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Jan 29
In today’s Vatnik Soup, we introduce a Ukrainian “scholar” and social media activist, Marta Havryshko (@HavryshkoMarta). She’s best known for spreading anti-Ukraine and pro-Kremlin narratives online, along with a habit of spotting neo-Nazis everywhere in Ukraine.

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Marta hails from Ukraine, where she studied history at Ivan Franko National University of Lviv. She received her PhD in history in 2010. Her academic work focused on gender-based violence and wartime atrocities, including publications on sexual crimes in occupied Ukraine.

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She is currently working as a visiting Assistant Professor at the Strassler Center for Holocaust & Genocide Studies at Clark University in the US. According to the center’s website, Marta teaches courses on antisemitism, racism, and gender-based violence in armed conflicts.

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Read 21 tweets
Jan 29
🚨THREE days before executing Alex Pretti, the SAME agents almost killed another U.S. citizen…🚨

While illegally detaining unaccompanied minors, using excessive force, causing multiple car accidents, and assaulting multiple U.S. citizens… all in one video.

The video starts with agents checking the ID of a 16-year-old girl they had just hit with their car.

She has a U.S. passport.

They don’t care.

They had already taken her 15-year-old brother after scanning his face.

They seize her passport, and then handcuff her.

At the front of the car, you can see a U.S. citizen legally observing.

Not interfering, or moving.
Just filming.

Suddenly, agents swarm them and tackle them to the ground.

Multiple men put their full body weight on the person’s back. One agent hits them in the face, and then pushes his knee into their face, while another pulls the person’s hair…

All while the person lays motionless.

Their nose starts bleeding into the snow. They’re struggling to talk, let alone breathe. All while they are not resisting.

When the agents finally lift them up, blood is running down their face.

And the agent’s rampage continues.

Agents are then seen smashing a car window and try to grab the driver while the car is not in park, nearly running over another agent in the process.

Multiple people are now on the ground.
One man has been pepper sprayed, his glasses knocked off.

A woman walks up.

Without warning, an agent pepper sprays her directly in the eyes, blinding her, while they yell at her to move.

She can’t see where she’s going, so the person filming has to lead her to the sidewalk.

The camera turns back.

The man who was pepper sprayed earlier is now standing, lethargic, disoriented, and unable to see without his glasses, and with pepper spray in his eyes.

They slam him back to the ground.

An agent walks over, pepper sprays him again, inches from his eyes, and casually walks away.

This is believed to be the same agent who later shot Alex Pretti in the back.

As three agents put their full weight on this man, other agents begin throwing tear gas, including a canister thrown right next to his head.

The entire area fills with thick smoke.
You can hear agents accidentally hitting a car because they can’t see.

After multiple pepper sprayings, physical assault, and tear gas deployment right next to his face, the agents simply stand up and walk away.

They leave him lying in the middle of the street, surrounded by smoke, without glasses, effectively blinded, after already causing crashes due to lack of visibility.

Eventually, he manages to get up and run for help, begging bystanders to assist him.

And these are the same agents who later illegally assaulted women for filming, then assaulted Alex Pretti for helping them, using excessive force, pepper spray, and bear spray…

Before tackling Alex Pretti, beating him, removing his legal firearm…

and executing him.

This is what happens when agents are trained to ignore the Constitution, are protected from consequences, and told that violence is policy.

If this blatant abuse is allowed to continue, it’s no longer a question of if another U.S. citizen will die…

It’s only a question of when, and how many more they think they can get away with before anyone stops them.
We need to stop pretending this isn’t going to happen again.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 29
@GordonJohnson19 1/ Let’s stress-test Tesla cash flow under a realistic bearish scenario

Assumptions:
• Vehicle sales keep falling at 2025 rate (~-7%)
• Model S/X discontinued
• Margins keep declining
• CapEx = $20B
• Regulatory credits fall to $100M
What happens to cash flow?
@GordonJohnson19 2/ 2025 baseline (approx):
Revenue: ~$95B
Operating CF: ~$13B
Free CF: ~$6–7B
Auto margin: ~18%
Reg credits: ~$1.4B
CapEx: ~$9B
Already a much weaker Tesla than 2022–23.
@GordonJohnson19 3/ Revenue impact:
Another -7% sales decline → ~$88B
Kill Model S/X (-5%) → ~$84B
So revenue drops to ~$84B.
Read 14 tweets
Jan 29
Cutting through the noise: key to this crisis is not what the US does--US action will be kept to Iran--but how Iran responds.

Assessing risk of regional war depends on assessing how Iran manages its response.

What (if anything) could push Iran into escalating the conflict?
Iran has offensive capabilities. But it is also vulnerable to offensive action. It can respond to attacks, but the posture of US/Israel/Gulf states makes any attack of limited utility.

Rolling the dice on Hormuz triggers a much broader retaliation. It would be near suicidal.
Iran's problem since True Promise I (or Soleimani, really) has been a loss of credibility re: deterrence.

It has shown again and again that it will absorb significant hits and retaliate in a measured, calibrated way.

Will it continue that streak if the US attacks now?
Read 9 tweets
Jan 29
🚨: NEW FOOTAGE - Officer tells me that being offensive is a crime!

Badge Number: AS 2264

@metpoliceuk - SHAME ON YOU!

I was peacefully debating under my organisation, @FreedomWatchGB, with @WillColeshill acting as my cameraman. I was attacked, assaulted, and my equipment was broken, yet William was the one arrested after he did a citizen arrest on the man attacked me.

This was a two-tier, politically motivated attack.
@metpoliceuk @FreedomWatchGB @WillColeshill CONTEXT:

@metpoliceuk @FreedomWatchGB @WillColeshill Please Support Freedom Watch In Any Way You Can 👇🏻🙏🏻

gofundme.com/f/freedom-watc…
Read 3 tweets
Jan 29
Recently, I noted how the US economy was showing signs of re-accelerating.

This has been reflected in bonds so far.

Scanning through what bonds are pricing across the curve for opportunities (systematic)🧵 Image
1/ Over the last month, short-term interest rate markets have remained unchanged. Over the last year, these markets have remained unchanged. We show the evolution of these expectations below: Image
2/ Short-term interest rate markets are expecting a peak in policy rates on Feb 26 at 3.64%, followed by a trough on Jan 2027 at 3.18%. This implies approximately 2 interest rate cuts cumulatively over the next eighteen months. We show this path below: Image
Read 8 tweets
Jan 29
Most billion-dollar ideas die because the barrier to build is too high, @emergentlabs changed that and hit $50M run rate in 7 months.

I spoke with @MohapatraHemant to share the hard lessons I've learnt and what it takes to build in AI

tl;dr takeaways 🧵
Control the infra: Most AI startups are just UI slapped on a 3rd party API. That's a feature, not a company.

For production-grade software, we built our own container tech and coding agents from the ground up. If you don’t control infra, you don’t control the feedback loop.
The 0.2s Rule: I tell my team, AI is an "Olympic race." No one remembers the runner-up who lost by 0.2 seconds. In a high-growth AI startup, every delay is a compounding loss. We fight entropy every single day to save those 0.2 s. Momentum is the only thing that keeps us ahead.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 29
Roger Froikin @rlefraim wrote, "NOTE TO USA VOTERS

The media in the USA seems to be cheering for a Democrat takeover of the Senate and the House of Representatives to stop and reverse Trump.
1)
I’m not going to explain here why that would be a horrible tragedy for the USA and for the world long term, though it is very easy to explain.

But this article is about how to change that expectation.
2)
Yes, typically, they say, the party out of the White House gains Senate and House seats. One reason for that is that the party in the White House is subject to criticism to a greater degree typically than the party out of the White House...
3)
Read 16 tweets
Jan 29
We will be returning for the afternoon session of day 2 of David Toshack (DT) v GeoAmey Ltd at 1.55pm to continue DTs cross examination at Edinburgh Employment Tribunal court.
He claims harassment, discrimination and indirect discrimination on the grounds of his GC beliefs. Image
Our Substack with background on the case is here:

Please consider subscribing to our Substack to support our work as we are all volunteers.
Please note: substack.com/home/post/p-18…Image
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Abbreviations:
DT/C - David Toshack, Claimant
DH - David Hay, KC, for claimant
MG - Margaret Gribbon, solicitor for claimant
GA/R - GeoAmey Ltd, Respondent, a British company specialising in prisoner transport
MM - Michael McLaughlin for respondent
Read 47 tweets
Jan 29
🔥🔥🔥Bad Kitteh has European Union butt to kick today. What I’ve already reported on how their DSA censorship rules were created should have ended it. @ElonMusk was fined by rules created by the Global Trump resistance!

Hello, is anyone listening?

The radical leftist, Avaaz, used pressure campaigns and activists to get their way on censorship. Once even using a million people to pressure Facebook. They even worked with Imran Ahmed of the Center For Countering Digital Hate (CCDH) too.

Avaaz was created by MoveOn, a key player in the Soros Democracy Alliance Trump Resistance, aka Serbian Otpor. And Avaaz is used to stop “Trumps” globally.

Avaaz is also partnered with Newsguard. And was a signatory for the EU Code of Practice on Disinfo.

About a year ago, I did a 5 part series on Avaaz, with tons of evidence, that I’m going to review today.

Avaaz even ran a disinfo war room in Brussels and EU brass visited them regularly.

Here’s a couple of quotes so you understand what Avaaz is about:

“Avaaz is the epicenter of the global resistance to Trump. Together, we've helped defeat Trumpism at the ballot box in Western Europe, and defeated Trump's attempt to kill the Paris climate agreement.”

“Avaaz has planned a massive, people-powered uprising to help defeat the far right. We'll expose the wolves in sheep's clothing, uniting millions in a defiant rejection of hate and planetary destruction.”

Now onto my EU evidence.

♦️ Avazz:

“We can honestly say Europe’s new Digital Services Act wouldn’t look like it does without Avaaz.

We ran massive investigations into the harms caused by social media and shared our findings everywhere. Then we drafted groundbreaking legislative proposals.

EU Commission Vice-President Margrethe Vestager endorsed our call for a “Paris Agreement of the Internet”. And EU Commissioner Thierry Breton was so convinced by our research that he went on TV to talk about it the day after we met him!

For over four years, our movement - together with an inspiring civil society coalition – has been at the forefront of this battle to protect citizens and democracy.

In 2019, many EU lawmakers didn’t really understand the problem. The idea that lies and conspiracy theories going viral online.

So, inspired by a Lithuanian project, we hired researchers we called “elves” to investigate internet “trolls” and reveal the scale of the disinformation problem, especially the impact it was having in Europe.

Working from a war room in Brussels, our team of 30 “elves” uncovered what 30,000 Facebook monitors and their team of experts seemed to have missed: huge networks, using fake accounts and inauthentic pages, spreading toxic lies and hatred across Europe ahead of crucial elections. Following our investigation, Facebook took down networks that could reach an estimated 3 BILLION (!!!!) views in a single year!!

As election day approached, top EU politicians, journalists and security experts were coming to our war room almost every day for information and briefings.

Top EU officials were shocked by what we had found and asked us: what could be done?

So, working with social media insiders, academics and lawmakers, we developed research-backed proposals to clean up social media.

And we didn’t let go – showing up at every single meeting, event or video call with our findings, and publishing ever more evidence exposing how platforms were failing. We even organised a conference on disinformation bringing together some of the most influential EU politicians and executives from Facebook and Twitter to make our case!

We even delivered messages to politicians from Avaaz members across Europe in beautifully made books!”

Full article at link
archive.is/lXeAs

@HarmeetKDhillon
@EdMartinDOJ
@SecRubio

Video- Imran Ahmed of the Center For Countering Digital hate worked with Avaaz on the Paris Agreement For Disinfo to work on the DSA. This was attended by EU Vice President Commissioner Věra Jourová, and EU commissioners etc.
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Avaaz was created from a regime change org, ResPublica, and MoveOn. This is what is running the global Trump and populist resistance.

Avaaz was called the globe's largest and most powerful online activist network.

Is it any wonder that MoveOn is running a Serbian Otpor on Trump? Otpor defined is resistance.

After I share the 5 parts on Avaaz, I’ll review the MoveOn Trump Resistance.

Oh and Soros funded the creation of Avaaz.
Part 2:

When the left writes the rules that censor the right, be careful what you admit to.

This part also mostly discusses what I mentioned in my top post. Feel free to move on to Part 3 without missing much.

Dsa - “As we met with decision-maker after decision-maker to argue that the legislation should focus on holding platforms accountable for harms created by their algorithms, slowly the idea started to gain traction.”

“After years of work, months of negotiations, and a final stretch of over 16 hours of non-stop discussions in Brussels, it happened: officials and lawmakers agreed upon a historic law that holds platforms accountable for the harms caused by their algorithms.”
Read 5 tweets
Jan 29
🚨 MOTION FOR RECONSIDERATION FILED
January 28, 2026 | JUDICIAL HIJACKING | DEFAULT JUDGMENT BYPASS | FRCP 55(a) VIOLATED - ADA VIOALTIONS @EDNYnews

EDNY Case 2:23-cv-06507-SJB-AYS

CORE VIOLATION: Judge Bulsara & Judge Shields were PERMANENTLY RECUSED on November 5 & 17, 2025 (DE [127]).

March 2024: Public statements by @SenJohnKennedy raised concerns regarding Judge Bulsara, which are relevant to the issues presented herein.(J. Bulsara nominated by @SenSchumer)

Yet on November 26, an unlawful ADMINISTRATIVE NOTE reassigned the case BACK to them—WITHOUT notice, WITHOUT explanation, WITHOUT opportunity to object.

🔴 THE LEGAL REALITY:
Under 28 U.S.C. § 455, recusal is PERMANENT and divests judges of ALL jurisdiction. An administrative note CANNOT override a mandatory recusal order.

🔴 CONSEQUENCE:
All post-recusal rulings are VOID AB INITIO—legally null from the moment issued.

This includes:
✓ DE [143] (Jan 16, 2026) – Dismissal
✓ Filing injunctions (Aug 14 & Sep 16, 2025)
✓ All orders after Nov 5 & 17, 2025

📋 LEGAL AUTHORITY:
• Liljeberg v. Health Servs. Acquisition Corp., 486 U.S. 847 (1988)
• Contreras v. Bourke (Ariz. Aug. 21, 2025)
• FRCP 60(b)(4) – Void judgments must be vacated

📄 Full Motion Access: bit.ly/45EDUuG

Truth. Transparency. Justice. 🔗

@SFranklmt @ladybea67 @Jenilyn67961481 @MikeYup10 @TERYDIXON @ProEthanSmith @GWash02221732 @SamAntar @CorneliaDiNunz1 @MaryWalterRadio @W4Nevada @naomirwolf @IngrahamAngle @julie_kelly2 @LoggieNY_ @Hunter_Eagleman @BrianOSheaSPI @SteveMcNY @LitaONYC @franko_ufo @SteffyAlis72269 @BirdsForLiberty @kwasny007 @DisabledOfficer @thematthew @drrodrigo23 @DosMoscas @ConservativeNY3 @imranigra @DJTNYCLUB @UnitingNYS @ClaudiaYadette1 @KevinBerge9223 @maverick2886 @MisterScarlett @Amusement2022 @WhimsyWithStyle @SoleFranco1979 @slgarelli_cnn @FrankFurter420a @BrettDoyleMCS @DeckerKell36048 @EF039229637459 @Attorney_Cox @HouseofElon @DeckerKell36048 @RandomHvacGuyImage
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JUDICIAL HIJACKING:

Judges Bulsara & Shields PERMANENTLY RECUSED (DE [127]) Nov 5 & 17, 2025. Unlawful admin note (Nov 26) reassigned case without notice. 28 U.S.C. § 455 is MANDATORY—admin notes cannot override recusal. All post-recusal rulings VOID AB INITIO.

RICO ENTERPRISE EXPOSED:
@WorkersLaw (Pasternack Tilker Ziegler Walsh Stanton & Romano LLP)
@StradleyRonon (Stradley Ronon Stevens & Young LLP)
@RivkinRadler (Rivkin Radler LLP)
@DrHochfelder + First Choice Evaluation LLC

Ignored FRCP 55(a) defaults. Law firms operate ABOVE THE LAW. #EDNY #RICOEnterprise

@realDonaldTrump @POTUS @SCOTUS @elonmusk @DonaldJTrumpJr @AlinaHabba @PamBondi @FBIDirectorKash @Kash_Patel @charliekirk11 @JDVance @VP @FoxNews @VigilantFox @ImMeme0 @damonimani @megynkelly @mrddmia @ReidFirm @ProjectConstitu @Article3Project @nypost @bennyjohnson @TheBabylonBee

youtu.be/awC6Or6JXdY?si…
🔴 CHIEF JUDGE BRODIE MUST ACT NOW

The Motion for Reconsideration demands immediate intervention under 28 U.S.C. § 137 and EDNY Rule 50.4 and 50.5

Plaintiff invoked EDNY Division of Business Rule 50.4 and 50.5 because the District Judge and Magistrate Judge assigned to the case were permanently recused and disqualified from further participation, leaving the matter without an authorized judicial officer.

Why invoke EDNY Rules 50.4 & 50.5?

Once judges are recused, they lose the authority to act. The case must be routed to the Chief Judge (Rule 50.4) or a Duty/Miscellaneous Judge (Rule 50.5) so a neutral judge with jurisdiction can hear emergency matters. Anything else risks voiding orders and due-process violations.

@EDNYnews Division of Business

Rule 50.4 expressly permits reassignment in the interest of justice where continued handling by the assigned judges is impossible or improper (judge(s) cannot properly continue, including due to recusal, disqualification, incapacity, or other circumstances). Invocation of Rule 50.4 was therefore necessary to secure prompt reassignment to the Chief Judge, prevent further void post-recusal actions, and preserve Plaintiff’s due process right to adjudication by a neutral judge with jurisdiction.

Rule 50.5 Permits and governs the administrative procedure for reassignment after a judge’s disqualification or recusal, ensuring the case is transferred to a different, authorized judicial officer and preventing further action by the disqualified judge.

DEMANDS:
1. Declare all post-recusal rulings VOID & strike DE [143]
2. Lift unlawful injunctions (Aug 14 & Sep 16, 2025)
3. Restore filing privileges + ADA electronic filing
4. Reassign to neutral judge
5. Issue Temporary Restraining Order under FRCP 65(b)

🔴 THE PATTERN:
Judge Bulsara previously reversed for ignoring controlling law. Senator Kennedy's March 2024 hearing: Judge Bulsara's boss stated he "ignored a large collection of cases in this District."

Same defect here. He ignored 28 U.S.C. § 455.

🔴 VIOLATIONS:
✓ Recusal violation (§ 455)
✓ Injunction without notice/hearing (FRCP 65)
✓ Docket manipulation (FRCP 5(d)(4))
✓ Denial of ADA accommodations
✓ Obstruction of justice (18 U.S.C. § 1503)

📄 Full Motion: bit.ly/45EDUuG

Truth. Transparency. Justice. 🔗

#RecusalViolation #DueProcess #EDNYImage
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Read 7 tweets
Jan 29
1/25 ABOUT, COCOA, ORANGE JUICE, SILVER and HUME & THORNTON

What we saw recently with cocoa, Coffee and now Silver is a classic rotational spike&correct. As Thornton writes in 1804, citing Hume Image
2/25 But that is the second phase in fact the first phase is “exciting industry” aka TINA . Image
3/25 Thornton explains the first stimulative phase in several ways.
First the timing.
It is between the time of the issuance of money and the phase II when the money chases the commodities. HINT: we are post TINA and in the commo ramp phase. Image
Read 25 tweets

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