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Jul 18
Roger Froikin @rlefraim wrote, "A good friend of mine was a victim of scammers who hacked into his bank account and stole $14,000 plus.

But worse than that, when he was automatically notified, he called the bank and they simply sat there,
1)
@rlefraim watching the funds transfer to an account 3000 miles away and refused to do anything to stop it, and later refused to do anything to get the money back or reimburse the rightful account holder.

What bank?

Truist
2)
@rlefraim Based in Charlotte, NC, Truist is what was BB&T and SunTrust Banks.

In this case, Truist was, in my opinion, negligent, their negligence caused a small business to be in a lot of financial trouble, and Truist made it very clear that they did not care,
3)
Read 8 tweets
Jul 18
Roger Froikin @rlefraim wrote, "People have asked me who supports Candice Owens and her antisemitism.

Well, here is a short list of some:

Who supports Candice Owens???
1)
@rlefraim PureTalk: A wireless service provider that advertises on her podcast.

Balance of Nature: A supplement company offering discounts via her promo code.

American Financing: A mortgage lender she explicitly endorses.
2)
@rlefraim Nimi Skincare: A skincare brand that features a "Candace’s Favorites" line.

PDS Debt: A financial service offering debt assessment programs.

Tax Network USA: A tax resolution service she promotes.
3)
Read 5 tweets
Jul 18
Roger Froikin @rlefraim wrote, "Antisemitism, anti-Israelism, four examples and what it can mean

I have picked three examples that illustrate what is wrong and what needs a response.
1)
@rlefraim A. Jennifer Lawrence being interviewed, claiming that Israel is savage and depraived and committing Genocide against the Arab peoples, and no one objects, As there is no genocide by Israels and the only murders were done by Hamas, ...
2)
@rlefraim Jennifer Lawrence is either misinformed or she is a pro-Hamas antisemite.

B. Piers Morgan having a TV discussion in which people are claiming that Jewish settlers are illegal and need to be removed based on the Geneva Conventions — and no one objects.
3)
Read 16 tweets
Jul 18
Well I was going to yesterday but I just can't get myself to go anymore so I might go tonight I might go tomorrow I'll go whenever the mood arises if not then I don't go anymore shit happens and the you fucking die so who cares..... Anyways goodnight going back to sleep 👋
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP

@ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242
@SurreyRCMP @surreyps @LangleyRCMP @ChrisPentecos @Donaldnnicm @LangleyResident @BarbaraDoduk @Cdnwatcher @Istandtoreason @facepalmchris @trustednerd @felixcruggins @CultureGuard @WaxMyBallsShow @FranLa9 @kfurneaux20 @VernThurston @JonYaniv @JNonsense46242 @threadreaderapp unroll
Read 3 tweets
Jul 18
Roger Froikin @rlefraim wrote, "I've been watching a long time, watching which of the many, many online publications, of those quoted as truth by the mainstream media worldwide, are ever right about what they say.
1)
@rlefraim Axios, Politico, Politicos, Huffington Post—I have found they rarely are correct with their facts and predictions. If they would simply flip a coin, they would do better. On the average, their editorial content tends to be wrong more than 85% of the time by my count.
2)
@rlefraim And perhaps one might add the Guardian and the New York Times, both of which seem to spend so much time and effort opposing Donald Trump and Netanyahu as to have lost all credibility for any thinking persons.
3)
Read 5 tweets
Jul 18
Why do I say Reta will subtract longevity from humans and disagree with Morse?

1. The Nocturnal vs. Diurnal Disconnect

The Baseline: Rodents (nocturnal) and humans (diurnal) have completely inverted circadian clocks governing metabolism, nutrient intake, and cellular repair.Stem Cell Vulnerability: Human stem cell niches rely on strict circadian gating to time replication and DNA repair.

The Problem: If a drug blunts or alters a pathway that protects stem cells from exhaustion, humans are exposed during their active/inactive phases differently than rodents.

The Consequence: Forcing a diurnal system into a non-gated metabolic state could accelerate stem cell depletion or dysfunction significantly faster than seen in nocturnal animal models.

2. Replacing Native Pulses with Constant Signals

Natural States: Endogenous GLP-1, GIP, and glucagon are highly pulsatile. They spike rapidly in response to nutrients and drop just as quickly.

The Retatrutide Shift: Retatrutide provides 24/7, high-affinity, continuous activation of all three receptors.

Systemic Downregulation: Biology relies on pauses to reset receptor sensitivity. Constant, unyielding agonism eliminates the natural "resting" state of these pathways.

3. The Danger of "Non-Identical" Signals

Altered Biasing: Retatrutide is not a perfect replica of native hormones; it is engineered with specific structural modifications to extend half-life and alter receptor affinity balances.

Downstream Repercussions: By binding non-identically and permanently, it can trigger alternative intracellular signaling cascades (biased agonism) that bypass the body's natural negative feedback loops.

The Ultimate Risk: Without circadian gating or pulsatile resets, the system faces chronic metabolic stress, potentially leading to accelerated cellular aging, organ-specific stem cell burnout, or irreversible receptor desensitization once the drug is withdrawn.

Then there is the Blau study that showed stem cells are DESTROYED by these drugs.

My first-principles bridge is entirely consistent with the biological trajectory: human muscle stem cells face a significantly higher risk of accelerated exhaustion under these conditions than nocturnal rodent models.

The newly published data from the Stanford University Blau Lab demonstrates a direct, drug-specific impairment of muscle stem cells (MuSCs) caused by semaglutide. When you layer my previous point regarding circadian gating, constant signaling, and human diurnal physiology onto this new mechanism, the risk profile amplifies dramatically in humans. So Dr. Morse is wrong because he never took any of these things into account. His patients should be aware he sells half truths to them before trusting his centralized Rockefeller medicine inspired advice.Image
2. The First-Principles Compounding Effect

Applying my deductive framework to this specific 15-PGDH / PGE2 pathway reveals why human outcomes could be considerably worse: Why?

The Rodent Reality: Mice have a vastly higher baseline metabolic rate and an incredibly robust, rapid tissue-regeneration capacity compared to humans.

The Circadian Buffer: Because mice are active at night, their natural cyclical spikes in muscle repair and stem cell activation match their evolutionary clock. Even when blunted by a drug, their hyper-efficient baseline repair mechanisms shield them from total regenerative collapse under steady-state conditions.

The Human Penalty: Humans lack this rapid baseline turnover. If human MuSCs are forced into a state of continuous, non-circadian-gated suppression by a 24/7 long-acting agonist, the body cannot easily compensate. The result is a much faster slide into irreversible stem cell senescence and lose longevity.Image
3. Chronic Suppression vs. The 15-PGDH Gerozyme

The Mechanism: The data shows that semaglutide compromises MuSC function, resulting in a failed regenerative response after injury (dropping to a staggering 8% efficiency in mice).

The Aging Acceleration: In humans, the enzyme 15-PGDH (the "gerozyme") naturally rises with age, progressively degrading the PGE2 repair signal and wasting muscle.

The Compounding Crisis: If a long-acting incretin drug inherently suppresses stem cell function, it acts as a chemical accelerator of the aging process. In an adult human who already has elevated gerozyme levels, adding a drug that independently cripples stem cell mechanics creates a dual-pronged assault on muscle architecture. This is why Reta will destroy longevity in users.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 18
Yen Carry Trade

The unwind is guaranteed to happen because there is no alternative (TINA always wins).

What is important to remember is not the amount Japanese Government Entities have on, but how much others riding along do. That includes pension funds and HFs.

1/
If you are tagging along with a whale, you want to be sure to let go when it’s about to turn or you’re going to end up getting squished.

Look for the free riders to start bailing.

2/
The Japanese are facing significant pressure from Bessent & Trump to not pull the plug which is why they haven’t already done so, but they are out of time and options. At most they can limp along for a few more months but that’s it.

3/
Read 4 tweets
Jul 18
We have patent pending solutions

#GAPol @KeishaBottoms and @RickJacksonGA

This solves many voting rights, voting integrity, and voting security issues.

Contact the organizing line

6782337061

Or visit our sub community to learn more

ChristianPeaceBuilding.com/BLMImage
We need to know if what you all can do to get us those contracts

If black and other heritages have designed better tech, out of merit we deserve the money to fulfill services right?

Black Silicon Valley maybe? Or just Silicon Valley east? Make call — we will handle the rest !
@threadreaderapp “unroll”
@bluestein @TheMelaninPRJCT @ajconwashington @MurphyAJC
Read 3 tweets
Jul 18
10 biographies you should read this year:

1) Titan: The Life of John D. Rockefeller by Ron Chernow Image
2) Skunk Works by Ben Rich Image
3) A Man for All Markets by Edward O. Thorp Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 18
Similar to DeepSeek in January 2025, Panicans may think that the AI networking switch TAM will massively shrink because Kimi K3 uses KDA Attention, which reduces KV-transfer networking bandwidth by up to 10x. But the opposite is true, as we explain below. 👇️ 1/8🧵 Image
While it is true that Kimi K3 uses Kimi Delta Linear Attention (KDA) in 3 out of every 4 layers and that KDA reduces KV-cache transfer bandwidth by up to 10x compared with comparable full global-attention models, the important missing piece is that Kimi K3 requires WideEP to serve. 2/8🧵Image
Because Kimi K3 has 2.8 trillion parameters, even at MXFP4, each forward pass will require 1.5 TB of HBM bandwidth. This means that, even with spec decode, serving it profitably at a reasonable level of interactivity requires aggregating many chips together over a high-bandwidth network, such as the GB300 NVL72. 3/8🧵
Read 8 tweets
Jul 18
$88 Brent. SPR at 40-year low. Persian Gulf flows down 13.4mb/d in a single week.

The oil market just woke up to a problem it can’t ignore anymore.

Here’s what’s actually happening:
Let that sink in:

U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve = 316.5M barrels
Lowest since APRIL 1983.

That’s your buffer. That’s what protects the global economy from supply shocks.

It’s almost gone.
Pre-war Saudi Arabia exported 20mb/d through Hormuz alone.

Current Persian Gulf flows? Down 13.4mb/d in the last week.

You can’t backfill that overnight. And you sure as hell can’t do it with 316.5M barrels sitting in salt caverns.
Read 7 tweets
Jul 18
We should have listened.

By @meisburger

(1/2)

What if we applied the principles of election integrity we expect from other countries to the United States?

The U.S. government spends about $2.4 billion per year supporting democracy around the world. Through this support we aim to encourage adoption and compliance with internationally accepted principles and obligations for democratic elections and governance. These principles and obligations are grounded in Article 21 of the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and Article 25 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights, and are included and elaborated on in regional treaties and agreements.

Grounded in this foundation, advocates of democracy have developed detailed approaches to evaluating the fairness and legitimacy of elections, and the quality of democratic governance. How does the 2020 election in the United States compare to the standards we apply in our international democracy assistance?

Effective elections must accurately reflect the free expression of the will of the people; and must be perceived by the voters as fair with an outcome seen as legitimate. Elections fail when they do not result in an outcome generally perceived as fair or legitimate. Failure can be caused by a breakdown in process, or by factors that cause voters to doubt the fairness or legitimacy of the process.

Although there is a lot of evidence of both process failure and intentional malpractice in the 2020 presidential election, a strong argument can be made that this was a failed election because it did not meet the minimal standard of ensuring the perception of legitimacy among a large portion of the population. Numerous factors over a long period of time have contributed to the general lack of faith in the legitimacy of our election process.

Election Environment
The relative fairness of an election cannot be determined solely by considering what occurs on election day, as there are a number of other factors which can affect citizens’ and political parties’ ability to participate effectively in the democratic process.

Politicized Bureaucracy: When looking at the environment for elections, international observers try to determine if there is evidence of a politicized bureaucracy; that is, a bureaucracy that is composed almost entirely of representatives of one party or faction. If this exists, there is a presumption of bias, and efforts are made to depoliticize the bureaucracy, and ensure safeguards are in place to prevent the bureaucracy from suppressing other political parties, and manipulating election processes.

In the United States, it is unfortunate but true that one party has come to represent unionized government workers, and it is alleged that these unions prevent significant employment in government of members of other parties. This apparent discrimination has resulted in up to 95 percent of employees belonging to one party, and has even contributed to an oppressive environment where employees with diverse opinions have become afraid to express their opinions for fear of losing promotion and employment opportunities, and being “doxxed” or “canceled.”

The politicization of the public-employee bureaucracy is highlighted most clearly by the creation by the FBI of “investigations” of Russian collusion based on disinformation created by Russians. The information appeared to be fake from the beginning, but was used to justify activities aimed at damaging the electoral prospects of one party in 2018 and 2020. In addition, the politicization of the FBI bureaucracy is seen in the failure to investigate or prosecute illegality related to the storage and use of classified material, falsifying affidavits, and “pay for play” schemes involving high-level members of their favored party.

Media and Voter Education: Freedom of speech and freedom of the press are essential for electoral democracy, and promotion of these freedoms is an essential element in America’s foreign policy and human rights strategy. Effective voter education is also essential for fair elections. To participate effectively in elections, voters need to understand the registration and polling processes, and for their participation to be meaningful, they need to have information about the policies and platforms of competing candidates and parties so they can make an informed choice. Voter education through election administrations and civil society organizations is a major component of our international election assistance.

Unfortunately, multinational and monopolistic corporations have captured most of the media in the United States, including the increasingly important social and entertainment media. Their global perspective aligns most closely with one party, and, with the support of their allies in the bureaucracy, these oligarchs feel increasingly free to shape their reporting and messages towards the party line. Obvious untruths (like the Charlottesville “very fine people” hoax) are promoted, true information (like the suspicious business activities of a presidential candidate and his son) is hidden or ignored, and the political speech of opponents and ordinary citizens is openly suppressed. Entertainment media, including movies, television shows, and sports, are also increasingly used by the oligarchs (often referred to as the “one percent”) to deliver political propaganda.

Disinformation, propaganda, and lying (by commission or omission) by the establishment media resulted in many voters lacking the information they needed to make an informed choice on election day in 2020. From an international standards perspective, monopoly control of media by one party is an indication of an environment not conducive to free and fair elections.

Violence and Intimidation: In many countries, election assistance provided by the U.S. State Department goes to tracking and trying to mitigate election-related violence and intimidation. This type of violence is typically perpetrated by formal or informal youth wings of political parties, and aimed at suppressing political events or speech by adherents of other parties, and discouraging vulnerable voters from participating in elections. Significant political violence and intimidation is sufficient to call into question the integrity of an election process.

Yet domestically, the United States has seen a huge increase in politically motivated violence and intimidation since the 2016 election. The violence began with unmotivated attacks on people wearing political hats, or with bumper stickers on their cars, and intensified when gangs of youths wearing black masks began attacking speakers and their supporters on college campuses. Later, these same thugs rioted in urban centers, hunting down and beating up anyone suspected of harboring opposing political views.

The violence and intimidation also occurred online. For the first time, a major American political party had come out against free speech, arguing that politically incorrect opinions constituted “hate speech” that should be criminalized. While the blackshirt thugs attempted to enforce these ill-defined speech codes in the street, their more sedentary allies had potentially far greater negative impact doxxing or canceling anyone who dared express disfavored opinions online.

Intimidation and threats of violence were effective, and in the 2020 elections vast areas of the country had no bumper stickers or yard signs for one party. In my neighborhood (Falls Church, Va.), I asked the local party chair for a yard sign and was told they were not distributing them because they might be used to target party members for violent attacks, keying cars, or burning houses. It is commonly acknowledged that in the United States in 2020, most people did not feel free to openly express their political opinions.

Election Process
Changing the Electoral Framework: According to international standards, changes to the electoral framework should be made in an inclusive and transparent manner, and passed with sufficient time before Election Day to enable adequate voter education. This is important because one of the most common causes of failure in elections is changing the election framework close to the election. Sometimes the failure is related to increased complexity introduced through a new process or technology that cannot be effectively implemented in the time available; but often it is because the change is perceived to provide an unfair advantage to one party. Either can fatally undermine the legitimacy of the process.

The U.S. Constitution provides relatively little guidance on the conduct of elections, leaving that to the states and sometimes to counties to determine. This has resulted in the most complex, disjointed, and irrational election legal framework in the world. Problems have surfaced repeatedly in numerous election cycles, but no significant effort to adopt international best practices has ever been made. These varying standards and approaches create opportunities for confusion and malpractice and significantly diminish voter confidence in the integrity of the process.

In the 2020 election cycle dozens of significant changes in election processes were made across the country. Many of those were made late in the process, with some during or after the actual election. These late changes were perceived to serve partisan interests, and contributed to undermining public confidence in elections. The most significant factor used to justify these late changes was the COVID-19 pandemic.

COVID-19 and Mail-in Ballots: When the pandemic struck early in 2020, democracy assistance providers in the United States and other Western nations responded almost immediately. By April of 2020 USAID had produced a paper highlighting how authoritarian leaders and other malign influences might use the pandemic to undermine democracy and human rights, and provided advice on how civil society groups overseas might protect against or mitigate these abuses. Subsequent papers by the foreign policy establishment focused on how election processes could be modified to protect voters while ensuring integrity during the pandemic. During 2020, USAID provided substantial assistance to many countries to facilitate COVID adaptation, ensuring in-person voting could be conducted safely and more or less on schedule.

Within the United States, however, the immediate electoral response to the pandemic was a push by one party for mail-in rather than in-person voting. It is well known among election specialists that mail-based voting is much more susceptible to fraud and abuse than in-person voting, but it was argued that the pandemic made mail-in voting necessary (despite the examples of safe in-person voting from other countries). The new mass mail-in voting processes were conflated with existing systems for absentee voting, but the new systems lacked the checks and security features developed over generations for absentee voting. In the event, the public-health fears proved unfounded, as much of the country did vote in person without appreciably affecting the overall incidence of the disease.

In many parts of the country, matching a signature on a voter list with that on an absentee ballot was the only way to verify the identity of the voter. To handle the huge number of mail-in ballots compared to previous elections, signature matching processes were changed or eliminated without proper transparency or consideration, shortcuts were taken and safeguards dropped, which weakened security and diminished confidence in the validity of millions of ballots in Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Georgia. Mail-in or absentee ballots lacking an outer security envelope would normally be ruled invalid, but in Pennsylvania they were accepted, contrary to international practice and norms.

In most elections worldwide, mail-in ballots must be postmarked by a specified date (usually Election Day) to be counted, but in Wisconsin and Michigan employees of the United States Postal Service were instructed to backdate late arriving ballots so they could still be counted.

Mail-in ballots also facilitated a practice called “ballot harvesting,” in which political operatives go door to door picking up ballots from homeowners. This undermines the secrecy of the ballot and introduces opportunities for intimidation and vote buying, and in places like senior homes and apartment blocks enables one person to collect, fill in, and submit numerous ballots. Ballot harvesting decreases the security and credibility of election processes and is consequently contrary to international best practices.

Voter Registration and Voter ID: The U.S. government has provided hundreds of millions of dollars through its foreign assistance to support voter registration processes in other countries. An accurate voter list and effective voter ID are seen as essential for deterring malpractice and cheating, and for enhancing voter confidence in the integrity of the process. American foreign policy also promotes the Open Election Data Initiative, which advocates internationally for transparent and publicly accessible election data.

Domestically, again, the picture is quite different. The average accuracy of state-maintained voter lists is far below what would be considered minimally acceptable overseas. The update process is often non-transparent, and some states outsource their list maintenance to a private organization funded by a politically partisan billionaire. Many states restrict public access to some election data, and charge exorbitant fees for data they do release, limiting the public’s ability to verify the process, and violating international norms.
(2/2)

In 2020, poorly maintained voter lists led to allegations of ineligible voters in several areas. In Georgia, a campaign lawyer provided a list of more than 70,000 allegedly ineligible voters who had cast ballots in the election. Also in Georgia, over 20,000 people appear to have filed a Notice of Changed Address form to the Georgia state government or had other indications of moving out of state, but these ineligible voters appear to have remained on the voter rolls and were able to vote in the 2020 election. The dead also appear to have voted in these elections with remarkable frequency. In Pennsylvania matching voter rolls to public obituaries found 8,000 dead voters successfully casting mail-in ballots. Similar findings were reported from Georgia, Michigan, and Nevada.

Through our foreign assistance programs, the U.S. government supports in-person voter registration and biometric (fingerprints or retinal scanning) voter ID; which can be checked against a central database during the voting process to prevent multiple instances of voting for one person and ensure that only those who are qualified can vote. Yet here at home, one political party opposes any voting ID requirement, arguing that significant numbers of disadvantaged populations (primarily African Americans) don’t have ready access to ID, and thus will be disenfranchised. This argument is widely perceived as a partisan attempt to create space for cheating because it is only ever applied to voting, not to flying, or cashing checks, or other activities that require ID; and secondly, because it is patronizing and African Americans generally do have IDs.

In election assistance overseas, if there is a marginalized population without access to IDs (the right to identity is recognized by the UN), this is generally addressed by creating specific programs to ensure that everyone has access to them; and this would also be the appropriate response in the United States, if lack of ID were actually a serious concern.

Election Management
Vote Buying: Vote buying overseas is often a form of patronage, symbolizing the feudal bond between a local big man and his clients. It damages democracy because it replaces accountable representation with a one-time payment, but also because it views people as inherently unequal; with a few having agency and the rest merely dependents. Vote-buying is common in underdeveloped countries that retain a feudal patron-client social structure, and ending this practice and the patriarchal social structure that goes with it is a frequent objective of U.S. democracy assistance.

Surprisingly, there are credible reports of vote-buying in recent U.S. elections as well. In one report, political party operatives in full party regalia offered people raffle tickets for cash and prizes if they would vote. Similar activities happened in many other states, in all cases targeting Native American communities, presumably under the assumption that Native Americans would be more susceptible to this form of malpractice.

Ballot Box Stuffing: Internationally, ballot box stuffing is one of the most common forms of severe election cheating. In most cases, ballot box stuffing can only occur with the cooperation of polling station staff, so evidence of stuffing necessarily implicates some or all polling station workers. It can occur the old-fashioned way (marking extra paper ballots for a favored candidate), or though through more modern means where machines are used in the polling process.

Ballot box stuffing is prevented by a transparent process open to observers, so a non-transparent process is cause for concern. A primary focus of U.S. election assistance is promoting a transparent process that allows effective observation, and much of our other election assistance supports international and domestic election observers.

Following the November 3, 2020 elections there were numerous reports of ballot box stuffing. One truck driver swore an affidavit that he picked up large crates of ballots in New York and delivered them to a polling location in Pennsylvania. In Pennsylvania a polling worker is alleged to have used an unsecured USB flash drive to load a large cache of votes onto vote tabulation machines that did not correlate with the mail-in ballots scanned into the machines. In Wisconsin, poll workers were observed running ballots through tabulation machines more than once, and in Wayne County, Michigan, poll watchers observed canvassers re-scanning batches of ballots through vote tabulation machines up to three or four times.

In another incident at a counting center located at the State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia supervisors told poll watchers, observers, and media that counting would be suspended due to a water leak, but after the room was cleared, several election officials pulled out large boxes of ballots from underneath a draped table and proceeded to feed those votes into the counting machines. This was all caught on video, and a surge in votes for one candidate could be seen after these votes were processed.

Some officials and their allies in the media suggested it is perfectly acceptable to count ballots in the absence of observers, but it is an international best practice to only count in the presence of observers (in some countries it is required that observers be present). If observers are intentionally sent out of a counting center, or prevented from effective observation in any other way, that is seen as evidence of malpractice, and reason enough for an international observation mission to state they are unable to validate the election process.

Election Observation
In-Person Observation: Election observation is the most visible part of U.S. democracy assistance, typically carried out by high-profile organizations like the Carter Center, the National Democratic Institute, and the International Republican Institute. Observers play a critical role in ensuring that an election process is transparent—and transparency is the most important factor in determining whether an election process is perceived as credible and legitimate. Nothing else, no technology or process, can replace transparency in reassuring voters that an election is fair.

Every international and domestic observer has a checklist, and every checklist has a central question: Were observers allowed to observe all aspects of the polling and counting processes? Failure to allow observers into polling stations or counting centers, or to allow them to observe all aspects of the process, is relatively common in less developed countries, and is recognized as sufficient to delegitimize an entire election in the location it occurs.

International standards require that observers be allowed to witness all aspects of the process: they can see the empty ballot box before the polls open; can see that IDs are checked and that the IDs presented match the person; can hear the person’s name as it is called out, and see it checked off the voter list; can see that the voter receives one ballot only, marks it in secret, and places it in the ballot box.

After the polling observers should be able to see the box opened, and as the votes are counted they can confirm that the party or candidate called out is the same that is marked on the ballot, and can confirm that the standards used to rule mismarked ballots invalid are applied equally. At the end of the count they can freely record the results, so that, with results from other observers, they can independently aggregate all results in a parallel process to confirm the official aggregation process.

Failure to meet any of these criteria is noted and can be seen as grounds to doubt the legitimacy of the process, or to declare that the legitimacy of the process cannot be confirmed due to a lack of transparency.

It should be noted that the process described above is a manual process, and there is a good reason for this. No other election process allows the same level of transparency to observers as a manual process. An observer can arrive in the morning before opening, watch the process all day, watch the count, and at the end of the day testify that the process was fair and legitimate. Machine voting (except in hybrid systems used in Korea) simply doesn’t allow this level of transparency for observers, and so cannot generate the level of confidence that is possible with manual voting.

The 2020 U.S. elections were riddled with instances of suppression of legal observation. In Georgia, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, poll watchers and observers were denied entry to ballot counting centers by judges of elections and other poll workers, despite presenting proper certification and identification. In Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, poll watchers were forced inside confined areas, limiting their view. In some cases, this confinement was enforced by local law enforcement. Across these four battleground states, poll watchers were directed to stand at unreasonably lengthy distances from ballot counters. In Michigan, poll workers put poster boards over the windows of the room where ballots were being processed and counted so as to block the view. In Pennsylvania, tens of thousands of ballots were processed in back rooms where poll observers were prohibited from being able to observe at all.

According to international norms and standards, every single instance of interference with or suppression of election observation is regarded as at least an irregularity, undermining faith in the integrity of the process, and at worst evidence of efforts to conceal criminal activities. When observers and the public lack confidence in the integrity of an election process, democracy assistance providers normally recommend canceling the flawed elections and holding new ones.

Statistical Anomalies: In most countries international observers supplement in-person observation with statistical analysis that is highly effective in revealing anomalies indicative of malpractice. Many such analyses conducted following the 2020 elections have identified significant anomalies. One analyst assessed publicly available data published by the New York Times and had anomalous findings more than the margin of victory in three states: Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia.

An anomalous data pattern observed in Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Georgia showed a significant decrease in the rejection rate for mail-in ballots. Normally, the rejection rate for absentee ballots is higher than for in-person ballots, due to the additional requirements for absentee ballots (e.g., if someone forgets to seal the ballot or place a signature on the outer envelope the ballot will be rejected). With a huge number of people casting mail-in ballots for the first time, you would expect the invalid rate to be even higher in the COVID-affected election, and this is what did occur in most places, but not in these battleground states. This anomaly indicates different standards were used in assessment, or that no standards were applied to a significant number of fraudulent ballots.

It is a sad irony that in many American states, covering numerous different practices and procedures, and with an array of specific examples, the 2020 election in the United States—the birthplace of modern democracy—failed to live up the standards that we expect and encourage in the rest of the world.
Original article © Tim Meisburger / American Greatness. Reposted with permission from Tim Meisburger. Read the original: amgreatness.com/2022/04/08/app…
Read 3 tweets

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