Our Defence and Foreign Policy experts listen too much to conventional economic wisdom (and regurgitate it). Actually: (1) Accelerated economic reforms & privatization allows govt to focus budget on public goods like defence, ....2/ m.rediff.com/amp/news/inter…
2/ec .., instead of wasting it on projects and programs that private sec can do more efficiently. (2) Given the power asymmetry, the only way to #Deter#CCP#China is by convincing them that we are willing to bear the military & economic costs of resisting #aggression...3/
3/ec Any costs we bear,while reducing imports of Goods & services from China, besides hurting China, also enhances the credibility of #Deterrence. (3) India is 5th largest economy & will be 3rd largest in ~ 10 yrs. It's self-delusion to think this market is unimportant to China..
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16/tariff Steel, Aluminium & Dairy products.
US import weighted tariff are already the highest in the world; how much higher can they go.
Ans: If exchange rate appreciates they can keep going up, but not if it depreciates for other reasons (than tariffs)
18/tariff Effective Tariff on China is only 37%. Its only real economic competitor is being threatened with 50% tariff. Incredible😵💫 way to challenge a rival, who is determined to dominate the Indo-Pacific! 🥴
3/HP "Western Woke intellectuals, media and politicians (🍉🍉🍉) exaggerated random lynchings and over-generalized from few hate speeches; we should not follow their despicable example"
#PIP asks: “Is ISI eliminating the Jehadis it has created and nurtured for 50 years, who are internationally known to have committed terrorist crimes, as a prelude to re-entering SAARC (w/o publicly announcing its toning down cross-border terrorism)”
Upside potential & downside risks have been more or less equal since the start of the financial year (in April 2023) ecoti.in/u6n-Ub
2/IndEc A ringing endorsement👍🏼 for FDI into India by US & EU(+UK) MNCs, by four professors, in the Harvard Business Review (#HBR) 👌🏼 hbr.org/2023/06/does-y…
3/IndEc The more that US business, entrepreneurs & professionals learn about Indian infrastructure, digital economy, financial system and Green ambitions, the more #FDI will flow into manufacturing.
One should be inured to the pro-China, anti-India, bias of the Anglo Saxon world, & its subalterns [ jstor.org/stable/30030642 ], but sadly after 50 yrs, one is still not!
2/ir #India’s #rise is causing deep disquiet in the #Anglo#Saxon#World and among its subalterns. #Information#War will intensify in next 3 years, and won’t subside till India becomes the third largest economy in (current) USD.
As a National Security Strategist * find it a little difficult to interpret such statements by Senior officers of the US armed forces, in the broader context of the PRC threat!
2/nss Sweet spot for PLA aggression: #Elections in raucous democracies. => Lesson: Armed forces in threatened countries, should have more operational autonomy during election period.