Dr Arvind Virmani (Phd) Profile picture
Aug 23, 2020 9 tweets 8 min read Read on X
"We will fight with what we have," can be costly in lives, when 2 land-obsessed, nuclear armed aggressors are colluding against us (for 50 yrs)! And it's difficult to indigenize when a stronger power is knocking down 1s door. We need both higher defence budget & an ally for 20yrs
2/xi The old story of the boy who cried #wolf will have to be inverted. In new story guards("experts") kept seeing wolf in distance, but didn't warn villagers, thinking its too far to worry. Villagers kept farming peacefully, till the wolf suddenly came & attacked children grp
3/Xi And we no longer have the luxury of time for gradual econ rfrm. We need #BigBang reform in FY21 to liberate a million entrepreneurs & attract Global #ValueChains to accelerate "catch-up growth". This will also generate revenues for Defence & encourage our partners'(economy)
4/Xi #Assasains #Mace is now pointed at us, and it won't be withdrawn, just sheathed for next thrust. Even if #Xi focuses on #Taiwan invasion for nxt 6 months, he will unsheathe it again, at next opportunity (waiting for us to go back to sleep again, as we hv done every time)
5/Xi example of the "guards" mentioned in 2/Xi ( above )- he 👇always knew, but said nothing cnn.com/2020/08/22/asi…
6/xi Probability of invasion of #Taiwan by #CCPchina has increased dramatically in #XiEra 👇🏼[one scenario speculates an invasion may take place the day before inauguration of next US president a la #Assasain's #Mace]
7/xi #National #Security With Wolf Warriors of #CCP11 at doorstep we can't afford to delay signing #BECA & raising ambition of India-US partnership: #India shld present a modernized version of Indio-Soviet #Friendship #treaty for consideration of USA: bit.ly/31nWBSJ
8/xi Lesson from 1970: Keep your cool and prepare for all eventualities, before acting: business-standard.com/article/curren…
9/xi As #Xi is the #Center of #Gravity of the aggressive strategy, can his #Assassins #Mace be countered by an indirect approach? #IDS should be thinking about it! thestrategybridge.org/the-bridge/202…

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More from @dravirmani

Aug 5
#Hinduphobia is not defined in English dictionary so it doesn't exist. Only #Islamophobia & #AntiSemitism are real!
2/HP 🍉🍉🍉"Data/facts are irrelevant! We recognise Islamophobia when we see it!"
3/HP "Western Woke intellectuals, media and politicians (🍉🍉🍉) exaggerated random lynchings and over-generalized from few hate speeches; we should not follow their despicable example"
Read 11 tweets
Jun 30, 2023
Upside potential & downside risks have been more or less equal since the start of the financial year (in April 2023) ecoti.in/u6n-Ub
2/IndEc A ringing endorsement👍🏼 for FDI into India by US & EU(+UK) MNCs, by four professors, in the Harvard Business Review (#HBR) 👌🏼 hbr.org/2023/06/does-y…
3/IndEc The more that US business, entrepreneurs & professionals learn about Indian infrastructure, digital economy, financial system and Green ambitions, the more #FDI will flow into manufacturing.
Read 63 tweets
Jan 28, 2023
One should be inured to the pro-China, anti-India, bias of the Anglo Saxon world, & its subalterns [ jstor.org/stable/30030642 ], but sadly after 50 yrs, one is still not!
2/ir #India’s #rise is causing deep disquiet in the #Anglo #Saxon #World and among its subalterns. #Information #War will intensify in next 3 years, and won’t subside till India becomes the third largest economy in (current) USD.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 28, 2023
As a National Security Strategist * find it a little difficult to interpret such statements by Senior officers of the US armed forces, in the broader context of the PRC threat!
2/nss Sweet spot for PLA aggression: #Elections in raucous democracies. => Lesson: Armed forces in threatened countries, should have more operational autonomy during election period.
3/nss Post script: #India’s general election is also in 2024
Read 4 tweets
Jan 28, 2023
2/res Ths who’ve never done #research in lifetime find it difficult to understand, why this is critical, for directing commissioning & using, good policy relevant research [An internal core of researchers is key to success]. For them ideas & analysis can be bought like software📦
3/res Any org that merely reacts to media headlines, & questions raised by critics, is like a consultancy organisation, not a think tank. It can never anticipate problems, nor create imaginative new solutions. Worlds top consultancy orgs. reward salesmanship not analysis… 4/res
Read 5 tweets

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