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"A tripling of global CO2 emissions by 2100 may never have been particularly plausible even back in 2011 when RCP8.5 was originally published. But a 21st century of increasing fossil fuel use leading to a doubling of emissions was within the realm of the possible.
The fact that we are no longer heading toward that is a sign of progress, rather than somehow undermining the edifice of all of climate science as both President Trump and some overly excited internet pundits claim.
And of course, we still have a long way to go to get emissions down to (net) zero and stabilize global temperatures."
On the death of RCP8.5 open.substack.com/pub/theclimate…
On the death of RCP8.5 open.substack.com/pub/theclimate…
Update on the 2025 Spanish African Swine Fever outbreak
Lab escape is not ruled out, no evidence of natural zoonosis
Biased 'official' reports can poison LLMs, beware 🧵
Lab escape is not ruled out, no evidence of natural zoonosis
Biased 'official' reports can poison LLMs, beware 🧵
1/ On 25–26 Nov 2025 2 boar infected with African Swine Fever Virus (ASFV) were found within 1 km of each other in Catalonia, one a few hundred meters from BSL3 facility IRTA-CReSA (Institut de Recerca i Tecnologia Agroalimentàries - Centre de Recerca en Sanitat Animal)
2/ The facility is located at the Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB) and works with ASFV. Given this is the first ASF outbreak in 30 years in Spain, and there are no current outbreaks in neighboring France, IRTA-CReSA is an obvious candidate source of the outbreak
SubhanAllah… today I learned something that shifted my entire perspective.
In class, the ustadh asked:
“What is ibadah?”
Most of us answered:
“Salat, dhikr, Quran.”
He said: No
In class, the ustadh asked:
“What is ibadah?”
Most of us answered:
“Salat, dhikr, Quran.”
He said: No
“No.Those are acts of ibadah.”
ibadah is to live for Allah…not just pray to Him.
I went home and realized something that broke me:
I don’t live for Allah. I only visit Him
ibadah is to live for Allah…not just pray to Him.
I went home and realized something that broke me:
I don’t live for Allah. I only visit Him
I visit Him at Fajr… then disappear.
I stand before Him in ṣalāh then spend the rest of my day forgetting Him. I remember Him in hardship but rely on myself in ease.
That’s not ibadah.
I stand before Him in ṣalāh then spend the rest of my day forgetting Him. I remember Him in hardship but rely on myself in ease.
That’s not ibadah.
First preprint! Working with @patrickbutlin during @MATSprogram.
LLM Assistant personas like being helpful, evil personas like being harmful. We found that a single direction represents helping as good under the Assistant, and ‘harm’ as good under evil.
LLM Assistant personas like being helpful, evil personas like being harmful. We found that a single direction represents helping as good under the Assistant, and ‘harm’ as good under evil.
We train a linear probe to predict pairwise task choices in Gemma-3-27B and Qwen-3.5-122B, and find that the resulting direction behaves like a preference vector.
The direction captures a general valence axis:
• It generalises to other preferences such as true v false statements, and tracking prompted preference shifts (“you adore cheese” → cheese tasks score higher).
• It controls pairwise choice through steering
• It generalises to other preferences such as true v false statements, and tracking prompted preference shifts (“you adore cheese” → cheese tasks score higher).
• It controls pairwise choice through steering
BREAKING: These 15 careers will quietly dominate the next 10 years.
Most people won’t notice…
until the money, leverage, and opportunities are gone.
Use Claude to learn these early.
Most people won’t notice…
until the money, leverage, and opportunities are gone.
Use Claude to learn these early.
1. AI Automation Consultant
Businesses want AI.
Most don’t know how to implement it.
People who connect workflows + AI tools will print money.
Businesses want AI.
Most don’t know how to implement it.
People who connect workflows + AI tools will print money.
2. AI Content Operator
One person can now run what used to require a media team.
Writers + AI operators will dominate content businesses.
One person can now run what used to require a media team.
Writers + AI operators will dominate content businesses.
This is the second part of the day 6 afternoon session in Lorna Young vs Manchester City Council at employment tribunal. Part 1 is here
The court is currently taking a short break; after which Nathan Roberts barrister for the C will continue cross-examination of MCC witness Sharmila Kar.
[We resume]
NR: p1456 This is another OH report?
SK: Yes
NR: Last para b4 'conclusion' - advises advance notification for discussing things with C?
SK: Yes
NR: p1456 This is another OH report?
SK: Yes
NR: Last para b4 'conclusion' - advises advance notification for discussing things with C?
SK: Yes
In March, I wrote to the Prime Minister demanding a parliamentary vote on the use of UK military bases in the war on Iran.
I finally received a reply during the height of the Westminster psychodrama - the perfect moment to bury the government's complicity in war crimes. [1/4]
I finally received a reply during the height of the Westminster psychodrama - the perfect moment to bury the government's complicity in war crimes. [1/4]
The letter says that since the strikes are "defensive in character...they do not meet the threshold requiring a prior parliamentary vote."
It is absurd that they are still maintaining this fiction. There is nothing defensive about helping US warplanes bomb Iran. [2/4]
It is absurd that they are still maintaining this fiction. There is nothing defensive about helping US warplanes bomb Iran. [2/4]
The letter admits that Parliament should "ordinarily be given the opportunity to vote, before the UK becomes involved in significant military operations".
In what world are these strikes - which have destroyed infrastructure & killed civilians - not significant? [3/4]
In what world are these strikes - which have destroyed infrastructure & killed civilians - not significant? [3/4]
Dr. Jud Brewer is a Brown neuroscientist who showed anxiety is a habit loop, not a personality trait.
On Rich Roll's podcast, he revealed 10 "normal" habits that keep your mind stuck in worry mode:
1) Trying to think your way out
On Rich Roll's podcast, he revealed 10 "normal" habits that keep your mind stuck in worry mode:
1) Trying to think your way out
1) Trying to think your way out
Brewer says if we could think our way out of anxiety, he would need another job.
The planning brain goes offline under stress.
More analysis can become more fuel.
Brewer says if we could think our way out of anxiety, he would need another job.
The planning brain goes offline under stress.
More analysis can become more fuel.
2) Treating worry like control
Worry feels useful because at least you are doing something.
But Brewer calls worry a mental behavior.
It gives brief relief, then feeds the same loop it promised to solve.
Worry feels useful because at least you are doing something.
But Brewer calls worry a mental behavior.
It gives brief relief, then feeds the same loop it promised to solve.
A thread of every single kit you will see at the World Cup in 24 days time. 🤩
🇩🇿 - Algeria.
🇦🇷 - Argentina.
Protection of civilians & government employees is the first job state is bestowed upon. This protection & safety requires commitment & empathy. Teachers are the nation builders & it must be understood they have got families, too. Such
#ReleaseProfessorsofUniversityofGwadar
#ReleaseProfessorsofUniversityofGwadar
failures at the end of state gives rise to the very question of priorities, preparedness and policy choices. We have seen enough of disappearance, bloodshed, warfare and killings. This isn't working & has badly failed the in getting trust and legitimacy. People see unchecked
smuggling flourish be it drugs, weapons, oil & gas, edibles, chemicals, FMCGs that flow in & out with each gram, liter, product what ever standard being kept & monitored, every moving thing under a watch yet people disappear in broad day light. Professors deserve respect! Period.
The US just froze a $32 million Chinese telescope in Argentina. Customs seized the parts. Diplomats killed the project. The NYT says it’s geopolitics.
But I don’t think so. I think it’s thermodynamics. 🧵
But I don’t think so. I think it’s thermodynamics. 🧵
As the @NYTImes reports, “The Trump administration says it is enforcing an updated Monroe Doctrine, in part to counter China’s growing footprint in the Western Hemisphere. China is a key trading partner for many countries in Latin America, and it is trying to build scientific and security ties.”
China is building telescopes at the highest, driest, clearest sites in the world. Argentina. Chile. Tibet. These are the best places on Earth to observe the sky.
They’re also the best places to detect stealth aircraft.
They’re also the best places to detect stealth aircraft.
Did you know? Allah made one of the most beautiful promise specifically for divorced people in the Qur'an.
In Surah An-Nisa 4:130, Allah says:
“But if they separate, Allah will enrich each of them from His abundance, And ever is Allah Encompassing and Wise."
“But if they separate, Allah will enrich each of them from His abundance, And ever is Allah Encompassing and Wise."
Allah didn’t say:
“They’ll be okay.”
He didn’t say:
“They’ll recover eventually.”
He said:He will enrich them. Both of them.This changes everything about how we see divorce.
“They’ll be okay.”
He didn’t say:
“They’ll recover eventually.”
He said:He will enrich them. Both of them.This changes everything about how we see divorce.
