,
4 tweets,
2 min read
Read on Twitter
If you are talking about the actual screencaptures, we have them on several hard drives. Hundreds of captures, some partial, some full crosstabs. Not easy to transmit/display in this medium - here's one example (E2016-WI-P-+6'27"*):
*6min27sec after poll closing 1/
*6min27sec after poll closing 1/
For those wondering why the time stamp is critical, these polls are "adjusted" towards congruence with the votecounts in the minutes and hours after poll closing, as those votecounts become available. So only first postings are (relatively) uncontaminated. 2/
The upshot of all this data can be seen in what we call second-order comparatives (see chart attached): the National Exit Poll was ACCURATE - just Trump's improbable swing-state wins showed wild disparities. 3/
When a pattern like that keeps repeating itself, one election after another, well from a statistical/scientific perspective it doesn't get much more damning than that. 4/4
