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Mar 12
What jumps put for me looking at this report of the Mullah's decamping to Mashad is the US-Israeli intelligence had to know as soon as it started.

I believe that the steaming of the USS Ford through the Suez Canal happened because of this.

Collapse 🧵
1/
If the Mullah's command was moving.

Their ability to command drone and missile strikes on the USS Ford would be minimal, if only to avoid US-Israeli radio-direction finding.

Mashad is also very convenient place to run away from Iran if the government falls everywhere else.
2/ Image
The Mullah's are so afraid of getting the "Maduro Treatment" by US Special Forces in Mashad that they have blocked the local airport runways with cars

3/
Read 12 tweets
Mar 12
All sponsors need to focus. Here are the 3 pillars upon which Snowball Dev screens CRE deals:
1) Why the Property? - Its all about the Dirt & do we love it!
2) Why Now? - Can you move rents within a reasonable timeframe
3) Why Us? - Can Snowball drive unmodelled upside value👇
Why this Property? Key points we evaluate:
- Abundant land footprint
- Regular shape
- Access to Major Trucking Routes
- Broad zoning & limited easements
- Asset situated in a Pro-Business Municipalities (LOL yes they exist in Blue States!)
👇
Why Now? – Asset must have an executable mark-to-market plan
- In-place revenue provides time to transition mgmt & covers debt service
- Acquisition financing is tied to the contractual renewal windows
- Renewal rights are clear & provide value creation points for refi exit
👇
Read 5 tweets
Mar 12
🧵The war that began as a supposed decapitation strike has rapidly transformed into something far larger and far more dangerous for its architects. Instead of isolating Iran and imposing a short punitive campaign, the first eleven days have produced a regional systems war stretching from Israeli cities to Gulf bases, Iraqi installations, Lebanese border zones, and the maritime chokepoints that are necessary for the global energy economy.

This transformation matters because modern war is not decided just by the destruction of targets but by the ability of a military system to continue operating coherently under pressure. Radar networks, regional airbases, intelligence fusion centers, logistics corridors, maritime routes, and allied political support all form part of that system.

Iran’s missile activity should be read through sequencing and intended effect.I would describe the first phase as one built around degrading radar, surveillance, and early-warning architecture before maximizing destructive weight. There were repeated Iranian strikes on THAAD-linked radar systems and other advanced sensors in Jordan, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia simultaneously with waves of drones and lower-cost projectiles intended to force expenditure of defensive interceptors. The opening barrages were part of a preparatory fire design whose purpose was to reduce the quality of regional missile defense, compress warning time, disrupt command-and-control, and push the US-israeli coalition into an unfavorable consumption cycle. Once that shaping phase had taken effect, later salvos featuring heavier and more advanced missiles could produce greater damage with fewer launches.
israelis have begun describing explosions without sirens, or sirens sounding only moments before impact. Palestinians in the West Bank described warning-to-impact windows collapsing from ten minutes or more to two to five minutes, and in some cases roughly one minute.

This makes civilian sheltering less effective, interceptors have less time to calculate and engage, and the margin for error narrows dramatically. Missile defense is ultimately a battle over time. The side that sees first and classifies first usually intercepts better. The side that blinds the network first turns even a reduced launch tempo into a much more dangerous offensive. This is why later Iranian salvos did not need to be larger to be more effective. Once the warning architecture was burned down, fewer missiles carrying heavier warheads could produce greater political and physical effect than earlier larger barrages.

The war has revealed weaknesses in the Pentagon’s vision of networked warfare known as “every sensor, every shooter.” This concept imagines a battlefield where all military sensors (like radar, drones, satellites, or aircraft) are connected to all weapons systems, so that anything that detects a target can instantly pass that information to whatever platform is best positioned to destroy it.
A key part of this concept is the Joint All-Domain Command and Control (JADC2) network built around platforms like the F-35 stealth fighter. In this model, the F-35 acts as a high-tech flying sensor, detecting enemy targets and sharing that information across a digital network. That data can then be used by other forces to strike the target.

In theory, this creates a flexible kill chain,meaning the process of finding and destroying an enemy target becomes faster and more adaptable. For example, a stealth fighter might detect an enemy missile launcher but not fire on it itself. Instead, it could send the target’s location to a nearby warship or ground missile unit, which would then launch the attack.

However this high-tech system has struggled facing large numbers of shaheds and missiles from Iran. If the regional radar lattice is damaged and warning times are collapsing, then the F-35-as-mini-AEW concept has not solved the problem of persistent wide-area detection. That is why the reported move to bring an Australian E-7 Wedgetail into the Gulf matters so much. The E-7 is an airborne radar station and battle-management node, making this an attempt to restore what was destroyed by Iran on the ground.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 12
The war exposed the collapse of American protection

In less than one hour after being hit by the US and Israel, Iran responded with surgical precision, striking 17 American installations across the Middle East.

Successive waves of missiles and drones forced US troops to abandon their bases and scramble for shelter in luxury hotels, which, ironically, quickly became targets themselves.

It has now been 12 straight days of continuous bombardment, with multiple waves every single day and no sign of fatigue.

The strikes are not limited to the bases: they are hammering roads, airports, ports, hotels, and power plants.

Evacuation orders exist on paper, but they are being carried out at a snail’s pace, because security is nonexistent and far too many troops are still trapped under fire.

Almost no one remains at the American bases anymore. Even the refueling aircraft that operated out of Saudi Arabia have been pulled out and relocated to Germany.

The message to the Gulf countries is crystal clear: the US cannot even protect its own bases. You’re on your own.

The sense of invincibility that lasted for decades has been shattered.

Critical radars destroyed, interceptors running on fumes, bases bombed, Iranian missiles still launching, the Strait of Hormuz still closed, and Gulf allies left completely exposed.

All of this is being watched in real time by Asian countries that, until yesterday, were betting everything on American power to contain China.

The red light is flashing bright.
If the US couldn’t defend the Gulf against Iran… what real chance do they have of protecting anyone against Beijing?

Up until February 28, American protection felt absolute. Today it feels like something else entirely.

The collapse of that decades-long myth of absolute security is the deepest and most lasting indirect effect of this war.
To the crybabies:
Please, don’t come crying on my post. Being a patriot doesn't mean being an idiot.
I write about my perceptions and I couldn't care less if someone is unsatisfied. I know true patriots, and they never lose their critical thinking, because citizenship is their primary value.
One great American citizen and patriot m, who follow me from longtime is @bernstein_brian.
Read 3 tweets
Mar 12
@weijia @Shayan86 1).
„In a phone interview with @CBSNews on Mon. afternoon, @POTUS @realDonaldTrump said the U.S. war with Iran could almost be over.

[...]
@weijia @Shayan86 @CBSNews @POTUS @realDonaldTrump 2).
The same afternoon that the president said the war is »very complete, pretty much«, the Department of Defense posted on X [1], »We have Only Just Begun to Fight« and »no mercy [2]«. Image
@weijia @Shayan86 @CBSNews @POTUS @realDonaldTrump 3).
„ @POTUS @realDonaldTrump told @axios in a brief phone interview Wed. that the war with Iran will end »soon« because there is »practically nothing left to target«.

[...]
Read 8 tweets
Mar 12
the 'AI revolution' raises a lot of serious concerns but might i suggest we also pay attention to the phenomena of real human beings robotically reciting 60-year-old KGB talking points like they're reading the ingredients off a can of soup? apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/ADA… x.com/hecubian_devil…Image
Bertrand Russell, to Polish Prime Minister Gomułka, December 1968:
"By some twisted logic, all Jews are now Zionists, Zionists are fascists, fascists are Nazis and Jews therefore are to be identified with the very criminals who only recently sought to eliminate Polish Jewry." Image
is there a name for this rhetorical move?

1. state a conclusion w/ no evidence
2. anticipate the objection that the conclusion has no evidence
3.reframe that objection as an emotional response ("lashing out")
4. posit the aforementioned emotional response as proof of the conclusion's profundity ("what could be more perverse?").
5. describe your own conclusion as something you wish weren't true ("it feels too horrible to admit")
6. restate the original conclusion, now laundered as reluctant truth-tellingImage
Read 3 tweets
Mar 12
We caught a threat actor stealing victim data…

and storing it inside a free trial of Elastic Cloud SIEM.

Yes. Really.

Details below. 🧵
After exploiting SolarWinds Web Help Desk, the attacker ran an encoded PowerShell command to exfiltrate system data:

- OS + hardware details
- Active Directory domain info
- Installed patches
- Host metadata

Then shipped it straight into their Elastic Cloud SIEM trial.
The cybercriminal's SIEM instance exposed a lot:

- 216 compromised hosts
- Disposable emails tied to a Russian-registered temp email network
- Activity routed through a SAFING_VPN tunnel

Full investigation below. okt.to/7v6Af2
Read 3 tweets
Mar 12
S4 Airdrop @River4fun is finally here!
20 days left to stack your points.
All you need to do is stake your $RIVER and keep using satUSD across the ecosystem.
Don’t miss the window. ⏳
I’ve dropped the official link in the comments below! 👇
#RiverProtocol #Airdrop #TGE Image
@River4fun Register here : app.river.inc/fun?ref=06__00…
Image
Read 3 tweets
Mar 12
I believe our moment is quickly approaching.

They have maybe another few years of diminishing returns, if that.

The best use of our time right now is building, organizing, and planning while praying for the least amount of destruction before it happens.

We cannot succeed by merely pointing out the decay of our adversaries. We must present an optimistic and totalizing vision of the future.

We have to articulate a world where order, hierarchy, and faith are restored, where the family is honored as the bedrock of society, and where the nation is once again the home of its people.

We are the ones responsible for maintaining the flame of our people, our culture, and our faith.

The tables are turning and we must ensure that when they do, we are standing firmly in the driver’s seat, ready to steer the nation toward a future worthy of both our ancestors and future generations.
To seize the driver’s seat we must stop playing by the rules of a game designed to ensure our defeat.

We have to strip away this nonsense pretense of “neutrality.” There is no such thing. Every law, every social norm, and every cultural institution is a reflection of someone’s god and someone’s morality.

We have spent too long trying to fit our worldview into a secular framework that fundamentally denies the Kingship of Christ and the reality of our people. We will stop asking for a “seat at the table” and start building our own table.
History is rarely moved by the majority. It is moved by a committed, organized, and uncompromising vanguard.

We are that vanguard.

Our role is to articulate a vision that is so coherent, so rooted in the natural order, and so undeniably successful in practice, that it becomes the only viable path forward for the demoralized masses.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 12
Do you want to know how I tweeted that we did the attack on the school before it was confirmed? 'Twas a strong hunch based on TikTok comments posted to videos showing immediate aftermath of the event, like, "that doesn't look like Iran" to confuse viewers and avoid attribution.
By the time the news started filtering out internationally, Hegseth already knew DoD had made a mistake, and (U.S. or Israeli) bots started covering for the crime pretty much immediately using the deescalation tactics I further describe in the linked thread above.
On X, the bots covering had an Israeli vibe based on profile content and feed (like this one below). In hindsight, they may have been sent to confuse attribution but seemed more concerned with avoiding the world thinking Israel had been the one to bomb the school. Image
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Read 5 tweets
Mar 12
If Trump actually bans this stuff he can make Israel the 51st state for all I care Image
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Same people who call you a manchild for liking insult comedy and Dead or Alive Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 12
Aaron Edwards, a 46-year-old NYPD Chief and commander of Patrol Borough Manhattan North, gained national attention for his actions during a protest outside Gracie Mansion on March 7, 2026. He was hailed as a hero after leaping over a barricade to tackle Emir Balat, 18...
1) Image
, who was about to throw a second improvised explosive device (IED) during a clash between right-wing agitator Jake Lang’s anti-Muslim rally and counter-protesters. Edwards’ swift response, alongside Sgt. Luis Navarro, who ran toward a lit IED on the ground,
2)
, prevented a potentially deadly terrorist attack linked to ISIS-inspired extremism.

Edwards, who has served in the NYPD for 23 years, was inspired to join the force after witnessing officers’ heroism on 9/11.
3)
Read 7 tweets

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