A short thread today on the old adage that a little knowledge is a dangerous thing.

We found @BrexitParty_DS due to his rant about traitors.

But actually he's normally quite reasoned. Except for one thing. Darren really doesnt want to learn about the world, so he invents it.
In Darren's fictional world countries can be bought and sold on their worth, like footballers. Don't like one buyer? Another one's waiting.

His vlog below makes this plausible argument using Harry Kane
Only problem? Darren doesn't check the reality

Darren doesn't need long. In no more than 5 minutes online he could educate himself on the reality of tradeblocks. It's a simple concept.

In that one small piece of additional knowledge Darren's Kane analogy crumbles and probably his support of the No Deal con. Let's add reality
Harry Kane is at the end of his career. One club offers him a deal to be manager and sit on the board

He has only one alternative, but he'll have no say with them.

Harry should trade them off. But he spits in the eye of his old club before he's got a deal with the new one.
So Darren likes No Deal when he should realise it's less independence as an EU Vassal state. It's just basic knowledge on his main topic.

It is not stupidity. Within Darren's restricted view he's logical and principled.

He just hasn't bothered to read or learn.
Dont make Darren's mistake. Trade blocks, international agreements. They're not so hard, read and learn.

To make that easy we put this simple guide together on how No Deal fails every Brexit test.

But DON'T just believe us. Go learn test, be a skeptic.

Because when you're a child, the world is what you wish it to be.

As an adult you need to learn about how it really is, or you risk being conned.

if you want Brexit you should be more informed than anyone.

We're don't persuade. We ask you to learn more than the con artists.

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More from @atatimelikethis

Mar 23, 2023
An excellent summary of the cost of living in Germany vs in the UK.

This has very little to do with the EU. It's about corruption in politics.

One country invests in the long term future of its citizens

The other gives out backhanders, crony contracts and dodgy deals to donors
One thing @skedeschi doesn't cover is a comparison of the two political systems.

Like the UK, Germany is a collection of smaller states working together under a United Federation.

But unlike the UK, each state is fairly represented. In the UK, England gets a 90% block vote.
Lke the UK, Germans value both their local representatives and the ability to choose between various policies offered by political parties.

And both countries have roughly 600 MPs, albeit Germany makes this work with a much larger population

But there the similarities end
Read 50 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
You might conclude there are no data on lab lib overt/covert pacts.

You wonder. Has no one analysed whether to compete?

TLDR you'd be right to ask. And maybe then surprised. The bigger issue is that 75% of #Johnson's seats are due to a huge mess-up on this in 2019
Data follow⬇️
Ok first #TivertonandHoniton #Wakefield

Was it worth lab and lib striking local "non-compete" agreements?

Absolutely.

LSE analysis shows⬇️📈vote share can shift ~5-30% just by not competing. Or this week maybe a darn lot more.

blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpol…
Someone may want to argue lib dems do slightly better.

They do.
But that's because they start far smaller
AND it's easier for marginal voters to settle on centrist.

Also that effect is minor vs the boost labour gets from LD where they need it.

But one more thing...
Read 8 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
Since everyone is talking Criminal Justice today, for obvious reasons, some thoughts below.

Every time Patel plays Gesture Politics, changes sentences, botches laws, adds grounds for appeal, she knows she's making a broken system worse.

Proof of insincerity and/or incompetence?
How does Criminal Justice end up like this?

This man ⬇️ is a victim of another Home Office miscarriage of justice.

His pursuit by Patel is political. And the cost is massive amounts of Court and Barrister time.

Now recall, he is just one of thousands.

I doubt you're a fan of the Government's Rwanda Policy.

But imagine you were. Most likely you wouldn't want it in court, failing to work. You'd want to avoid last minute appeals.

Yet Patel creates exactly those problems. This is how to avoid them ⬇️

Read 6 tweets
May 10, 2022
Whatever faces the UK, it's complex. To prosper we will need these:

Careful, long term thinking
Objectivity in difficult tradeoffs
Honesty, shrewd negotiation
Deep analysis and preparation
Dedicated ruthless planning

Meanwhile it's #Bodger #Johnson's Queens Speech.

Chances? ❌
This dichotomy is just weird:

Take #Brexit.

Imagine, if you can; your passion for extracting the UK from the EU was unpersuaded by any argument to the contrary.

OK.

But did you think doing it was so simple that Slapdash-cover-the-cracks Bodger was the guy to run it?
Out of the blue, we faced a Global #COVID19 Pandemic.

OK,caught a little short with the No 10 leadership. It happens.

But maybe reconsider when you found out he dodged all the scientific briefings at the start to write a book?

You wanted to #Bodger your way through?
Read 8 tweets
Jan 27, 2022
The High Court has found the #HomeOffice guilty of illegal mugging of Asylum Seekers.

It is NOT illegal to flee danger, but the HO wrongly said it was, deciding to steal possessions from victims. That IS illegal.

No one knows where this 2020 policy originated. Some ideas ⬇️ ImageImageImageImage
@pritipatel has constantly and deliberately (unless she's just stupid) lied about the legality of those who flee danger to come to our country.

She also characterised the victims of violence as economic migrants - a number her HO data says is vanishingly small.⬇️ ImageImage
Today is #HolocaustMemorialDay

Lest any of us forget, this was an event, the result of a policy of hate directed toward a marginalised community unable to defend itself by lying positions wishing to rabble rouse and distract a disenchanted set of deceived voters.

Familiar?
Read 4 tweets

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