Profile picture
, 6 tweets, 3 min read
My Authors
Read all threads
It's here!!! The 100 Million (Non-Voter) large n survey!!!

Shocking finding- most non-voters are LOW education (yes, I am being facetious) the100million.org
Like their voting counterparts- they lie to pollsters (they don't like the candidates but I betcha if we pressed them, they couldn't name any. Or few. They just don't want to five an honest answer & this response allows them to deflect the blame
Like previous research on this topic shows, non-voters display low levels of something called political efficacy: IE, they don't realize that politics effects their daily lives & are tuned out. This is connected to educ- which is why college and voting are so highly correlated
The battlefield of social media is so important, esp because one side is weaponizing it, bc young people do not use ANY other source of information
The really good stuff is in the actual report- I strongly encourage you to go read through it. Here, the DKs can probably be assumed to fall into category 1, but they don't want to admit it.

knightfoundation.org/wp-content/upl…
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh.

Enjoying this thread?

Keep Current with Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌

Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @RachelBitecofer see all

Profile picture
Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌
@RachelBitecofer
This is such a great question. And to be clear- Ds should be able to win both of these states in 2020. But of the 2, its AZ and its not even close. A+ senate nominee in a state that flipped in '18 & AZ is actually a story of both turnout & persuasion bc Never Trump/McCain Rs.
A small, and mean small, group of whom appear to have strategically voted against McSally in the 2018 cycle bc both the CNN exits & other data I've looked at show that only 88% of Rs voted for the R senate candidate there. That is 2 pts higher than the normal break down & AZ was
the ONLY state we saw something like that happen in for Rs (I have an article I am working on for this) other than WVA, which is still a "historical Dem" realignment where a significant % of Rs are casting ballots for Manchin, but Manchin will likely be the last D they vote for
Read 6 tweets
Profile picture
Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌
@RachelBitecofer
As terrible as a nasty, Bloomberg/Sanders, Capitalist vs Socialist battle till June scenario @jheiljust laid out sounds its better than a contested/brokered convention.

Of course, polarization means w/ or w/o this: Trump's floor & ceiling are still about 46-48%, respectively
Given the almost complete inelasticity of Trump's expected two-party vote share, in theory, @TheDemocrats could survive anything other than 3rd party candidates that make the above plurality a winning vote margin, as it was in 2016 in all the key swing states. Ds can def cause
their own destruction if they fail to rally around their own nominee. 1 side IS going to lose. If its the Bernie people- they'll be forced to swallow their personal moral outrages to save the lives of brown people. If its the mainstream, they will be forced to do something Dems
Read 12 tweets
Profile picture
Rachel "The Doc" Bitecofer 📈🔭🍌
@RachelBitecofer
As the efforts to derail the census & the leaked GOP strategist's gerrymandering files show- the Republican Party knows they have a massive math problem they locked into when they embraced MAGAism. Now you can learn their long-term plans to deal w it via stacking the courts w
Federalist Society jurists w the long-term goal of creating something that could be called "tiered citizenship." When I reviewed Richard Chew's article for @VASocialScience I knew when it made it to print, I would bring it to the attention of my @NiskanenCenter colleagues & also
to you. BC this is the long-term strategic plans that drive the short-term, seemingly random & disjointed actions of state & national Republicans right now. And it is why non-Rs can no longer afford to chuckle and dismiss efforts to strategize as a thing they simply do not do:
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Nightbaker
@NightBaker3
Thread: Soros Voting Machines, Election Rigging, Shadow App, POTUS' Comms & Q

1/ POTUS TWEET & DELETE - "WHAT REALLY HAPPENED"
On Feb 5, POTUS tweeted this only to delete it seconds later.
It was never reposted.
Note there's no question mark and each word is capitalized.
#Qanon Image
2/ WHAT HAPPENED - HILLARY'S BOOK
'What Happened' of course, is the name of Hillary's book revealing why she believed she lost the 2016 presidential election.
Was POTUS directing our attention to the 2016 election and the 2020 Iowa primary?
#Qanon Image
3/ WHAT REALLY HAPPENED - HOWIE CARR'S BOOK
Approx an hour after POTUS deleted the above, he re-tweeted Howie Carr, the author of the book "What Really Happened", the title a dig at Hillary's.
Was POTUS pointing us again to Iowa, and "What Really Happened" ?
#Qanon Image
Read 38 tweets
Profile picture
G. Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris
Trump approval by 2016 vote (Economist/YouGov polls):

Clinton: 4%
Other: 25%
**Non-voters: 34%**
Trump: 91%
Approval among non-voters, by Census region:

New England: 30
Pacific: 30
Middle Atlantic: 31
Mountain: 32
South Atlantic: 35
East North Central: 36 ("Midwest")
West North Central: 37 ("Midwest")
West South Central 37
East South Central: 38 ("Deep south")

(all are still net negative on Trump approval, btw)
Read 8 tweets
Profile picture
John Burn-Murdoch
@jburnmurdoch
NEW: @greenmiranda & @tomhannen have a brilliant video on how Brexit has warped British politics out of shape ft.com/video/bc7ef2b4…

In it, @ProfJaneGreen discusses the shifting tectonics, aided by charts showing the changing electoral landscape.

It’s chart thread time:
@greenmiranda @tomhannen @ProfJaneGreen 1/9 Here are the two axes where we usually situate people & parties
• Economic axis from Left (pro redistribution) to Right (anti redist, pro business)
• Cultural axis from top (authoritarian, tough on crime, traditional British values) to bottom (liberal, individual freedoms)
@greenmiranda @tomhannen @ProfJaneGreen 2/9 Here’s where Leave and Remain voters are clustered, per BES data. There’s a lot of common ground on economics, but they’re split culturally.

Remainers skew very liberal, Leavers authoritarian.

NB those Leavers in the upper-left: socially conservative, economically left-wing
Read 12 tweets
Profile picture
͏Postcards4USA🆘
@postcards4USA
Democrats need to flip 2 of 40 Senate seats in #VAElections2019 to #TakeTheMajority
Virginia will be a bellwether for #Elections2020
(House of Delegates need 2 of 100 seats)
Register by October 15: elections.virginia.gov/voter-outreach

#FlipVABlue #TakeTheMajority2019
THREAD of Dem Candidates
The path to #Elections2020 Victory cuts through Virginia #Elections2019
#DemCast from @DemWrite
#TakeTheMajority #FlipVABlue demwritepress.com/2019/07/25/the…
All 40 Virginia State Senate Seats are up in #Elections2019
(And all 100 House seats)
Want to add to these 15 Incumbent Democrats & help #TakeTheMajority and #FlipVABlue?
Check out @VADems campaign #TakeTheMajority2019 #Fightfor51 vademocrats.org/news/virginia-…
Read 28 tweets
Profile picture
Jeremy Littau
@JeremyLittau
1/ So this is the last day of #AEJMC19. For my non-academic followers, it's the major annual gathering of journalism/mass comm educators. Mostly U.S. but increasingly international. Before I leave, I want to hammer out a takeaway of interest to academic and non-academic friends.
2/ This is the first year I’ve had some conversations about the state of journalism education that have felt more dark. Since I’ve been coming here in 2005, we’ve been concerned about the state of journalism as an industry. But it’s starting to creep on journalism education.
3/ Honestly, it feels like I’m working at a newspaper again in 2000. There are storm clouds gathering, some of our own making and some demographic. We are hearing the rumbles and an occasional lightning strike, and we are bracing ourselves.
Read 29 tweets
Profile picture
MattWPBS
@MattWPBS
@andrew_lilico Okay @andrew_lilico, you need to download the tables from the Ipsos Mori survey you cited in reply to @Sime0nStylites. You need Table 43 and Table 46 from here: ipsos.com/sites/default/…

#CPC18

1/X
@andrew_lilico @Sime0nStylites Let's look at the detail with some carpet charts. All are prefaced with "If Britain votes to leave the European Union, to what extent do you think it would be better or worse for each of the following, or would it make no difference?"

2/X
@andrew_lilico @Sime0nStylites We're testing if voters voted for Brexit, despite expecting to be worse off after 5 years and about even after 20 years. So we're looking at the Leave breakdown.

3/X
Read 19 tweets

Trending hashtags

#LeonardoSandri #nonenfait #MegaApagonVlza #OpusDei #BlaseCupich #Irlanda #MedicareForAll #RolandNoé #Lejada #BlackBusiness #EndTheOccupation #JOYI #blackcommunity #DeGioia #Illinois #Sinodo18 #Megapagón #abstinenceonly #Tobin #Lori #MafiaClerical #AngeloBecciu #DemCast #Sodano #science
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!