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Jul 22, 2019 13 tweets 29 min read Read on X
THREAD: Most reporting on DFA's July 2019 Presidential Pulse Poll results that we released today will be focused on the current top-lines, there's a TON of fascinating info right beneath the surface.

Let's take a little time & chat about them.
First: the way the top-five candidates in our Presidential Pulse Polls have changed (& occasionally haven't) over time is fascinating.

@BernieSanders has been strong throughout, but the growing support for @ewarren and @KamalaHarris since Dec. 2018 is v. noteworthy.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris The changing dynamics of progressive's top-5 in our July 2019, April 2019, and December 2018 Presidential Pulse Pols is more pronounced in this graph.

Check out: @ewarren's rapid growth over the last three months... also @BetoORourke & @PeteButtigieg rapid rises & descents.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg One interesting comparative:

Between our Dec. 2018 and April 2019 polls, @BetoORourke lose 70% of his support -- mostly to @PeteButtigieg.

Three months later, from April 2019 to July 2019, @PeteButtigieg lost the momentum he had by a similar margin (60%).
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg Other #unexpected results:

While three Senators (@BernieSanders, @ewarren, & @KamalaHarris) top of our July 2019 Pulse Poll, none of the other Senators in the race (@amyklobuchar, @CoryBooker, @gillibrandny, @MichaelBennet) break double digits.

See: poll.democracyforamerica.com/results
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet One neat part of the @DFAaction Presidential Pulse Poll is that we ask folks for their rank-ordered top 3.

This means we can look at both head-to-head results & see who's leading the fight for "second choice" -- something really important in the iterative nomination contest.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet .@ewarren's +10 lead in the fight for "second choice" in the July 2019 DFA Presidential Pulse Poll is incredibly important & could be easily missed on first glance -- it suggests as others leave the race, she might be the big beneficiary.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet The strength of @ewarren's overall & second choice standing in this poll means that, right now, in a head-to-head race with @BernieSanders, Warren would win 54% to 46%.

That’s a MASSIVE 54 point swing from our April 2019 Presidential Pulse Poll.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet DFA's July 2019 Presidential Pulse Poll was also the first time we've asked folks about what their top 3 issues were heading into the contest.

We saw another #unexpected result here too:

The #GreenNewDeal just barely edged out #MedicareForAll as the top issue for progressives.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet Asking respondents about their top issues also provided a powerful lens to begin understanding what drives support for some candidates.

Despite @JoeBiden being more or less agnostic about calls to #ImpeachTrump, it was the TOP issue for his supporters in our 7/19 Pulse Poll.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet @JoeBiden Not dissimilarly, @AndrewYang’s surprisingly strong finish in our 7/19 Pulse poll (#5) is undoubtedly tied to the white-hot interest his supporters have in universal basic income (#UBI).

The link between Yang supporters and UBI (72%) is by far & away the strongest in our poll.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet @JoeBiden @AndrewYang We're not certain that @AndrewYang makes it to the debate stage in September, but our 7/19 poll results surrounding #UBI make clear the profound impact he's already having on this race -- and the kind of bold ideas progressives' will be prioritizing in the future.
@BernieSanders @ewarren @KamalaHarris @BetoORourke @PeteButtigieg @amyklobuchar @CoryBooker @gillibrandny @MichaelBennet @JoeBiden @AndrewYang All in all, DFA's 7/19 Presidential Pulse poll relayed some fascinating info about where the race is ahead of next week's debates in Detroit.

Play w/ the results themselves here: poll.democracyforamerica.com/results.

And read our analysis in full here: s3.amazonaws.com/actionkit.demo…

/Thread

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More from @DFAaction

Jan 8, 2021
Senator-Elects @ossoff and @ReverendWarnock's victory in GA is not only a beacon of hope during a dark week, it is a direct referendum on the institutions of white nationalism and authoritarianism that Donald Trump and his supporters have tried to reinforce in this country. (1/5)
Joy is an act of political resistance, and we will not allow our joy over this trailblazing victory to be stolen by the violent and incendiary actions of Donald Trump and his enablers. (2/5)
We are so grateful for Georgians who showed up and voted & and we salute all the volunteers, organizers & activists who worked on the ground, on Zoom and via text to get out the vote for @ReverendWarnock and @ossoff and turn GA blue yet again! (3/5) Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 29, 2018
THREAD: After the #TreeOfLifeSynagogue #shooting, the #KrogerShooting before that, and the +14 bombs sent by the #MAGABomber, it's crucial that we call #RightWingTerrorism out for what it is, but we also clearly need to talk about #WhiteSupremacy in the 2018 election.
We celebrate the truly #HISTORIC number of #women and #POC running for office in 2018, but we also refuse to ignore the volume & range of explicit and implicit #racist attacks almost every single candidate of color has faced in this election. That's also #WhiteSupremacy in action
Let's be clear: #POC running for elected office have ALWAYS faced hurdles to victory defined by the strength of #StructuralRacism and our country's long-standing culture of #WhiteSupremacy. But 2018 has taken it to a new level.
Read 12 tweets

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