A well meaning follower at @GreeksPoint asked me this and I'm sure others will have the same question.
How much return on margin can I make using your #GammaScalping Webinar?
Great question and thanks for it. Here are some thoughts.
1/n
One of the primary goals when @alok_dharia and I started running Webinars at @Greekspoint was to educate and share our experiences with others.
But in addition we wanted to ensure that we present a quantifiable representation of our learnings.
2/n
In all our Webinars we have attempted to put quantifiable metrics out regarding the ideas discussed.
A number of them show positive profitable expectancy but we have tried to also include testing results that show a strategy doesn't work.
3/n
Although each of the strategies we have discussed can be rolled into a trading syatem.
We have deliberately tried to stay away from presenting a full trading system.
Why you might ask?
4/n
All backtests have well defined rules and assumptions that are mentioned in the presentation for each.
However, a trading syatem needs several other inputs that are specific to each trader.
5/n
A few factors that go into a full trading system.
- Total Trading Risk Capital
- Personal tolerance for drawdowns
- Risk per trade
- Allocation to sub-strategies within the overall trading plan
6/n
All of these and other questions will have very specific answers for each individual.
More importantly, this is an aspect of discovery that a trader needs to go through.
Discovery?
7/n
Yes, Discovery!
Expectations of what might be tolerable in terms of drawdowns will definitely get challenged when your trading account actually goes through it.
I have seen Traders claim they are fine with 30% drawdown but get completely uncomfortable when even 10% is hit.
8/n
So even though the strategies we discuss have statistical results mentioned, the performance in a trading setup will be determined by your own #TradingPlan.
9/n
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The only difference comes from government mandated costs for the different instruments.
(2/n)
Unless you are trading extrinsic Value, which in essence is a trade now not on direction but on volatility, there is no difference between using an option or future.