UK & US 2.5-2.8 hospital beds per 1000, Germany 8, South Korea 12. Will this matter? We look at differences for general & critical care hospital beds in England and Wales #COVIDー19 #CovidUK @MarkDVerhagen David Brazel @drjenndowd @ikashnitsky osf.io/g8s96/ 
Estimating hospitalization rates of #COVIDー19 & taking #demographics into account, we estimate coming high pressures in certain regions such as #powys (#Wales) and #IsleofWight (England) #CovidUK See our new paper: osf.io/g8s96/
Using recently published infection rates and demographic age-structure we estimated ‘hospital deserts’ where #COVIDー19 pressures will likely overwhelm the #NHSCovidHeroes #powys, #Northumberland, Rutland, #IsleofWight & #Suffolk osf.io/g8s96/
Here are all hospitals in Wales with their bed capacity & what we (conservatively) estimate are likely #COVIDー19 hospitalization rates osf.io/g8s96/
Using a hypothetical #COVIDー19 infection rate of just 10% in England & Wales, there are clear #hospitaldeserts and #tippingpoint where #CovidUK demand for health care will outstrip supply osf.io/g8s96/
Fine-grained expected hospitalization for #COVIDー19 in #London. More hospital capacity in areas with older populations but also more hospital pressure – #Harrow has an older population & declared a #NHS ‘critical incident’ March 19 osf.io/g8s96/
