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Nov 19
White by Default?

The viral posts were right.

We scraped 5.5 million criminal records and 1.5 million mugshots from 39 states.

29% of Hispanics are being misclassified as White in official Department of Corrections databases.

Even when Hispanic is explicitly classified ๐Ÿงต Image
Everyone's seen these collages claiming non-whites get classified as White in criminal databases.

The problem? Anecdotal. Cherry-picked. No way to verify.

We had 1.5 million mugshots, names, and official racial classifications.

Time to test it systematically: Image
We trained a multinomial logistic regression on 18 features:
โ€ข DeepFace racial probabilities from mugshots
โ€ข Census name demographics
โ€ข First and last name racial statistics

92.76% accuracy distinguishing Black, White and Hispanic. Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 19
1).
โ€žIranian scientists linked to its defense establishment made a second covert trip to Russia last year as part of what the U.S. says is an effort to obtain dual-use technologies with potential nuclear weapons applications, the @FT reported on Tues.โ€

Nov. 19, 2025
Please unroll @threadreaderapp. Thank you in advance ๐“ƒ 
Read 3 tweets
Nov 19
The 30โ€“180 Day Nominal Refinancing Loop in Modern Banking

In aggregate, credit expansion is not constrained by prior saving.
It is sustained by the nominal GDP growth (including inflation) that credit itself creates. Image
Short-term, nominal funding is the structural reality of banking

Thus the average bank is constantly refinancing a large portion of its balance sheet in nominal terms, every 1โ€“6 months. Image
Because funding is nominal, repayment happens in inflated nominal terms Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 19
1).
โ€žUkraine has received a new peace proposal from the U.S. that requires Kyiv to cede land controlled by Russia and more than halve its army's size, a senior official briefed on the proposal told @AFP on Wed.
2).
The plan appears to repeat Russia's maximalist terms โ€“ demands consistently rejected by Ukraine as tantamount to capitulation [1].โ€
3).
โ€žIt is the latest effort by the @realDonaldTrump administration to reinvigorate stalled settlement talks in the nearly four-year-old war.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 19
Please tell me this is a shitpost, and they know what Arabic numerals are.

(the replies lmao)
lmao Image
rofl Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 19
๐ŸงตSTATS You Should Know:
The Midterm Effect is Coming

Folks, if youโ€™ve been wondering whether the โ€œmidterm effectโ€ is actually lining up behind all the blue wins we just had, the answer from the data is: yes.

Three fresh national polls โ€” Marist (for NPR/PBS), AP-NORC, and Reuters/Ipsos โ€” are all telling the same basic story:Image
The environment is turning hostile for Trump and the GOP.

The public is screaming โ€œprices, prices, pricesโ€ as the top issue.

Trumpโ€™s grip on Republicans is still strong but no longer ironclad.

And yet, voters still donโ€™t trust the parties or institutions, and theyโ€™re perfectly willing to blame Democrats for pain they experience, even in a Trump-engineered crisis.

Letโ€™s walk through what these polls collectively tell us.
The Generic Ballot: This Is 2018-Level Energy, But Earlier

Start with the headline: in the new NPR/PBS/Marist poll, Democrats lead the 2026 generic House ballot 55/41 among registered voters โ€” a D+14 advantage. Thatโ€™s the biggest Marist has shown for Democrats since 2017 and a massive swing from a 48โ€“48 tie in November 2024.Image
Read 27 tweets
Nov 19
๐ŸšจWARNING๐Ÿšจ to Disabled Canadians, @InclusionCA has NOT verified the services they're recommending. They are referring people towards an AI based scam site/service that is NOT up front with costs and makes you pay $156 before you have to pay another $200 if you need DTC help./1
I contacted @InclusionCA based on this post & was set up with a navigator to help me w/accessing the DTC without a family Dr. so I can get the #CanadaDisabilityBenefit. They recommended , telling me that it was $200, which is what the website says too./2 AbilityDocs.caImage is of a website with two pricing plans, one is $149 and the other is $199.
Long story short, I documented/recorded everything imaginable, and it's actually an AI & human based service, but they do not let you know EVEN WHEN DIRECTLY ASKING A HUMAN that they actually want to charge you $355 total, and they don't tell you until you're $156 in the hole./3
Read 7 tweets
Nov 19
ABC โ€œNewsโ€ is not journalism โ€” itโ€™s a Democrat spin operation masquerading as a broadcast network.

They have a LONG, rich tradition of peddling lies, conspiracies, and outright opinion veiled as fact.

๐Ÿงต
In 2017, ABC suspended investigative reporter Brian Ross after he falsely reported that President Trump had directed Michael Flynn to contact Russian officials before the 2016 election.
nbcnews.com/news/us-news/aโ€ฆ
In 2020, ABC suspended veteran correspondent David Wright after he was caught identifying himself as a โ€œsocialistโ€ and admitting the network pushes an anti-Trump agenda and airs stories designed for profit, not news.
politico.com/news/2020/02/2โ€ฆ
Read 19 tweets
Nov 19
Walking barefoot starts the healing.
But if you want to fully reset your nervous system, Stand on kettlebells.

It sounds insane, until the plantar fasciitis disappears, your arches lift and your breath drops into your lower body for the first time in years.

Hereโ€™s why: Image
Image
Your feet are a map of your trauma.
They store survival stress.
Frozen fear.
The tension of a lifetime of โ€œholding it all together.โ€

Thatโ€™s why so many people struggle with:
โ€ข plantar fasciitis
โ€ข tight calves
โ€ข collapsed arches
โ€ข ankle instability
โ€ข chronic anxiety

Itโ€™s all connected.Image
When you stand barefoot on kettlebell handles:

Your fascia opens.
Your arches decompress.
Your nervous system resets.

Not because youโ€™re stretching.
Not because youโ€™re forcing anything.

But because youโ€™re removing compression from the foundation of your entire body.

Your feet are the root system of your spine, breath, posture, and emotional state.

When the foundation opens, your entire system reorganizes.Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 19
๐Ÿงต Foreign charities are quietly shaping U.S. policy.

Our latest report finds 5 foreign groups have funneled $2B into U.S. nonprofits, with over $143M of that flowing through 3 major groups in the recently rebranded Arabella Advisors network. Image
New Venture Fund, formerly managed by Arabella, acts as a fiscal sponsor for 170 nonprofit projects, many of which lobby and engage in โ€œcivic engagement workโ€ that effectively supports the left's objectives.

๐Ÿ’ฐTotal Foreign Funding: $69.4M Image
Windward Fund, also formerly managed by Arabella, supports environmental justice advocates across the U.S.

๐Ÿ’ฐTotal Foreign Funding: $71.3M Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 19
The majority intraday scalp 0dtes, react to every candle, and end up with terrible R/R.

One major improvement in my system this year came from simplifying everything down to the 30 min pivot.

Strict entries, clear risk, & a repeatable framework.

Hereโ€™s exactly how I use it: ๐Ÿงต
What is the 30 minute pivot?

It's very simple.

After an opening flush or a sharp retracement, I wait for the first green 30 minute candle to close.

That candle becomes my pivot.
If the high of that candle gets taken out, I enter long.

My stop goes at the low of the pivot candle, or at LOD (depending on the volatility and my risk preference)

This gives me instant clarity on risk before I even enter.

No guessing.
But why does it work?

Because the first green 30 minute candle after a flush often signals:

- exhaustion of sellers
- shift in intraday momentum
- early signs of demand stepping back in
- structural change in the tape
- possible capitulation (paired with volume)

The trade isnโ€™t the pivot.
The trade is the pivot high breaking.

Thatโ€™s where the momentum shift confirms.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 19
1/ 1,100 reasons to freeze state AI legislation: @RealDonaldTrump called on Congress to freeze state AI regulations because โ€œoverregulation by the States is threatening to undermine this Major Growth โ€˜Engine.โ€™โ€ Heโ€™s right and hereโ€™s why: (note: All data below are from upcoming @AmericanEdge studies)
2/ The AI boom is benefiting every state all across the country. The map below shows how AI-related venture capital is surging across Americaโ€™s states. In total, nearly 27,000 AI-related VC deals closed from 2019-25, totaling more than half-a-trillion dollars of investment activity.Image
3/ Tech Job Growth: AI has helped state tech job growth soared by 14% from 2019-25, nearly three times more than all-industry average. Interestingly, the usual high-tech states are not leading the charge, but instead, states (in yellow) like TN, WY, NV, NM, MS, AL, and others are reaping giant tech job growth gains.Image
Read 8 tweets

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