 2 min read
🚨 TRANSFER ALERT 🚨

Lazio have paid €18m to Fenerbahçe for Vedat Muriqi. The Kosovar striker is utterly dominant in the air at a Serie A standard but has average attacking output. He's an aggressive defender with subpar ball retention and a weak finisher. But read on....

1/4 Image As his smartermap shows, Muriqi gets a ton of shots in the box. But he also looks for short passes on either side of the penalty spot, so he can create as well as score, especially working with a partner.

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