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14 Aug 18, 23 tweets, 10 min read
I want at least one millionaire to be concerned about self-improving AI, and how that's our best chance to solve all existential risks / complex problems, for which human intelligence is too slow or never enough

I have to make 7+ figures per year…

Lonely means less talking, that's not necessarily bad, neither good. It's what you make of it.

⏳ > 💰
If talking was more effective, it would be less tolerated.
Move forward, they will try to catch up

Don't tell anyone to move forward, they will discuss what direction is "forward"

Lead by example

If data needs to be shared, write it: asynchronous communication that works for the future

If a decision needs to be made, share the data, check it, think

Different conclusions from the same data are only possible when mistaken

Meetings are meant to solve those mistakes. By being ambiguous, PowerPoint creates the delusion of agreement & certainty in mistakes (when there was doubt before)

A kakonomic tool, bad results, but it requires a low investment (no need to be specific)

Meetings themselves are quite kakonomical in nature

This is a good read on what kakonomy is

ft.com/content/22b497…
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Many links fit in one tweet, but Twitter won't allow it, therefore, I have to split in two tweets





Maybe I should use a different platform, but the only intelligent option is to STFU now






Your mistake. My opportunity.
I feel no need to say anything when someone as influential as @elonmusk is ignored to such extent

Don't talk, build

@elonmusk #ClimateCrisis has made worries about #PeakOil irrelevant

There is no point in talking about remote potential problems when there is so much work to do on actual existential threats
@elonmusk



I often think about this kind of problem

Similarly for Bill Gates and others with warnings about climate change, pandemics,…

Most decision makers should be treated as toddlers, resulting in post-truth

I find myself inclined to write about many things

Reminder: you need to write about something only if:
- It is new, well founded, ethical, actionable, tested, and working
- Someone interested in it coming from you will find it

If all check, write precisely and concisely

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More from @trylks

🦾🧠⚗️ Profile picture
10 Aug
Substraction thread
Particularly relevant for time management
Set an aspirational hourly rate, it will help you to quantify the importance of activities and stay focused
Read 6 tweets
🦾🧠⚗️ Profile picture
11 Jun
Not enough has been written about how the Dunning-Kruger effect is a self-fulfilled prophecy by the Thomas theorem:

1. Redefining mediocre as excellent

2. Creating a kakonomy (lemons ≻ peaches), with positive feedback loop & Matthew effect

3. Resulting in a race to the bottom
The Matthew effect, e.g. network effect, impedes beating the mediocre, e.g. blub paradox and market dynamics

The peaches result not indistinguishable from the lemons but actually worse, possibly even "harbingers of failure", even at an axiological or first principles level
Differently from other multipolar traps, the main causes are epistemic and the strength of numbers; not a moral hazard. If there is a moral decision, it is beyond the comprehension of the mediocre majority

The few peaches, irrelevant as they may be, face a complicated decision:
Read 13 tweets
🦾🧠⚗️ Profile picture
25 Mar
#COVID19 thread
Fear not, I'm only linking tweets of other people. I'm not an expert on the topic

💰 vs ⚕️
Read 50 tweets
🦾🧠⚗️ Profile picture
15 Mar
This is not the best message

If population was divided between immune & elder, then the elder should be the ones in their homes

You cannot infect any elder by having a beer with your friend Josh in a pub if the elders are at their homes in quarantine
Rather, consider you are increasing the probability of:
1. recurrence into a version of the virus that may kill you (even before you are old), and
2. saturating the healthcare system, that you may need, for example after a car accident
So you don't really need to be altruistic. You don't need to think about others, or that we-are-all-in-this-together

It would be appreciated, and would make you a decent human, as opposed to scum unworthy of life

But it is not necessary, you see?
Read 6 tweets
🦾🧠⚗️ Profile picture
1 Dec 19
Thread on intelligence

First: health

For every system, what allows it to operate in a wider range of situations in the future and for longer time, contributes to its health, it is beneficial (game & value theory)

Easy to see in systems like: body, mind, economy, ecosystems,…
This fits with the usual definition of adaptability to the environment, and the less common ability of pursuing an objective function in a wide range of situations, but there's more to it

The objective function is more specific: increasing health

The adaptation is not necessary
Intelligence cannot be understood without upper and lower holistic levels

Parasites have by definition a detrimental effect on the health of their hosts, less health means less intelligence for their strategy for survival, e.g. if they cause the death of their host, they may die
Read 13 tweets
🦾🧠⚗️ Profile picture
14 Nov 19
HR departments highly scientific algorithms may be (very accurately and systematically) selecting for lemons, discarding peaches

Perfect example of kakonomy in many levels: HR, executives, candidates, managers,… take any two
If you make questions for a job interview without due attention, you may ask something different from what you think you are asking, and you will effectively filter out people that know better than you.

Please do, otherwise meetings will be very frustrating later on.
If you want to do new things, you have to be your own boss

Work 9 to 5 on boring repetitive tasks to pay the bills, then be your own boss to grow

HR depts will rarely risk putting you on something new, they will tell you to do what you have already done
Read 9 tweets

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