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Jun 26
I gather that in the eyes of some of the leader writers at the Economist the collapse of German exports to China (down a pp of German GDP led by autos) doesn't have anything to do with today's announced layoffs at VW ...

1/ Image
It is quite clear in the data that Europe's auto exports to China tanked over the course of 2024 and 2025, and imports from China soared in 25 ...

2/ Image
and that, combined with competition with China in third party markets across a range of manufactured goods, is an important reason why euro area export growth has stalled

3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 26
This is part 2 of the afternoon session in day 3 of Samantha Tempest vs DEFRA & RPA. Part 1 of the afternoon is
The court is taking a ten minute break and will resume around 3.25pm
[We resume]

AL: Qs re the application for special leave now. p1016 - this is before the sick leave but not long before, 4/7, you went on sick leave at the end of July. We can see that on 4/7 employer had already agreed you could work from home, and you were?
Read 55 tweets
Jun 26
1/Time is brain! But what time is it?

If you don’t know the time of stroke onset, are you able to deduce it from imaging?

Here’s a thread to help you date a stroke on MRI! Image
2/Strokes evolve, or grow old, the same way people evolve or grow old

The appearance of stroke on imaging mirrors the life stages of a person—you just have to change days for a stroke into years for a person

So 15 day old stroke has features of a 15 year old person, etc. Image
3/Initially (less than 4-6 hrs), the only finding is restriction (brightness) on diffusion imaging (DWI)

You can remember this bc in the first few months, a baby does nothing but be swaddled or restricted

So early/newly born stroke is like a baby, only restricted Image
Read 10 tweets
Jun 26
Imagine: You are Gloria Moncrief, you are on the gondola skiing in Aspen while entertaining family at your Gunnison ranch. You just celebrated Christmas and the New Year; your cell buzzes. It's Magnolia O&G's successor CEO. (He followed Stephen Chazen (ex ceo of OXY, he paid $52m for Highlander #1 Well)). He tells Gloria the well had a bottom hole intrusion event.
Magnolia is focused on Haynesville winners and wants no more involvement in the Highlander. They basically give it away and take a $15 million writeoff on the next quarter books. They never mention it in their earning call either.
Gloria has been sitting at her grandfather's feet for years; listening, learning, absorbing. Tex (died in 2021), even on his deathbed spoke about the Highlander Play and its improtance. He had taken a huge gamble with Jim Bob Moffett (mid 2000's) on the shallow ultra deep play (search Davy Jones Well) and one well did hit...the monster Highlander #1.
Read 12 tweets
Jun 26
I read through 72,000+ studies on creatine and pulled out the top 10 effects you've never heard of (THREAD):

1. the older you are, the more it sharpens your memory
A 2023 meta-analysis found creatine measurably improves memory in healthy people, and the effect was strongest in adults 66 to 76.

Your brain runs on the same energy system as your muscles, and 5g a day tops up the tank.
2. it rescues a sleep-deprived brain

In a 2024 study, a single high dose of creatine improved thinking and memory in people kept awake for 21 hours.

It refilled the brain's energy stores (ATP) during the exact window when sleep loss drains them.
Read 13 tweets
Jun 26
Alt Meeting Minutes 6/25/26 Called to "order" 7:07pm Asked to approve minutes not from May which per Prez are "coming" but April. It takes two months to "ready" meeting minutes. Where are the May minutes coming from?
Started meeting relatively empty room. After 15 min woman & child showed up w/ food and spent I kid not 30 min rattling & crinkling plastic, unwrapping and shifting ?cookies into bags. All making more difficult to hear. This is the famous "refreshments"
"Refreshments" were 30 or so plastic clamshell containers of green salad stack on back table. At 8:20 Prez: "look at that spread" = stack of boxes of lettuce. Who didn't come to the meeting to eat? To eat iceberg lettuce at 8:30pm? Fooling no one
Read 26 tweets
Jun 26
The risk to die depends on temperature. There is a temperature where it is lowest. It increases sharply toward the right (hot extremes) and more gently for colder days (left).
It’s the basis of “more people die from cold than heat”!
But what’s behind it? thelancet.com/journals/lanpl…Image
More people die “from cold” simply because there’s a lot more days below the optimal temperature than above. These are concentrated in the winter months (surprise!), and mortality is higher in winter. But that has many reasons other than temperature. nationalgeographic.com/science/articl…
E.g. less sunshine hence lower vitamin D levels, more virus infections (flu), more air pollution, behavioral changes (food, drink, less time spent indoors, less exercise). Even in warm Honolulu 10-15 % more people die in winter.
So does #globalwarming reduce mortality?
Read 5 tweets
Jun 26
The European Court of Human Rights has declared inadmissible a challenge brought by a trans man who was registered as the mother of a child, despite having a Gender Recognition Certificate in the male gender.
The Court noted that the right to gender recognition may need to be balanced against the rights of others, here the right of a child to know the details of their parentage.
The Court was clear that, where a balance needs to be struck between the right to gender recognition and the rights of others, a wide margin of appreciation (discretion) is afforded to member states [16]-[18]
Read 6 tweets
Jun 26
1/ So, I fell down a rabbit hole this week
On 27 March 2019, India fired a missile that hit one of its own satellites, landed within 10 cm of centre
Only three other countries had ever done it
Mission Shakti is twenty years of engineering compressed into 168 seconds
Thread 🧵 Image
2/ To understand the why, you have to go back to 11 January 2007
China had just launched a SC-19, a modified DF-21 missile, and destroyed its own Fengyun-1C weather satellite at 865 km altitude
It was the worst debris event in history, over 3,000 trackable fragments that will persist for decades, but the strategic message to New Delhi was unmistakable
The enemy to the east was posturingImage
3/ That mattered enormously because India had become deeply dependent on space
Communications, NavIC navigation, earth observation, 50-plus active satellites underpinning both the economy and the military
A credible Chinese counterspace capability meant all of it was now potentially targetable in a conflict
Read 23 tweets
Jun 26
BREAKING 🧵

A gut bacterium is showing up — or rather disappearing — across all three phases of COVID-19.

Severely ill patients have less of it.
Recovered patients get it back.
Long COVID patients don't.

Its name is Faecalibacterium prausnitzii. And what it does explains a lot. 👇
F. prausnitzii is one of the most abundant bacteria in a healthy human gut.

It produces butyrate — a molecule that:

• Fuels your colon lining
• Seals your gut barrier
• Suppresses inflammatory signals
• Regulates your immune system

When it disappears, all of that fails at once.Image
Severe COVID-19

A 2025 meta-analysis pooling data across 10 independent studies confirmed:

F. prausnitzii depletion: logFC = -1.24 (95% CI -1.68 to -0.80)

Translation: It was significantly lower in every severe COVID cohort analyzed.

The more depleted. The sicker the patient.
Read 10 tweets
Jun 26
Good afternoon. This is day 3 of the employment tribunal Samantha Tempest v DEFRA & RPA. This morning's coverage is Image
Our full coverage of the case can be found on our Substack tribunaltweets.substack.com/p/tempest-vs-d…
The court is at present on lunch break, and will resume at 2pm. Alexander Line (AL) barrister for Respondents DEFRA & RPA will continue his cross-examination of Samantha Tempest (ST) the Claimant.
Read 76 tweets
Jun 26
7 books to understand 7 forces shaping the future:

1) Machine Intelligence

The Coming Wave by Mustafa Suleyman Image
2) Concentration of Power

The Narrow Corridor by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson Image
3) The Attention Economy

The Anxious Generation by Jonathan Haidt Image
Read 9 tweets

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