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You asked for a simple & concrete examples of how our #COVIDー19 network #exitstrategy can move from mathematical simulation models to real life examples – see arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052 (pages 14-16) @block_per But I break it down here….
Public adherence is essential for #COVID19 social distancing. We all need an easy to understand #exitstrategy to help us gradually return to work and school. Here is our advice... arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
We propose 3 social network strategies to #FlattenTheCurve for a #COVID19 #exitstrategy: (1) interact with similar people (homophily), (2) strengthen community contact (triadic), (3) repeated contact in closed networks (safe pods)...
A floodgate #exitstrategy of full contact will overwhelm health systems - our option 3 of #COVIDー19 safe pods of repeated contacts in closed networks is the most effective to #FlattenTheCurve arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052 Here are some practical examples…..
In private life when providing care to elderly it should be: (1) same person (don't take turns), (2) who has fewest ‘bridging ties’ (fewer links to other networks), and, (3) is geographically the closest...... #COVID19 arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
For essential workers it means keeping composition of work shifts constant over long periods of time and distributing people on shifts based on proximity and similarity (e.g., residential proximity)..... #COVID19 #exitstrategy arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
For workplaces it means staggered start, break & end times by different departments or units – keep contact in small groups, but reduce contact between them #COVID19 #exitstrategy arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
For schools - closed classroom composition, varied break times, distribution of children to similar groups (e.g., residential proximity), keep contact in small groups, but reduce contact between groups #COVID19 #exitstrategy arxiv.org/abs/2004.07052
The challenge is to minimize interaction across networks. If a household of 5 connects across networks they could create infection paths between many unconnected individuals. @PNAS_News high potential of intergenerational transmission pnas.org/content/early/…
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