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Lots to say about the new Gallup poll showing for the first time that more Americans sympathize with Palestinians than with Israelis. Nobody should be surprised, and it also should not be taken as fatalistic. It does provide clarity on what to do and what to avoid, and has implications for potential conflict with Iran. A 🧵:
For decades, Americans sympathized with Israelis by large margins. This, and not the Israel lobby, is what drove US policy. And as I argued 15 years ago, the reasons Americans sympathized with Israel were not strategic, but ideological and values-driven tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.108…
Put simply, support for Israel dipped when Americans viewed it as behaving in ways inconsistent with liberal democratic values. This is why Gaza war supercharged a trend that was already underway. As justified as a response to October 7 was, the actual response was seen by a majority as over the top and violating assumptions about how Israel should behave as a democracy and US-supported partner.
Yesterday I posted a thread about “Large-scale online deanonymization with LLMs” (arXiv, Feb. 2026), and I got a lot of questions in response. 
So I want to do a follow-up that focuses less on the warning and more on the mechanics like what this research actually is, how the authors approached the problem, what they built, and what it means for ordinary people who assume that posting under a pseudonym still offers
meaningful protection.
The first important thing to understand is that this is not a paper about some magical new AI capability suddenly appearing out of nowhere.
The first important thing to understand is that this is not a paper about some magical new AI capability suddenly appearing out of nowhere.
@cullenroche @Dan_Denis The consolidation step just tracks net financial positions between sectors. It's a macro lens, not a dismissal of household wealth. Household net worth and inter-sector balances answer different questions.
@cullenroche @Dan_Denis Valuation gains change distribution within the private sector; deficits change net claims across sectors. Both perspectives can be useful without being contradictory.
@cullenroche @Dan_Denis If household wealth rises via asset prices, but the private sector as a whole wants to run a surplus while the U.S. runs a current account deficit, which sector absorbs the offsetting deficit?
If I went broke and had to use AI to get rich by Summer, here's exactly what I'd do:
1. Install BookBeam Chrome extension immediately.
1. Install BookBeam Chrome extension immediately.
This tool shows you exactly what books and keywords are already making money in your niche. It eliminates the guesswork. Find your top 10 competitors and study their best-selling titles.
2. Pick ONE profitable niche using this criteria:
3+ published books with a Amazon Best Sellers Rank under 100,000. Less than 3,000 search results for the keyword. At least $5 net profit per paperback copy sold. Stick to non-fiction. It prices higher and converts better.
3+ published books with a Amazon Best Sellers Rank under 100,000. Less than 3,000 search results for the keyword. At least $5 net profit per paperback copy sold. Stick to non-fiction. It prices higher and converts better.
🚨NEW(ish)🚨
An explosive FBI record in the Epstein Files shows that the bureau's NYC office was hacked in 2023, and that hackers gained access to Epstein records.
Worse still, some 100TB of data was lost as a result.
STORY BELOW🧵
An explosive FBI record in the Epstein Files shows that the bureau's NYC office was hacked in 2023, and that hackers gained access to Epstein records.
Worse still, some 100TB of data was lost as a result.
STORY BELOW🧵
And I say this is "New(ish)" because the record was posted on Reddit, and reported on by a French outlet.
But as far as I'm aware, it's remained otherwise unpublicized until now
marianne.net/societe/big-br…
But as far as I'm aware, it's remained otherwise unpublicized until now
marianne.net/societe/big-br…
Private Credit CRASH Continues
🧵
1/n
🧵
1/n
Background - the investment industry will ALWAYS claim credit for success.
Great at stock picking! Great at finding niche managers!
And when it comes to Bonds - great at managing Duration and Credit.
They're ALWAYS very successful with your money.
Until failure happens.
Then the industry will claim, NO ONE SAW IT COMING. Or "HANG IN THERE FOR THE LONG RUN, PAL"
Investors (and the media) have fallen for this, forever.
2/n
Great at stock picking! Great at finding niche managers!
And when it comes to Bonds - great at managing Duration and Credit.
They're ALWAYS very successful with your money.
Until failure happens.
Then the industry will claim, NO ONE SAW IT COMING. Or "HANG IN THERE FOR THE LONG RUN, PAL"
Investors (and the media) have fallen for this, forever.
2/n
30 Year Long-Term Rate Cycle
Long-term interest rates peaked in 1982, and then declined through the 80s, 90s, 00s and hit close to zero in 2008.
3/n
Long-term interest rates peaked in 1982, and then declined through the 80s, 90s, 00s and hit close to zero in 2008.
3/n
I GAVE MY INSTAGRAM TO CLAUDE.
What followed? 30.1M views in 10 days.
No face cam. No trends. No posting daily. Just copy + artificial intelligence.
These 7 prompts took my content from invisible to unavoidable:
What followed? 30.1M views in 10 days.
No face cam. No trends. No posting daily. Just copy + artificial intelligence.
These 7 prompts took my content from invisible to unavoidable:
1. pattern break architect
prompt: act as a senior instagram growth strategist. review my niche and spot the most common content patterns. then create 10 post ideas that refresh those patterns while staying aligned with instagram’s algorithm. each idea should feel surprising and scroll-stopping in the first 2 seconds.
prompt: act as a senior instagram growth strategist. review my niche and spot the most common content patterns. then create 10 post ideas that refresh those patterns while staying aligned with instagram’s algorithm. each idea should feel surprising and scroll-stopping in the first 2 seconds.
2. Hook That Hijacks Attention
Prompt: Act as a viral copywriter who studies high-retention Instagram posts. Rewrite my idea into 5 brutally strong opening hooks designed to stop scrolling instantly. Each hook must create curiosity, tension, or disbelief without using clickbait or fake claims.
Prompt: Act as a viral copywriter who studies high-retention Instagram posts. Rewrite my idea into 5 brutally strong opening hooks designed to stop scrolling instantly. Each hook must create curiosity, tension, or disbelief without using clickbait or fake claims.
Thread with excerpts from Charles Murray's "Losing Ground" (1984), a book on the failure of US welfare and social policy 1950-1980 to achieve its goals.
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2026779…
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2026779…
Thread with excerpts from Helen Andrews "Boomers" (2021). Steve Jobs was an atypical Boomer - he didn't care for politics or philanthropy.
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2026865…
#
More money increased male and reduced female fertility
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2025236…
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2026865…
#
More money increased male and reduced female fertility
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2025236…
It is completely false that redlining was "explicit racial gatekeeping."
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2027152…
#
Thread with excerpts from "Why Post-Liberalism Failed."
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2025023…
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2027152…
#
Thread with excerpts from "Why Post-Liberalism Failed."
threadreaderapp.com/thread/2025023…
I spent over 100 hours exploring the internet.
Here are 12 Websites that seem illegal to know, but they're completely legal:↓
Here are 12 Websites that seem illegal to know, but they're completely legal:↓
1/ Kickresume | @Kickresume
Your success story starts with a resume
Create a great resume quickly with the help of artificial intelligence.
🔗 … kickresume.com/en/ats-resume-
Your success story starts with a resume
Create a great resume quickly with the help of artificial intelligence.
🔗 … kickresume.com/en/ats-resume-
2/ Careerflow – AI LinkedIn optimizer.
Score your profile and get instant tips to grow.
🔗 careerflow.ai
Score your profile and get instant tips to grow.
🔗 careerflow.ai
🧵THREAD: The Anthropic-Pentagon dispute is fundamentally a failed procurement story. I've been writing about these structural failures in federal AI procurement. Thread on what's actually happening here. #anthropic #pentagon #dod #dow 1/
First, in my new piece, “Governance as a 'Blocker': How the Pentagon’s New AI Strategy Trades Oversight for Speed” , I analyzed the erosion of AI governance frameworks at DoD. 2/papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
The new "any lawful use" requirement is the contractual expression of that policy. It removes the framework for distinguishing low-risk from high-risk AI deployments before DoD has built the internal capacity to make those distinctions. 3/
We have raised a $110 billion round of funding from Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank.
We are grateful for the support from our partners, and have a lot of work to do to bring you the tools you deserve.
We are grateful for the support from our partners, and have a lot of work to do to bring you the tools you deserve.
We are excited to partner with Amazon to bring a new generation of products to market, especially around new enterprise products like the stateful runtime environment. We are also very excited to make great use of Tranium.
We continue to have a great relationship with Microsoft. Our stateless API will remain exclusive to Azure, and we will build out much more capacity with them.
I want to take Cassie's challenge here seriously because there's a lot of truth to it. So here are 10 moral principles of modern liberalism, at least as I see it.
1. The world is positive sum. You do not need to get poorer for me to get richer or vice versa.
1. The world is positive sum. You do not need to get poorer for me to get richer or vice versa.
2. There are a wide variety of valid, legitimate interests and understandings of “the good life.” We all need to try to be pretty pluralistic and tolerant toward one another.
3. For the most part, progress is real. Material prosperity keeps going up and the human condition keeps improving. Yes, this is a moral point because it morally points toward leaning into incremental reform over revolution or revanchism.
