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Checking in on the hybridForecast I'd done eleven days back, with the daily new case counts ...

We're currently at day 123 on the timeline. 25K/day was estimated by end of July. We're already past that.

+
Expected | Current Actuals

AP: ~ 800 | 1700
AS: ~ 1000 | 650
BR: ~ 400 | 850
CH: ~ 5 | 12
+

CT: ~ 75 | 135
DL: ~ 2500 | 1750
GA: ~ 75 | 100
GJ: ~ 700 | 875
+

HR: ~ 400 | 650
HP: ~ 30 | 25
JK: ~ 200 | 325
JH: ~ 50 | 150
+

KA: 2000 | 2600
KL: 150 | 450
MP: 250 | 450
MH: 8000 | 8000
+

OR: 280 | 610
PB: 120 | 225
RJ: 380 | 600
TN: 4400 | 4000
+

TG: ~ 1500 | 1250
UP: ~ 800 | 1800
UT: ~ 50 | 75
WB: ~ 750 | 1400
+

Ran the hybridModels further ahead for the next 30 days, with the new data of the past ten days included ...

Similar forecasts follow ...
+
AS and CH are expected to level off at current levels while AP and BBR daily counts expected to continue to rise ...
+
CT is expected to level off while DL and GA register mild rises, possibly. GJ is expected to maintain rising trend ...
+
HP and JH expected to level off while HR and JK register gentle rise in trend ...
+
KA, KL and MH expected to continue to rise in trend while MP's data has massive spikes of uncertainty around the estimates of mild growth ...
+
OR and TN to continue to rise with milder growth for RJ while PBB expected to level off ...
+
TG ad UT expected to level off while UP and WB continue to rise strongly ...
+
India Aggregate continues to rise strongly, expecting to hit 40K cases per day in four weeks from now.

#MaskUp! or #StayHome
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Keep Current with G Raghuram

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