, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
You should look at the tipping point states rather than the closest states, which are indeed gonna be pretty similar from year to year.
I'm more anti-anti-anti-Electoral College than I am anti-Electoral College. The arguments that usually-smart people make to defend are often poor to the point where they persuade me against their position vs. if they'd said nothing at all.
Of course the real reason the Electoral College is good is because it requires people to carefully consider how error & uncertainty are correlated between different states in order to develop well-calibrated probabilistic election forecasts, a vital underpinning of our democracy.
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