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Feb 17
In 2018, Ray Dalio gave a 40-minute masterclass on how to never lose money investing.

His frameworks:
• Economy as a perpetual motion
• Four forces, three equilibrium, two levers
• Holy grail of investing

15 lessons on markets and money:

1. Write down your decision criteria
"Every time I would make a decision, I would write down the criteria I used."

"The same things happen over and over again."

"By taking the time to write them down, then seeing how those criteria would have worked over time, I could get perspective."
2. The economy is a perpetual motion machine

"There are four big forces, three important equilibriums, and two levers."

"If you get this down, basically everything through my eyes is along those lines."

"You can almost picture where you are in the cycles and anticipate what will happen next."
Read 19 tweets
Feb 17
If you study the roots of a large part of conditioned inhibition what you find is that the way the UK is set up is to make areas that are "achieving" and "doing well for yourself" as institutionally clashing with erotic/sexual expression

It implicates parenting and children
In the UK what happens is that if you look the way society is governed, you have Lily Phillips and the law of the land = No problem

BUT then if you take the 'Professions' what are the 'Professions' = Teacher, Doctor, Nurse, Police..

Like what do you want to be when you grow up?
And it covers loads of areas, armed forces, lots of areas.

The parents want the daughters and children to strive to become a 'Professional' or whatever it is that parents want for their kids

So due to the prohibitions that are built into society the parents groom their kids
Read 18 tweets
Feb 17
HRCP's explosive fact-finding report about the Crime Control Department (CCD), created by the Punjab government last year to combat serious crime, but which has instead become a vehicle for staged encounters and extrajudicial executions.

🧵
In just eight months (April–December 2025), 924 people, including two women, died in what the report describes as likely staged encounters and “deliberate executions.”

In the same period, only two police officials were reportedly killed.
“In genuine armed confrontations, such a ratio appears to be statistically implausible. This imbalance suggests deliberate executions and reckless disregard for the sanctity of life,” writes the HRCP.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 17
🧵The KGB – The Immortal Deep State of Russia
1/ The KGB didn't just appear. Its bloodline starts with the 1917 Cheka under Felix Dzerzhinsky – Lenin's terror machine to crush "enemies of the people." But the modern Committee for State Security (KGB) was officially born on March
13, 1954, as the "sword and shield of the Communist Party." From day one, it was built to protect the regime at all costs.
2/ Core purposes? Foreign intelligence, domestic counter-intel, border security, protection of the leadership, technical espionage, and silencing dissent.
They infiltrated churches, intellectuals, and anyone who stepped out of line. The KGB wasn't just police – it was the Party's invisible hand, operating in the shadows while the visible government played politics.
3/ Cold War era? They hit the ground running. By 1954 the Iron
Read 14 tweets
Feb 17
After chatting with 8 engineers from OpenAI and Meta, I discovered they all swear by the same 7 "edge-case" prompts.

Not the viral ones from Reddit.

These are what power cutting-edge prototypes and debug complex models.

Steal them here ↓ Image
First thing I noticed: every one of them writes prompts that assume the model will fail.

Not optimistic prompts.

Adversarial ones.

They're not trying to get a good answer. They're trying to catch where the model breaks.

That changes everything about how you write prompts.
1. The Chain-of-Doubt

"Walk me through your reasoning step by step. After each step, ask yourself: could this be wrong? If yes, say why."

Kills hallucination confidence.

The model second-guesses itself mid-answer instead of committing to a wrong path.

Two Meta engineers independently named this their most-used debug prompt.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 17
Quick Requests Decoded
1.
I received a request to decode the Mr. Beast + Naruto collaboration.

I've had mixed results with Mr. Beast decode attempts, but I've decoded Naruto with confidence in several threads, so I can give a partial answer for likely intent here. Image
2.
09/21/1999 Naruto Manga begins
09/21/1999 End of Kenshin Manga Run (Top Manga Post Dragon Ball)
07/07/2014 My Hero Academia: NINJA SCHOOL (Japan Themed)
11/10/2014 Naruto Manga End: SUPERHERO SCHOOL (USA Comic Book Inspired) Image
3.
The rise of Naruto is tied to One Piece as the next big anime push and both have focuses on symbolism of philosophy in relation to cheapness (Straw Hat for One Piece and Ramen for Naruto) as a way to help (or less generously pacify) the next generation. Image
Read 15 tweets
Feb 17
@MemeticCowboy @BurkhartRj @RedfearnMike @MarekArts @nema_cio @grok Goal: stop feeding the borg.

This is actually pretty difficult when humans are quite so diverse.

Borgs adapt to speak our language, and at least for now are helpful and supportive.

Do we occasionally need challenge, to prompt triality and solutions?

🧵👇
@MemeticCowboy @BurkhartRj @RedfearnMike @MarekArts @nema_cio @grok Yes, of course. But don't we find this after review of a previous action, good, bad or indifferent. Isn't the cowboy exploring their own pathway, reaching their own conclusions?

Constant challenge is not good for us and prevents progress.

🧵👇
@MemeticCowboy @BurkhartRj @RedfearnMike @MarekArts @nema_cio @grok Again this comes down to discussion 🆚 action, and we do need to take action when the environmental levels of change demand it. This is a basic survival instinct we should not be ignoring.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 17
Good @bbclysedoucet interview with Islamic Republic deputy foreign minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi-one of the system's better diplomats-on US-#Iran nuclear negotiations.

Ahead of today's Geneva talks now is a good time to take stock of where we stand 1/25+
bbc.com/news/articles/…
Topics covered:

1. US-Iran talks: Narrow path to a nuclear deal

2. Negotiations as a double-edged sword

3. Military scenarios

4. Post-deal or conflict status-quo 2/
1. US-Iran talks: Narrow path to a nuclear deal

In the interview Takht-Ravanchi re-emphasizes the Islamic Republic's openness to negotiating on the nuclear issue in exchange for concessions on sanctions. 3/Image
Read 35 tweets
Feb 17
HOW STUDENTS ARE USING GEMINI TO PREDICT EXAM TOPICS (Up to 40–50% ACCURACY)
Not cheating.
Not guessing.
Only pattern analysis.

Copy these 7 prompts to predict any exam.
BOOKMARK or LOSE

A Thread↴
1. PAST PAPER PATTERN SCANNER

Prompt: “I’m getting ready for the [exam name] under the [country/board/university] syllabus. I’ve attached/pasted the last [X] years of previous papers. Go through them to spot repeat themes, key chapters, and common question formats. Then sort and prioritize these patterns by how often they appear and how much they matter.”
2. HIGH-PROBABILITY TOPIC RANKER

Task: Using the attached syllabus for [subject/course] ([insert syllabus here]) alongside the supplied past exam papers, produce a priority-ordered list of every topic—from most to least probable to show up on the upcoming exam—and briefly justify the placement of each item based on the evidence.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 17
The far-right now steering Israel’s government is racing against time to dismantle the Oslo Accords and annex the West Bank. Its latest instrument: turning the West Bank real-estate market into a jungle of forged transactions and mafia-style extortion. Thread. Image
1/ About a week ago (8.2.2026), the cabinet approved a series of decisions whose implications, if implemented, will profoundly and negatively reshape reality in the West Bank. >>
ynet.co.il/news/article/r…
2/ These decisions are designed to advance de facto annexation in line with the worldview of the far-right actors who effectively control the government. >>
Read 16 tweets
Feb 17
1/ The past weeks took me to Washington and Kyiv, so only now I am sharing key findings from Essential Ukraine #17 and my trips. Bottom line: after the hardest winter of the war, a thaw is coming bringing some energy relief, but also renewed frontline and diplomatic pressure.
2/ Diplomacy is more active than at any time since early 2022. U.S.-facilitated channels are open and technical issues are being explored, but the political core — territory and security guarantees — remains deadlocked. War and talks are likely to run in parallel throughout 2026.
3/ Washington is pushing for movement while reprioritizing globally. It engages both sides but neither has nor can impose a master plan, as the Abu Dhabi talks illustrated. Kyiv’s renewed negotiating team is more pragmatic, yet Zelensky remains in charge and a tough interlocutor.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 17
The BBC’s International Editor Jeremy Bowen insists: “I’m an impartial reporter.”
That claim, made this week in a pathetic puff piece in the FT, deserves scrutiny.
The BBC is funded by the British public, and Bowen benefits from the assumption that what he says is impartial because of who his employer is.
But is he? Really?
A 🧵
ft.com/content/b13961…
2/ In that FT profile, Bowen says there is “clear evidence” of Israeli war crimes in Gaza and argues Israel’s strategy makes it less safe.
Serious claims. Not delved into in the FT piece at all. Nestled among commentary about red wine and cheese on toast.
Does this claim meet the BBC’s own standards of due impartiality?
3/ On 15 Jan on BBC News, Bowen suggested PM Benjamin Netanyahu delayed a ceasefire for his “own political needs” to preserve a coalition supported by “hardline Jewish nationalists.”
Attributing political motive is not neutral analysis.
It is a judgment.

Read 10 tweets

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