Thread by @CarnegieIndia

In a new working paper, "Dealing With the #Taliban: India’s Strategy in Afghanistan After U.S. Withdrawal," @Rudra_81 & @Shreyas_Shende9 identify 3 main risks and mitigation strategies for India to protect its interests post US withdrawal⬇️

Risk 1: "The first risk has to do with terrorism. While the #US-#Taliban agreement states that the Taliban will prevent terrorist outfits from operating on Afghan soil, there is little clarity on how the agreement will be verified and enforced"

Risk 2: "The second risk has to do with the growing influence of Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate, which shares an undeniable link with the Taliban, especially the #Haqqani group."

Risk 3: "The third risk to India’s long-term interests in Afghanistan has to do with the increasing political instability in Kabul."

Mitigation Strategy 1: "India should consider appointing a special envoy dedicated to #Afghanreconciliation."

Mitigation Strategy 2: "India should provide more military training to #Afghansecurity forces and invest in longer-term capacity-building programs."

Mitigation Strategy 3: "India should look to broaden its engagements with #Iran and #Russia, explore opportunities for cooperation (as limited as they might be) with China, and find common ground with the #UnitedStates on Afghanistan’s future."

"With the United States set to leave Afghanistan, India’s involvement there may be at risk. India needs to update its priorities to prepare for this change."
Read the working paper to get a comprehensive analysis of the issue here: carnegieindia.org/2020/06/02/dea…