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So do Trump's threats against Greenland undermine the political science consensus on the Democratic Peace Theory?
I don't think so, but let's explore this question.🧵
I don't think so, but let's explore this question.🧵
The Democratic Peace Theory posits that liberal democracies have an unusually low tendency to go to war with each other. Though this empirical observation seems to be very overwhelming, the supposed mechanisms to explain it are extremely vague and unconvincing.
Contra the popular understanding, it does not necessarily posit that liberal democracies are not hawkish and aggressive. Few would dispute that many liberal democracies have frequently engaged in militaristic foreign policy, directed at their authoritarian adversaries.
@RealTomHoman
@CMDROpAtLargeCA
@ICEgov @ICEgovERO
When sending a detainer request to @HennepinSheriff @SheriffWittHCSO, send a copy to @Hennepin County (MN) Commissioners.
@AlphaNews
District 1 @JeffreyJLunde
District 2 @HennepinD2 @irenekfernando
1/
@CMDROpAtLargeCA
@ICEgov @ICEgovERO
When sending a detainer request to @HennepinSheriff @SheriffWittHCSO, send a copy to @Hennepin County (MN) Commissioners.
@AlphaNews
District 1 @JeffreyJLunde
District 2 @HennepinD2 @irenekfernando
1/
District 3 @HennepinD3 @mariongreene
District 4 @D4Commish @voteconley Angela Conley
District 5 @HennepinDebbie Goettel
District 6 Heather Edelson
District 7 @D7_Anderson @vote_k_anderson Kevin Anderson
Hennepin County elected officials make the decision.
2/2
District 4 @D4Commish @voteconley Angela Conley
District 5 @HennepinDebbie Goettel
District 6 Heather Edelson
District 7 @D7_Anderson @vote_k_anderson Kevin Anderson
Hennepin County elected officials make the decision.
2/2
@HennepinD3 @mariongreene @D4Commish @voteconley @HennepinDebbie @D7_Anderson @vote_k_anderson @threadreaderapp please unroll
1/ QProofs in @POTUS @realDonaldTrump @politico interview 1/17/2026 (17=Q). As in the past, the President does not openly say "Q is real," but he does provide a number of clues which together are highly validating. The words he says in the interview match prior Q statements. 🧵 
2/ Whether Q is real is extraordinarily important. If indeed the drops can be read as coming from the President (Q+) and his inner circle, then we have a communication channel to be decoded stretching back 8+ years.
3/ I am not going to spend time debating whether the drops are real or revisiting the history. I will take a moment to share that I wrote a book about Q - been following from the beginning. Others howeve are far more expert than I at decoding the messages. amazon.com/Learning-Q-Pat…
Breaking: Apple isn’t launching a phone this year.
They’re launching a pocket supercomputer.
And most people still don’t realize what this means.
They’re launching a pocket supercomputer.
And most people still don’t realize what this means.
1. Apple said: no bezels, no limits.
Aqua Titanium
Zero-bezel display
Under-screen Face ID
Thinner + lighter body
Minimal design is officially back.
This might be the cleanest iPhone ever.
Aqua Titanium
Zero-bezel display
Under-screen Face ID
Thinner + lighter body
Minimal design is officially back.
This might be the cleanest iPhone ever.
2. Smartphones are done playing.
48MP Ultra-wide
10x real zoom
AI cinematic video
Pro Max = camera industry killer
48MP Ultra-wide
10x real zoom
AI cinematic video
Pro Max = camera industry killer
Narratives, Tariffs, and Restoring The Republic 🇺🇸🦅
1/
This phase of history is operating on a level deeper than politics alone.
This is not reactive.
It is not spontaneous.
And it is not being driven by politicians.
What you are watching is a controlled transition of power, unfolding beneath the surface, while the world argues over the headlines.
Let’s go further… 🧵👇🏼
1/
This phase of history is operating on a level deeper than politics alone.
This is not reactive.
It is not spontaneous.
And it is not being driven by politicians.
What you are watching is a controlled transition of power, unfolding beneath the surface, while the world argues over the headlines.
Let’s go further… 🧵👇🏼
2/
Power never disappears.
It only moves.
When institutions lose legitimacy, power shifts quietly before the public ever notices.
History proves this every time.
Empires fall not with explosions, but with exposure.
Power never disappears.
It only moves.
When institutions lose legitimacy, power shifts quietly before the public ever notices.
History proves this every time.
Empires fall not with explosions, but with exposure.
3/
This is not a war of bombs and boots.
This is a war for cognition.
Who controls the narrative controls consent.
Who controls consent controls nations.
That is why this war is being fought in headlines, screens, emotions, and attention.
This is not a war of bombs and boots.
This is a war for cognition.
Who controls the narrative controls consent.
Who controls consent controls nations.
That is why this war is being fought in headlines, screens, emotions, and attention.
⚡️There is a false claim circulating online that Ukraine allegedly provided the US with “distorted intelligence” that was later used by russia.
This is a deliberate conspiracy theory that was voiced in foreign media without any facts to back it up. (1/4)
This is a deliberate conspiracy theory that was voiced in foreign media without any facts to back it up. (1/4)
✅ Claims about an “inevitable breakdown” in the partnership between Ukrainian and American intelligence services are also false. In reality, Ukraine continues to cooperate with its allies and partners in the field of security, and the exchange of information continues. (2/4)
This disinformation is being spread in a number of russian public groups, as well as on social media by fake accounts with the aim of undermining trust between Ukraine and key Western partners, especially in the context of the dialogue on the peace plan. (3/4)
Eventually, yes, and the details of Europe becoming masculine again will be fascinating. Can't happen with the current EU political structure & culture, imo.
I think that there will be a fracturing of the EU into nation states again, likely starting with reimmigration
1/
I think that there will be a fracturing of the EU into nation states again, likely starting with reimmigration
1/
by one major European nation, that will cause it to separate from the others.
Becoming tough enough to toss out the migrants will make that nation fundamentally male-coded again. It will then notice that it is surrounded by pussies.
2/
Becoming tough enough to toss out the migrants will make that nation fundamentally male-coded again. It will then notice that it is surrounded by pussies.
2/
Europe being Europe, that is when we will likely see the return of European wars. Nations will either become tough again, or they will be conquered. The conquering nations may also toss the migrants out of the nations they conquer.
End result could be the tough Europe of old.
3/
End result could be the tough Europe of old.
3/
Most startups burn cash on paid ads that disappear the moment the budget runs out.
One approach generates lasting value.
Here's the SEO investment thesis that actually works for early-stage companies: 🧵👇
One approach generates lasting value.
Here's the SEO investment thesis that actually works for early-stage companies: 🧵👇
1/ Why startups avoid SEO:
Common objections:
"SEO takes too long" (6-12 months)
"We need growth now" (investor pressure)
"Paid ads are faster" (immediate traffic)
"We'll do SEO later" (after product-market fit)
Result: Spend $500K on ads, traffic stops when budget runs out.
Common objections:
"SEO takes too long" (6-12 months)
"We need growth now" (investor pressure)
"Paid ads are faster" (immediate traffic)
"We'll do SEO later" (after product-market fit)
Result: Spend $500K on ads, traffic stops when budget runs out.
2/ The compounding advantage:
SEO vs paid comparison:
Paid ads (12 months, $10K/month budget):
- Month 1: 2,000 visits
- Month 6: 2,000 visits
- Month 12: 2,000 visits
- Stop paying: 0 visits
- Total investment: $120K
- Asset value: $0 (traffic stops)
SEO (12 months, $10K/month budget):
- Month 1: 200 visits
- Month 6: 3,500 visits
- Month 12: 12,000 visits
- Stop paying: Traffic continues growing
- Total investment: $120K
- Asset value: Permanent traffic asset
SEO vs paid comparison:
Paid ads (12 months, $10K/month budget):
- Month 1: 2,000 visits
- Month 6: 2,000 visits
- Month 12: 2,000 visits
- Stop paying: 0 visits
- Total investment: $120K
- Asset value: $0 (traffic stops)
SEO (12 months, $10K/month budget):
- Month 1: 200 visits
- Month 6: 3,500 visits
- Month 12: 12,000 visits
- Stop paying: Traffic continues growing
- Total investment: $120K
- Asset value: Permanent traffic asset
1) Yesterday Chris Bray had a terrific piece on the paradox of blue cities/states still existing, yet constantly collapsing.
2)
3) It comes down to this: most of these states (NY, CA, IL) are big with large populations and long established economies.chrisbray.substack.com/p/what-blue-zo…
2)
3) It comes down to this: most of these states (NY, CA, IL) are big with large populations and long established economies.chrisbray.substack.com/p/what-blue-zo…
4) They don't just collapse as an out-of-style Las Vegas casino implodes. Rather, think of it like a slow spreading cancer.
5) As he points out, people move from the inner cities. Yep. We've seen that. But then they go to liberal enclave suburbs & those begin to decay.
5) As he points out, people move from the inner cities. Yep. We've seen that. But then they go to liberal enclave suburbs & those begin to decay.
6) He gave an example of a burb close to Groomer City (SF) that saw its fire dept cut by more than half. A single house fire didn't see a fire truck for 14 minutes, by which time it had spread to three more houses. The police forces in many of these burbs have dropped by half.
I want to tell a real investing story that still bothers me. Not because I was wrong. But because I was right and still failed. Thread.
In Nov 2020 I bought a Canadian company almost everyone thought was uninvestable.
Bloated for years. Too much debt. Never consistently profitable. Dependent on government goodwill. Most investors had written it off.
“Sugar is bad for you.”
Everyone says it.
But almost no one explains why.
Here’s the truth about what sugar really does to your body: 🧵
Everyone says it.
But almost no one explains why.
Here’s the truth about what sugar really does to your body: 🧵
Most people know sugar causes:
• Weight gain
• Cavities
• Fatty liver
• High blood pressure
• Weakened immunity
But the real damage goes much deeper…
Sugar wrecks your mitochondria, the tiny power plants inside your cells that keep you alive.
• Weight gain
• Cavities
• Fatty liver
• High blood pressure
• Weakened immunity
But the real damage goes much deeper…
Sugar wrecks your mitochondria, the tiny power plants inside your cells that keep you alive.
Nearly every modern disease traces back to mitochondrial dysfunction.
Mitochondria are the power plants of your cells, turning fuel into usable energy.
When they become damaged, energy production collapses and chronic disease sets in.
Mitochondria are the power plants of your cells, turning fuel into usable energy.
When they become damaged, energy production collapses and chronic disease sets in.
Ask these 7 questions if you really want to know what's on your child's mind.. 🧵
