....taken directly from the unredacted YellowHammer report.
"On day one of No Deal between 50-85% of HGVs travelling via the short Channel Straits may not be ready for French customs."
2/
"On day one of No Deal between 50-85% of HGVs travelling via the short Channel Straits may not be ready for French customs."
2/
"HGVs could face maximum delays of 1.5-2.5 days before being able to cross the border."
JIT / just in time: dead in the water.
Perishables: dead / no longer fit for sale.
Livestock: too awful to think about.
3/
JIT / just in time: dead in the water.
Perishables: dead / no longer fit for sale.
Livestock: too awful to think about.
3/
"there will likely be significant electricity price increases for consumers (business and domestic), with associated wider economic and political impacts."
UK business competitive? Including £billions of new customs clearance costs?
Not anymore.
4/
UK business competitive? Including £billions of new customs clearance costs?
Not anymore.
4/
"our ability to prevent and control disease outbreaks, with potential detrimental impacts for animal
health and welfare, the environment, and wider food safety/availability and zoonotic diseases
which can directly impact human health."
On top of #COVID19 ?
Not good.
4/
health and welfare, the environment, and wider food safety/availability and zoonotic diseases
which can directly impact human health."
On top of #COVID19 ?
Not good.
4/
Certain types of fresh food supply will decrease. Critical dependencies for the food supply chain
(such as key input ingredients, chemicals and packaging) may be in shorter supply....
5/
(such as key input ingredients, chemicals and packaging) may be in shorter supply....
5/
In combination, these two factors will not cause an overall shortage of food in the UK but will reduce availability and choice of products and will increase price, which could impact vulnerable groups.
6/
6/
Government will not be able to fully anticipate all potential impacts to the agri-food supply chain. There is a risk that panic buying will cause or exacerbate food
supply disruption. (DEFRA)
7/
supply disruption. (DEFRA)
7/
"The most significant single risk is a failure in the chemical supply chain. The likelihood of this occurring is considered low and the impact is likely to be localised, affecting up
to 100,000's of people."
#NoDealBrexit - 100,000s of people not having treated water.
8/
to 100,000's of people."
#NoDealBrexit - 100,000s of people not having treated water.
8/
"Protests and counter-protests will take place across the UK and may absorb significant amounts
of police resource. There may also be a rise in public disorder and community tensions. (HO)"
9/
of police resource. There may also be a rise in public disorder and community tensions. (HO)"
9/
"Facing EU tariffs makes petrol exports to the EU uncompetitive. Industry had plans to mitigate the
impact on refinery margins and profitability but UK Government policy to set petrol import tariffs at
0% inadvertently undermines these plans."
Nothing is thought through.
9/
impact on refinery margins and profitability but UK Government policy to set petrol import tariffs at
0% inadvertently undermines these plans."
Nothing is thought through.
9/
"On D1 ND HMG will operationalise the “no new checks with limited exceptions" model announced
13 March, establishing a legislative framework and essential operations and system on the
ground, to avoid an immediate risk of a return to a hard border on the UK side.....
10/
13 March, establishing a legislative framework and essential operations and system on the
ground, to avoid an immediate risk of a return to a hard border on the UK side.....
10/
The model is likely to prove unsustainable due to significant economic, legal and biosecurity risks and no effective
unilateral mitigations to address this will be available."
11/
unilateral mitigations to address this will be available."
11/
Peace in Northern Ireland threatened...
"This will be particularly severe in border communities where both criminal and dissident groups already operate with greater threat and impunity."
12/
"This will be particularly severe in border communities where both criminal and dissident groups already operate with greater threat and impunity."
12/
"Up to 282 EU and EEA nations fishing vessels could enter illegally, or already be fishing in UK waters (Up to 129 vessels in English waters, 100 vessels in Scottish waters, 40 vessels in Welsh waters, 13 vessels in Northern Irish waters) on day one."
What's the plan, Stan?
11/
What's the plan, Stan?
11/
The problem with this YellowHammer report?
It is only four pages long.
It barely scratches the surface of the problems that #NoDeal will bring.
The #NoDeal that the UK Govt is going for.
drive.google.com/file/d/0B0hM4E…
12/ and ENDS.
It is only four pages long.
It barely scratches the surface of the problems that #NoDeal will bring.
The #NoDeal that the UK Govt is going for.
drive.google.com/file/d/0B0hM4E…
12/ and ENDS.
