The 2nd audience requested thread to cover Brexit from different angles.

For those who said they were concerned about giving remainer tips to Leavers, don't be.

We try to keep leavers with us. But since it's impossible to do brexit in the way it was promised They may switch off
What a challenge! Find a way
1. To make a brexit case
2. To deliver brexit
3. Most, at least a majority of Leavers and Remainers support it.

FWIW we think the final one is impossible, everyone is too dug in now. But it could have been possible once and so we'll build that case
This is the journey we'll take you all on

Section A. The Case to Consider for the UK.

(And a crucial renaming of the project)

Section B. The alternatives for the UK compared to the EU

Section C. The transition plan for the UK to our new model
Section A. The Case for the UK

Before any case building we have to rename this project. Maybe some like a project which has a goal of leaving something without going somewhere. But Remainers hate that

So how about the British Intelligent Gowth Hope and Transition plan

BRIGHT
See
Remainers feel better already. All soft and warm. This isnt an existential unplanned threat to throw the country at the asset strippers.

BRIGHT is just looking at the best options for all of us in the future.

Who could object to that?
To make this case, we have to all agree we should even start.

For Leavers that's easy, a corrupt EU, stealing sovereignty etc. Crucially we don't need to make the case to you. You're already there.

Remainers, you're the problem we need a different approach.
If BRIGHT will end up in the UK leaving the EU, Remainers actually should be our prime audience.

Why? Too many to ignore.

You can brush over a niche. But if you want to drive huge change, the majority needs to come with you. Or you create resistance.

We want BRIGHT to work
So
We will never be devisive.
We won't say traitor
We will not divide and conquer
We won't lie to try to make our case
We'll never promise the impossible

Not because we're particularly nice snowflakes. But because history is littered with good ideas that failed due to division.
We spend time studying remainers. We find that any suggestion we make will be questioned, any promise scrutinised, any plan disected

In that we'll find a positive. They are a naturally curious lot. They could even help.

Which makes our bid to kick off Project BRIGHT so simple
This is a our pitch to all

Do you think we need to plan the long term future of the UK?
Should we look at the big changes we need to benefit us all?
Should we have a plan for the next 30, 40 or 50 years so our children inherit a better country?

I'd sign up for that BRIGHT plan
After a few weeks of inevitable media bashing, attempting to corrupt BRIGHT with agendas from their owners, we move forward.

BRIGHT's board cuts across politicians of all flavours but also includes normal citizens who have a special job. To criticise
To ask always how this helps
Why the citizens?

They are us

We know this project will need huge change

We know the media will create divisions - both for headlines and in service of billionaire owners looking after themselves

And we're realistic. Everyone distrusts politicians. Why pretend otherwise?
So now we're set up and running, we just need to make the case.

We now need to think more about leavers because at this point we risk losing them.

Ironically not because we'll be going in a direction they'll disagree with. But because we won't describe a world they know.
Our job is easier than Vote Leave. We don't have to demonise the EU because we're not leaving, we're going somewhere.

We don't need cartoon commission villains, Turks crossing borders or 40 years of bendy banana lies.

So we use the money to give everyone some crucial facts
There are two types
1. For Leavers we separate the EU from the world. Many remember life before the EU. We clarify what we're stuck with even if we leave

2. For Remainers we will define what we give up in order to get.

We may end with different views but we need the same facts.
At the end of Section A, BRIGHT gifts the UK these things

1. Same starting point. For example we all know that the world operates in trade blocks and by leaving one we are joining another.

2. We have a shared view of what the EU gives us. Even if we don't all value it the same.
Section B. The alternatives for the UK Compared to the EU

UNDER CONSTRUCTION

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More from @atatimelikethis

Mar 23, 2023
An excellent summary of the cost of living in Germany vs in the UK.

This has very little to do with the EU. It's about corruption in politics.

One country invests in the long term future of its citizens

The other gives out backhanders, crony contracts and dodgy deals to donors
One thing @skedeschi doesn't cover is a comparison of the two political systems.

Like the UK, Germany is a collection of smaller states working together under a United Federation.

But unlike the UK, each state is fairly represented. In the UK, England gets a 90% block vote.
Lke the UK, Germans value both their local representatives and the ability to choose between various policies offered by political parties.

And both countries have roughly 600 MPs, albeit Germany makes this work with a much larger population

But there the similarities end
Read 50 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
You might conclude there are no data on lab lib overt/covert pacts.

You wonder. Has no one analysed whether to compete?

TLDR you'd be right to ask. And maybe then surprised. The bigger issue is that 75% of #Johnson's seats are due to a huge mess-up on this in 2019
Data follow⬇️
Ok first #TivertonandHoniton #Wakefield

Was it worth lab and lib striking local "non-compete" agreements?

Absolutely.

LSE analysis shows⬇️📈vote share can shift ~5-30% just by not competing. Or this week maybe a darn lot more.

blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpol…
Someone may want to argue lib dems do slightly better.

They do.
But that's because they start far smaller
AND it's easier for marginal voters to settle on centrist.

Also that effect is minor vs the boost labour gets from LD where they need it.

But one more thing...
Read 8 tweets
Jun 27, 2022
Since everyone is talking Criminal Justice today, for obvious reasons, some thoughts below.

Every time Patel plays Gesture Politics, changes sentences, botches laws, adds grounds for appeal, she knows she's making a broken system worse.

Proof of insincerity and/or incompetence?
How does Criminal Justice end up like this?

This man ⬇️ is a victim of another Home Office miscarriage of justice.

His pursuit by Patel is political. And the cost is massive amounts of Court and Barrister time.

Now recall, he is just one of thousands.

I doubt you're a fan of the Government's Rwanda Policy.

But imagine you were. Most likely you wouldn't want it in court, failing to work. You'd want to avoid last minute appeals.

Yet Patel creates exactly those problems. This is how to avoid them ⬇️

Read 6 tweets
May 10, 2022
Whatever faces the UK, it's complex. To prosper we will need these:

Careful, long term thinking
Objectivity in difficult tradeoffs
Honesty, shrewd negotiation
Deep analysis and preparation
Dedicated ruthless planning

Meanwhile it's #Bodger #Johnson's Queens Speech.

Chances? ❌
This dichotomy is just weird:

Take #Brexit.

Imagine, if you can; your passion for extracting the UK from the EU was unpersuaded by any argument to the contrary.

OK.

But did you think doing it was so simple that Slapdash-cover-the-cracks Bodger was the guy to run it?
Out of the blue, we faced a Global #COVID19 Pandemic.

OK,caught a little short with the No 10 leadership. It happens.

But maybe reconsider when you found out he dodged all the scientific briefings at the start to write a book?

You wanted to #Bodger your way through?
Read 8 tweets
Jan 27, 2022
The High Court has found the #HomeOffice guilty of illegal mugging of Asylum Seekers.

It is NOT illegal to flee danger, but the HO wrongly said it was, deciding to steal possessions from victims. That IS illegal.

No one knows where this 2020 policy originated. Some ideas ⬇️ ImageImageImageImage
@pritipatel has constantly and deliberately (unless she's just stupid) lied about the legality of those who flee danger to come to our country.

She also characterised the victims of violence as economic migrants - a number her HO data says is vanishingly small.⬇️ ImageImage
Today is #HolocaustMemorialDay

Lest any of us forget, this was an event, the result of a policy of hate directed toward a marginalised community unable to defend itself by lying positions wishing to rabble rouse and distract a disenchanted set of deceived voters.

Familiar?
Read 4 tweets

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