Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #apsa2019

Most recents (6)

.@BrownPhDGirl, Valeria Sinclair-Chapman, @frasureyokley, @Prof_Masuoka, @realMABarreto, @USCDornsife, Todd Shaw, @CEBejarano, Ricardo Ramirez, Bradford Jones, Michael C. Dawson, @ProfCandis, & Gabriel Sanchez are here together at #APSA2019! What a lineup... #PGILinkedFate25
@BrownPhDGirl @frasureyokley @Prof_Masuoka @realMABarreto @USCDornsife @CEBejarano @ProfCandis These scholars (and @PGI_WPSA editors/guest editors/contributors) have gathered to mark the 25th anniversary of Prof. Dawson's groundbreaking book Behind the Mule. Todd Shaw kicks off the discussion with a look at place identity and neighborhood effects on political behavior.
@BrownPhDGirl @frasureyokley @Prof_Masuoka @realMABarreto @USCDornsife @CEBejarano @ProfCandis @PGI_WPSA Prof. Shaw describes his co-authored PGI article, which draws on the 2016 CMPS to analyze political participation in Black and Latinx neighborhoods. Findings conclude that face-to-face neighborhood interactions positively promote political participation in these groups.
Read 21 tweets
My #APSA2019 paper, on how coalitions end their wars...and why World War I ended in armistice, not the "knockout" the Allies had sought for so long. (1/x)…
Why did the Great War end (in the West) not with a bang but with a whimper? Turns out its part of a general problem of shifting power inside a war coalition. (2/x)
Britain and France knew that, if the war went into 1919, the US would be even more powerful, with more boots on the Continent, and Wilson would be well-positioned to dominate the peace settlement, which made an armistice look attractive. (3/x)
Read 8 tweets
Headed to #APSA2019 and Interested in conflict, prejudice reduction, and field-experiments in MENA? Join us on Thursday, 2:00pm at Hilton (Jefferson West). @aasiegel @salma_mousa_ @David_Romney and I will present our papers, @zeitzoff will discuss, and Donald Green will chair. Image
I enjoyed reading the other papers on my panel a lot, and I learnt so much from their creative takes on conflict, prejudice reduction and experimental design. So here are very brief summaries of the paper on the panel:
@aasiegel will present evidence from an experiment in the Arab twitter-sphere + survey experiment in 🇱🇧 demonstrating that elite-endorsed messages that prime common religious identity reduce hate speech online. Image
Read 6 tweets
My new #APSA2019 #apsa19 paper, "The Suburbanization of the Democratic Party, 1992–2018," touches on political geography, ideology, race, Congress, and the college-educated white vote, among other topics. A few main findings follow in the thread below:…
1. The Democrats have become a more suburban party since the 1980s because they have become less rural, not because they've become less urban (figure below shows House elections, but pattern holds for presidency & Senate too):
2. Suburban politics is changing due to growth of racial minority populations, especially in large metro areas. There are now almost as many suburban as urban majority-minority House districts, and there are *more* non-white House Dems from suburban seats than from urban seats.
Read 8 tweets
At #APSA2019, @szasulja and I are presenting our research on why online political discussions are perceived as more toxic than offline political discussions. We provide evidence against a common media narrative: The mismatch hypothesis. A thread on our key findings: (1/9)
We use representative surveys from the US and Denmark to document that people at large do indeed perceive online environments as more hostile than offline. In figure, higher values equals more perceived hostility and dark gray plots show distribution for "online debates". (2/9)
The mismatch hypothesis says this reflects a mismatch between (a) a human psychology adapted for face-to-face interaction and (b) the impersonal online environment. We test three versions of the mismatch hypothesis: Mismatched-induced change, selection and perception (3/9)
Read 9 tweets
Voters now conceptualize politics at higher levels, with more listing ideological concepts or at least 3 policy issues (wonks) in ANES likes/dislikes of the parties/candidates

Marty Wattenberg, The Changing Nature of Mass Belief Systems
In 2016, Republicans (especially Trump voters) were less likely than usual to be coded as ideologues & Democrats (especially Sanders voters) were more likely to be ideologues, drastically reducing the partisan asymmetry

Marty Wattenberg data #APSA2019
2 processes for increasing partisan-ideological sorting:
-Ideologues & wonks are becoming more sorted (below)
- Everyone is becoming less likely to be mis-sorted

Increasing educational attainment can account for 1/2 of the effect

Wattenberg #APSA2019
Read 4 tweets

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