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There is much talk about the so-called “Big Six” pulling away from the rest of the Premier League financially, but is this actually true? This thread looks at this question from the perspective of revenue, wages and total player costs #AFC #CFC #LFC #MCFC #MUFC #THFC
For the purpose of this analysis, we will take the 7th highest club in terms of revenue and wages for each season between 2010 and 2018. This means that the 7th placed club is not always the same. For example, for the last 4 seasons’ revenue this was #EFC, #LCFC, #WHUFC & #NUFC.
The highest revenue in the 2018 Premier League was #MUFC £590m, followed by #MCFC £503m, #LFC £455m, #CFC £448m, #AFC £389m, #THFC £379m and #EFC £189m. The highest growth since 2010 came at #MCFC with £378m (or 300%).
Read 20 tweets
Earlier this year it was widely reported that Arsenal would only have a £45m transfer budget this summer, after failing to qualify for the Champions League, but the club has actually splashed out well over £100m. This thread explains how this was possible #AFC
In fairness to the club, they never agreed with the low budget figure. #AFC managing director Vinai Venkatesham explained, “The number never came from us. We never ever, ever talk about how much money we have to spend, because that’s the least helpful thing you can do.”
First, let’s take a look at #AFC player purchases of £143m (including £8m add-ons). This comprises club record acquisition Nicolas Pépé £72m plus William Saliba £27m, Kieran Tierney £25m, David Luiz £8m, Gabriel Martinelli £6m and Dani Ceballos (loan fee) £5m.
Read 30 tweets
Official: #MUFC 2019/20 Squad Numbers:

1: David De Gea
2: Victor Lindelof
3: Eric Bailly
4: Phil Jones
5: Harry Maguire
6: Paul Pogba
7: Alexis Sanchez
8: Juan Mata
9: Anthony Martial 
10: Marcus Rashford
12: Chris Smalling
13: Lee Grant
14: Jesse Lingard
15: Andreas Pereira
16: Marcos Rojo
17: Fred
18: Ashley Young
20: Diogo Dalot
21: Daniel James 
22: Sergio Romero
23: Luke Shaw
24: Tim Fosu-Mensah
26: Mason Greenwood 
28: Angel Gomes 
29: Aaron Wan-Bissaka
31: Nemanja Matic
36: Matteo Darmian
37: James Garner 
38: Axel Tuanzebe
39: Scott McTominay
40: Joel Pereira
44: Tahith Chong
Read 3 tweets
Football is finally back. Premier League Predictions thread: #PL
20. Steve Bruce is just such an underwhelming appointment. ASM and Joelinton have a lot of potential but relying on them this early in their PL careers seems a risk. If Newcastle do stay up, I have a feeling they’ll get Arab owners soon. The fans would deserve it. #NUFC
19 Crystal Palace. Without Batshuayi and AWB a gaping hole in the team has been left. Relying on a Ayew and Camarasa (he’s decent) isn’t the brightest decision. What kind of mood will Zaha be in? This and Hodgsons experience may be the last hope for Palace. #CPFC
Read 22 tweets
In preparation for the upcoming 2018/19 Premier League season, I thought that it might be interesting to look at the transfer spend over the last decade, including the growing impact on debt. The analysis is split between 3 periods: last 3 years, last 5 years and last 10 years.
The transfer fees spend is taken from the clubs’ cash flow statements, as this is the only completely accurate source of data. However, it is worth noting that this does not always represent the full cost of transfers, due to the (increasing) use of stage payments.
In the very few cases where a cash flow statement was not available, e.g. if a club only published abbreviated accounts while they were in lower leagues, I have taken data for those years from the Transfermarkt website.
Read 24 tweets
THREAD:

How Manchester United should conduct their summer business to become a top team once again.

This thread will look at how Manchester United should continue their business this summer, as well as what they should target next summer to improve our Club.

#mufc
Clarification:

This thread how I personally think Manchester United should function in the transfer market.

I have taken into account account that we The Glazers as our owners and Ed Woodward as our CEO therefore have tried to make it as realistic as possible.

Now, let’s begin
2019/2020 summer window:

In:
James - £15 million
Wan-Bissaka - £47 mil
Maguire - £80 mil
Fernandes ~ £50 mil

Out:
Valencia - Free
Herrera - Free
Rojo - £15 mil
Darmian - £10 mil
TFM - £5 mil
Joel Pereira - £5 mil

Net Spend = £160 million

Loan:
Henderson
Tuanzebe
Gomes
Chong
Read 11 tweets
As the 2018/19 Premier League season approaches, I thought that it might be interesting to look at the impact of the new three-year TV deal on clubs’ revenue, particularly the changes in the distribution system for the overseas TV deals. Some thoughts in the following thread.
As a reminder, in 2018/19 each club received equal shares for 50% of domestic TV £34m, overseas TV £43m and commercial income £5m. Each league position was worth £1.9m (merit payment), while each match broadcast live was worth £1.1m (on top of £12.2m for a minimum of 10 games).
Therefore, each club received a total of £82m from equal payments with the only differences in Premier League TV distribution due to: (a) league position, ranging from #MCFC £38m to #HTAFC £2m; (b) live TV games, from #LFC £33m to £12m for #AFCB, #HTAFC, #SaintsFC and Watford.
Read 26 tweets
As Arsenal fans nervously await the outcome of this summer’s transfer window, I thought it might be interesting to look at why the club is facing more financial challenges these days. Some thoughts in the following thread #afcb
On the face of it, #AFC are doing fine, having reported profits for 16 consecutive years, adding up to a grand total of £393m, averaging £25m a year. Furthermore, Arsenal’s profits in the last two years were a healthy £70m in 2017/18 and £45m in 2016/17.
In fact, #AFC £70m profit before tax in 2017/18 (the most recent published accounts) was actually the fifth highest ever registered in the Premier League, though it is worth noting that this was comfortably surpassed by two rivals that season: #THFC £139m and #LFC £125m.
Read 40 tweets
THREAD: A thread on why #GlazersOut is happening and why every Manchester United fan should be concerned.

Signing Wan-Bissaka doesn't change anything. Signing Messi wouldn't. This is much, much bigger than some realise - and the transfer market is the least of our worries.
CURRENT DEBT: £496m

As per the latest 2019 accounts, Manchester United's current debt stands at £496m. In 2005, The Glazer's leveraged buyout saddled the club with £540m of debt, meaning that the debt has been reduced by just £44m in 14 years.

#GlazersOut
TOTAL INTEREST PAID: £768m

In interest alone, Manchester United have spent £768m, essentially just to service the debt that The Glazers placed on the club. This doesn't include any fees United have incurred to restructure the debt over the years.

#GlazersOut
Read 26 tweets
After Saturday’s final, the estimates for this season’s Champions League revenue for Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur can be updated. We can also look at the incredible amounts of TV income earned by English clubs in 2018/19. Some analysis in the following thread #LFC #THFC
#LFC earned an additional €4m for winning the competition (for the sixth time), bringing their total to €111m (£98m), while #THFC remain at €102m (£90m). As a reminder, #MUFC and #MCFC received €93m (£83m) and €93m (82m) respectively.
#LFC 2018/19 Champions League revenue of €111m (£98m) is €30m (£26m) higher than €81m (£72m) they earned in 2017/18, having won the trophy against “only” reaching the final. It includes: participation €15.3m, prize money €60.0m, UEFA coefficient €23.3m & TV pool €12.7m.
Read 16 tweets
After last night’s Europa League final, the estimates for this season’s Europa League revenue for Arsenal and Chelsea can be updated #CFC earned an additional €4m for winning the competition, bringing their total to €44m (£39m), while #AFC remain at €36m (£32m).
However, #CFC 2018/19 Europa League revenue of €44m (£39m) is €21m (£19m) lower than the €65m (£58m) they earned in the 2017/18 Champions League. It includes: participation €2.9m, prize money €18.3m, UEFA coefficient €3.4m & TV pool €19.1m.
Despite reaching the final, #AFC 2018/19 revenue of €36m (£32m) is €2m (£1m) lower than the €38m (£33m) they earned for getting to the semi-final in 2017/18. It includes: participation €2.9m, prize money €14.3m, UEFA coefficient €3.4m and TV pool €15.6m.
Read 9 tweets
*REALISTIC* #MUFC Lineup 2019/20 Thread:

🧤 de Gea Out
©️ Pogba Captain
☄️ Rashford Main Striker

All Likes & RTs appreciated!
GK: Sergio Romero

In de Gea's absence, the Argentina No. 1 has always performed remarkably, keeping 32 clean sheets in 48 games for United. If the Spainiard shot stopped does go, Romero is more than capable of filling his gloves.
LB: Luke Shaw

Winner of the Man Utd Players' Player of the Year and the illustrious Sir Matt Busby Player of the Year last season, Shaw has silenced the critics and become one of the first names on the team sheet.
Read 28 tweets
#RealMadrid are the most valuable football club in Europe according to The European Elite 19 report, prepared by KPMG. The Whites have a value of €3,224 million, ahead of #ManchesterUnited (€3,207m), #Bayern (€2,696m), #FCBarcelona (€2,767m) and #ManCity (€2,460m) #SportsBiz
The Premier League has confirmed its absolute dominance, having nine clubs on the full list (32 clubs) and accounting for 43% of the total aggregate value. The overall EV of the 32 most prominent European football clubs has increased by 9% (an impressive 35% over the past 3 yrs)
Los Blancos jumped above €3bn EV level for the first time, the only club to do this alongside the Red Devils, however, the Spanish giants' current EV is still lower than the #MUFC's was last year. Similarly, the Bavarians' current value is lower than the Blaugrana's in 2018
Read 7 tweets
The Premier League has published its TV revenue for the 2018/19 season, ranging from £97m for #HTAFC to £152m for #LFC, who earned more than league winners #MCFC £151m, due to more matches broadcast live. Some thoughts in the following thread.
Each club receives equal shares for 50% of domestic TV £34.4m, overseas TV £43.2m and commercial income £5.0m. Each league position is worth £1.9m (merit payment), while each match broadcast live is worth £1.1m (on top of £12.2m for a minimum of 10 games).
#LFC Premier League TV money increased by £6.5m from £145.9m to £152.4m in 2018/19, due to a £3.6m higher merit payment (for finishing 2nd, compared to 4th the previous season) and £2.4m more from overseas TV deals. Benefited from most live TV games: 29 vs. #MCFC 26.
Read 14 tweets
This week marks the beginning of ten days of shameless @ManUtd nostalgia as it's 20 years since #Treble99. It was the best ten days of my life (sorry kids) and I was at all three games even though I shouldn't have made it to any of them. Allow me a short thread to reminisce... /1
First up was Spurs at Old Trafford to win the league. I had a ticket but I also had a friend's wedding in London. A friend I'd known for 15 years and spent my year off with. No contest really. Not sure the friendship ever recovered but here's my programme from the match /2
Old Trafford was more nervous than I can ever remember. Bear in mind at that point we'd won nothing that season and Arsenal were formidable champions. Never mind the treble, a lot of United fans would have settled for just getting the title back /3
Read 17 tweets
Last week I estimated how much English clubs would earn from the 2018/19 Champions League. Today I take a look at this season’s Europa League revenue for Arsenal and Chelsea #AFC #CFC
Although total Europa League revenue has significantly increased (by 40%) in 2018/19, two points are worth noting: (a) this is lower than the 54% Champions League increase; (b) the impact of the new UEFA coefficient (though only 15% of total distribution, compared to 30% in CL).
As a result, both #AFC and #CFC are estimated to earn less than last year. #CFC is obvious, as they were in the Champions League in 2017/18, but #AFC is due to the impact of UEFA coefficient & TV pool. As it stands (prior year in brackets):

#AFC €36m (€38m)
#CFC €40m (€65m)
Read 16 tweets
Following their incredible exploits this week, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur have reached the Champions League final, so we can now update our estimate of how much English clubs will earn from the 2018/19 competition #LFC #THFC #MCFC #MUFC
Due to the significant increase (around 50%) in Champions League revenue in 2018/19, all English clubs will earn much more than prior season (2017/18 comparatives in brackets). As it stands:

#LFC €107m (€81m)
#THFC €102m (€61m)
#MCFC €93m (€64m)
#MUFC €93m (€40m)
#LFC Champions League revenue is €107m for reaching the final, up from €81m last season.

Includes: participation €15m, prize money €56m, UEFA coefficient €23m and TV pool €13m.

If they win the final, they will earn an additional €4m, bringing their total to €111m.
Read 11 tweets
Swansea City’s 2017/18 financial results covered a “difficult” season when they finished 18th, so were relegated to the Championship after 7 consecutive years in the Premier League. They had 3 managers: Paul Clement, Carlos Carvahal and Graham Potter. Some thoughts follow #Swans
#Swans made a loss before tax of £3.2m, compared to a prior year profit of £13.4m, representing a £16.6m deterioration, as revenue fell £1m from £128m to £127m, though profit on player sales was up £9m to £46m. After tax, the club went from a £13.0m profit to a £2.9m loss.
#Swans £1m revenue fall was very largely driven by broadcasting’s £4.7m (4%) decrease from £109.4m to £104.7m, due to less prize money for a lower league position. In contrast, commercial rose £3.8m (35%) from £10.7m to £14.5m, while match day was flat at £7.4m.
Read 44 tweets
Speaking of memories...

*John O'Shea once did a nutmeg against Real Madrid in the @ChampionsLeague, pass it on*
@ChampionsLeague Pass from Scholesy = 👌
Finish past Almunia = 🍟
Celebration from Sheasy = 😲
@ChampionsLeague versatile
/ˈvəːsətʌɪl/
adjective

1. able to adapt or be adapted to many different functions or activities

🗓️ See: Sheasy v Spurs, 2007
Read 5 tweets
Now that we have reached the semi-final stage of the 2018/19 Champions League, we can estimate how much English clubs will earn from this competition. This is not completely straightforward, due to changes in the distribution method, but let’s have a go in the following thread.
First of all, the total amount distributed to clubs in the 2018/19 Champions League has increased by 54% (€681m) from €1.269 bln to €1.950 bln. This is now split: participation €488m (25%), performance €585m (30%), TV pool €292m (15%) and coefficient rankings €585m (30%).
In 2018/19 each of the 32 clubs that qualified for the Champions League group stage get €15.25m plus €2.7m for a win & €900k for a draw. Additional prize money for each further stage reached: last 16 €9.5m, quarter-final €10.5m, semi-final €12m, final €15m & winners €19m.
Read 21 tweets
Newcastle United’s 2017/18 financial results reflect their promotion after a single season in the Championship. Managing director Lee Charnley said, “A 10th placed finish in our first season back in the Premier League was a fantastic achievement.” Some thoughts follow #nufc
#NUFC promotion brought the club back to “a healthy financial position”, moving from £47m loss before tax to £23m profit, as revenue more than doubled from £86m to a record £178m and no repeat of prior year £32m exceptional costs: £10m promotion bonus & £22m onerous contracts.
#NUFC £93m revenue growth very largely driven by broadcasting’s £79m increase to £126m, reflecting vastly higher TV money in the Premier League, while commercial also increased £13m (90%) to £28m, but match day flat at £24m. However, profit on player sales dropped £39m to £4m.
Read 48 tweets
Crystal Palace’s 2017/18 financial results covered their 5th consecutive season in the Premier League, when they finished “in a very creditable” 11th place. Roy Hodgson replaced Frank De Boer as manager in September 2017. Some thoughts in the following thread #CPFC
#CPFC posted a £35.5m loss before tax, compared to an £11.8m profit the prior year, mainly due to profit on player sales falling £32m to just £2m, though revenue grew £7.6m (5%) from £142.7m to a club record £150.3m. Loss after tax was £33.4m, thanks to a £2.1m tax credit.
#CPFC £8m revenue growth was very largely driven by broadcasting’s £4m (4%) increase from £117m to £121m, mainly due to increased prize money for finishing 11th, while commercial also increased £3.1m (21%) from £15.2m to £18.3m and match day was up £0.3m (2%) to £10.9m.
Read 38 tweets
As the Champions League and Europa League reach the quarter-final stage, I took a quick look at the latest available revenue and wages data for those clubs still in the competition. Some brief comparisons in the following thread.
Three clubs in the Champions League quarter-finals have over half a billion pounds revenue, led by Barcelona £612m, followed by the two Manchester clubs, #MUFC £590m and #MCFC £500m. Other English clubs: #LFC £455m and #THFC £379m. Lowest revenue by far at Ajax £81m & Porto £94m.
Barcelona £431m have by far the highest wage bill (even after excluding other sports), followed by #MUFC £296m. #LFC £264m and #MCFC £260m are closely matched, way ahead of the other English club #THFC £148m. Porto and Ajax only £75m and £47m respectively.
Read 6 tweets
Tottenham Hotspur’s 2017/18 financial results covered a season when they finished 3rd in the Premier League and reached the last 16 of the Champions League and the FA Cup semi-finals. Home games played at Wembley, while new stadium was being developed. Some thoughts follow #THFC
#THFC profit before tax improved by £87m from £52m to £139m, as revenue rose by £71m (23%) to £381m and profit on player sales was up £33m to £73m. New club records for both revenue and profit. Profit after tax “only” increased by £77m from £36m to £113m.
All three #THFC revenue streams increased: commercial rose £33m (43%) from £76m to £109m; match day was up £26m (57%) from £45m to £71m, due to the larger capacity at Wembley; while broadcasting was £13m (7%) higher at £201m, due to advancing further in the Champions League.
Read 47 tweets

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