"We will fight with what we have," can be costly in lives, when 2 land-obsessed, nuclear armed aggressors are colluding against us (for 50 yrs)! And it's difficult to indigenize when a stronger power is knocking down 1s door. We need both higher defence budget & an ally for 20yrs
2/xi The old story of the boy who cried #wolf will have to be inverted. In new story guards("experts") kept seeing wolf in distance, but didn't warn villagers, thinking its too far to worry. Villagers kept farming peacefully, till the wolf suddenly came & attacked children grp
3/Xi And we no longer have the luxury of time for gradual econ rfrm. We need #BigBang reform in FY21 to liberate a million entrepreneurs & attract Global #ValueChains to accelerate "catch-up growth". This will also generate revenues for Defence & encourage our partners'(economy)
4/Xi #Assasains#Mace is now pointed at us, and it won't be withdrawn, just sheathed for next thrust. Even if #Xi focuses on #Taiwan invasion for nxt 6 months, he will unsheathe it again, at next opportunity (waiting for us to go back to sleep again, as we hv done every time)
5/Xi example of the "guards" mentioned in 2/Xi ( above )- he 👇always knew, but said nothing cnn.com/2020/08/22/asi…
6/xi Probability of invasion of #Taiwan by #CCPchina has increased dramatically in #XiEra 👇🏼[one scenario speculates an invasion may take place the day before inauguration of next US president a la #Assasain's #Mace]
16/tariff Steel, Aluminium & Dairy products.
US import weighted tariff are already the highest in the world; how much higher can they go.
Ans: If exchange rate appreciates they can keep going up, but not if it depreciates for other reasons (than tariffs)
18/tariff Effective Tariff on China is only 37%. Its only real economic competitor is being threatened with 50% tariff. Incredible😵💫 way to challenge a rival, who is determined to dominate the Indo-Pacific! 🥴
3/HP "Western Woke intellectuals, media and politicians (🍉🍉🍉) exaggerated random lynchings and over-generalized from few hate speeches; we should not follow their despicable example"
#PIP asks: “Is ISI eliminating the Jehadis it has created and nurtured for 50 years, who are internationally known to have committed terrorist crimes, as a prelude to re-entering SAARC (w/o publicly announcing its toning down cross-border terrorism)”
Upside potential & downside risks have been more or less equal since the start of the financial year (in April 2023) ecoti.in/u6n-Ub
2/IndEc A ringing endorsement👍🏼 for FDI into India by US & EU(+UK) MNCs, by four professors, in the Harvard Business Review (#HBR) 👌🏼 hbr.org/2023/06/does-y…
3/IndEc The more that US business, entrepreneurs & professionals learn about Indian infrastructure, digital economy, financial system and Green ambitions, the more #FDI will flow into manufacturing.
One should be inured to the pro-China, anti-India, bias of the Anglo Saxon world, & its subalterns [ jstor.org/stable/30030642 ], but sadly after 50 yrs, one is still not!
2/ir #India’s #rise is causing deep disquiet in the #Anglo#Saxon#World and among its subalterns. #Information#War will intensify in next 3 years, and won’t subside till India becomes the third largest economy in (current) USD.
As a National Security Strategist * find it a little difficult to interpret such statements by Senior officers of the US armed forces, in the broader context of the PRC threat!
2/nss Sweet spot for PLA aggression: #Elections in raucous democracies. => Lesson: Armed forces in threatened countries, should have more operational autonomy during election period.