, 8 tweets, 2 min read
I've been thinking a little about Mayor Pete's strategy in going after Warren last night. I spend a bit of time in Iowa, have spent time with people who work Iowa campaigns. Iowa is Pete's strongest state. There's a real donor payoff in going after EW in the way he did last night
But I just don't see it working in moving Iowa caucus-goers. Right now she's probably in the lead, she's built that lead steadily, positively with a real field organization that's touched, people. I know, when I was in Iowa this last month EW field staffers were the only people
I saw knocking on the door of my wife's family. My wife's parents are Biden 1's - Warren 2's. It's hard to get them off Biden but I certainly don't think that unloading on Biden is the way to do it. In fact, before Tuesday's debate as we were doing facetime with the toddler they
asked nervously if I thought Warren was going to attack Joe Biden. I told them most certainly not and if anything, she'll be the target of attacks because she was seen as the front runner. They will almost certainly vote Biden but maybe they'll vote Warren. The downside for
Buttigieg is that he had built an Iowa orginization and reputation on positive image and persona about himself. In the last DSM poll he was the 2nd most popular candidate behind..... Elizabeth Warren. But attacking, and doing it in this way can back fire. The other number in the
same poll shows that Castro's negative's had jumped from 11% - 33% after his last attacks on Biden at the last debate. Here's the link to the poll desmoinesregister.com/story/news/pol…
Anyhow, who does it help? Maybe it doesn't help warren. Kamala and Booker are the two other candidates in Iowa with real field organizations that aren't trying to scare dem voters with GOP talking points about medicare for all. Anyhow, here's my point.
Iowa's a nice state.
It's where Pete is doing the best.
Pete could have shot himself in the foot, a la Gephardt going after Dean '04
A donor strategy isn't an Iowa strategy and it makes things harder for your field team since caucus universe isn't rabid anti-m4a types
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