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Thread 1/5: Harris County #Houston #Texas #COVID19 numbers continue to rise sharply (from @HoustonChron)
2/5: And it's not only cases but paralleled by an increase in hospitalizations in our @TXMedCenter
3/5: And the models from @PolicyLabCHOP for Harris County #Houston #Texas looking a bit apocalyptic
4/5: And it's not just Houston, all of #Texas showing now a large increase in 7 day averages (also from @HoustonChron), and I also understand hospitalizations up, not just in Houston, Dallas also bad
5/5: Things are just not working out well for us here in #Houston (+ in several other metropolitan areas in #Texas), cases spiking, hospital beds filling. I don't see how this gets better on its own. Perhaps we need to call an audible, and chart a path to dial things back...
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Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD
@PeterHotez
I’m quite optimistic about this approach, both as Rx and short term pre-exposure or post-exposure prophylaxis. More thoughtful in its design than some of the vaccine candidates cnn.com/2020/06/11/hea…
Might help us navigate and manage the next couple of years until we have truly effective and safe vaccines
Hopefully we’ll keep the costs down, lots of potential for abuse given past price gouging of mabs
Read 6 tweets
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Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD
@PeterHotez
We need to begin shaping a national strategy for next 2-3 years. We're working day/night to meet aspirational goal of 12-18 months for #COVID19 #vaccine, maybe stars will align? But reality is I think world record for a vaccine from start to finish is 4-5 years, usually 10-25 yrs
Given #COVID19 will likely wax/wane for next two years, I'm recommending @theNASEM convene to develop a roadmap for how America operates over this period, esp with respect to epidemiologic modeling, our health system, govt response, mental health impact, rolling out technologies
There's a misunderstanding out there that America just hunkers down for a year, then a #vaccine magically appears, and everyone goes out to have a nice picnic on the National Mall. It would be nice, it's not impossible, our lab working 24/7, but I think a low probability scenario
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Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD
@PeterHotez
Wow, really kind. When I was a pediatric resident in Boston in 1980s I admitted children regularly with Hib meningitis: Devastating disease causing brain injury, deafness, death. After vaccine introduction in 1989 it was gone. Please send check to @NIH where the #vaccine invented
@NIH And here's the impact of the rotavirus vaccine after its introduction in 2006, you can send that check to @ChildrensPhila
@NIH @ChildrensPhila And here's the impact of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, I guess send that check to @Penn (Robert Austrian)
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