Parliamo delle assunzioni sottostanti alla Riforma Fornero:

1) Produttivita da 0.3% degli ultimi 20 anni a 1.4% in 2030-2040
2) Participation rate al 70% in 2040 (siamo al 58%)
3) unemployment al 6%
4) +170K immigrati pa tra 2020 e 2040
5) fertiiti rate a 1.51% da 1.32%
cosi facendo la spesa pensionistica avrebbe un picco al 16.2% nel 2040 (17.2% dopo quota 100) per andare al 13% nel 2070 (14% circa dopo quota 100)
La Fornero era stata ottimista....
Figuriamoci ora....
pero' adesso avremo 3 lavoratori per ogni pensionato

easyyyy boysss

saluti
PS: Fertility rate
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