Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #NoDeal

Most recents (24)

1/10: We are 12 days from legal #Brexit. What will happen on 31 Jan? What will it feel like on 1 Feb? More important, what will happen after that? In a nutshell, nothing will change & everything will change. And harder choices lie ahead. Thread of 10...
2/10: On 31 Jan BJ will declare #Brexit done & hail a brave new world. Big Ben may bong. Flags will come down. But on 1 Feb we will wake to an eerily familiar world. Until Dec 31 at least all rights & obligations of EU membership continue, though we will not be at the table..
3/10: Ministers will soon say that the fact the sky has not fallen in after we have ”got #Brexit done” proves “doomsters & gloomsters” wrong. They will try to shift public debate on to other things. But Brexit will still be there & will not be done..
Read 10 tweets
Some other ways to see #libdems £50B #RemainBonus
For #NoDeal the bonus would 🚀 to £170B over 5 years.

Brexit currency is Hospitals. Vote leave est⏬

#remainBonus is 143 Hospitals vs. #Borisdeal 6

Leave said £350m a week to NHS.
In fact they're Taking £200m a week from NHS
Then there's a "little bit" of a mandate problem since Cummings chalked up the entire Leave 2016 win to this reverse truth NHS Promise (verbatim below).

If you don't deliver what you promise the public to leave, does it look like you respect the result?

Do other promises from 2016 offset NHS "miscalculation"?

Sorry. None of the 2016 promises under #BorisDeal. ZERO

You can't really even call it #Brexit.

#BorisDeal sells you a car and hands over to you a banana skin.

Press down hard to Accelerate.

Read 3 tweets
Loads of noise re: #Brexit & N.Ireland right now. No need to add to that -
But worth pausing to listen to what those in the region most affected are saying.
👉 interim findings of TheBorderIntoBrexit @BorderBrexit study: go.qub.ac.uk/BorderBrexit
(only 6 pages)
Please 👀 & RT
1/12
@BorderBrexit They're results of an online survey (475 respondents) from both sides @BorderIrish, conducted by @QUBelfast @milena_komarova & me for @europe_icban.

It shows rising anxieties re: a hard border & #NoDeal are having tangible effects in decisions & actions in border region.

2/12
@BorderBrexit @BorderIrish @QUBelfast @milena_komarova @europe_icban The survey confirms #Brexit is already having an impact on life on both sides of the border.

Respondents report economic changes (e.g. job losses, business disinvestment, problems in labour recruitment) plus rising concerns about the #peace process & future stability.

3/12
Read 12 tweets
Theres been lots of talk recently on the role of Hedge Funds profiting from shorting the £ with #NoDeal Brexit & channelling funds to PM @BorisJohnson bylinetimes.com/2019/09/11/bre…
@BorisJohnson While obviously of concern, the focus on no-deal £ short selling misses the bigger picture of financial deregulation, & the #Brexit shock being seen an opportunity by the #CityofLondon financial elite to slash "red tape" & lower taxes express.co.uk/news/politics/…
@BorisJohnson In response to Johnson's "let's spend £350m extra a week on the #NHS" claim, Dominic Cummings suggested Vote Leave would not have won without it news.sky.com/story/boris-jo… #Brexit
Read 9 tweets
Thread:

I'm delighted that so much attention is now being paid to the issue of financial speculators and disaster capitalists making money out of #NoDeal. It's been frustrating to see so little attention being paid to this in Brexit debate. 1/
This is of course due to Rachel Johnson and Philip Hammond bringing it to the public awareness.
The BBC's Andrew Neil negates the idea by stating there's no evidence to support the claim. Financial markets and the news narratives they produce are always speculative... 2/
Since when do economists have to produce evidence to make future projections?
There are however clues. This is Christopher Chandler. He runs a company called Legatum Ltd. He made his fortune by travelling the world finding areas of political instability...3/
Read 7 tweets
10 yrs ago an ex-stockbroker and his pals saw an opportunity.

They realised swathes of the population actually bought into the right wing tabloid nationalist narrative.

Some of them became the Gov't and had already pressured the new PM into including an EU referendum... 1/
...in the manifesto.

Over the next 5 years the tabloids promoted the stockbroker, who was not an MP on a daily basis. The rest of the media joined in.

The opportunity they had seen was a cash grab on a scale never seen before.

With the tabloid fans on board, waving flags 2/..
...furiously, filled with national pride and fear of immigration, it looked like the opportunity may just present itself.

Having just secured victory in the vote, the next move was to make sure that the Gov't failed to secure a deal.

They asked their pals to stand aside...3/
Read 7 tweets
well, that was a #hairy #few #minutes, I have no #hashtags left to use about the #uksc.

The UK if you've missed it, is, possibly surprisingly, a #democracy and #democracyisnotdead

Should we talk about consequences? implications and links? might go into threads from here on in
I'm making this thread up as I go, but since about 90% of the population think the only Democratic problem is the speed of #Brexit, and #conspiracy about #RemainerNow delays, maybe someone should list all the attacks - most of which are far more serious. I'll justify that #uksc
Here's my view, feel free to add. I'll put this in normal language first, and add relevant legals after.

1) UK Executive and Tories (UKET) attempt Rule by Edict
2) UKET attempt a Parliamentary Coup (we may now legitimately describe it that way)
3) UKET illegally suspend Parl'
Read 11 tweets
On @Channel4News tonight: Food charities and industry tell government “Stop passing the buck” on responsibility for ensuring vulnerable people can get the food they need in a #NoDeal Brexit food crisis.” Pensioners, children in low-income families, people who are ill or disabled.
Government’s Yellowhammer #NoDeal Briefing says food prices could go up, serious delays and disruption to food supply. With 8.4m people in this country already food insecure, “What happens if demand for emergency food aid goes up? Whose job is it to step in?” asks @Channel4News
Serious concerns over food supply for vulnerable people in a #NoDeal Brexit shared by @UKSustain @FareShareUK @provtrade @FWDwholesale @IFAN_UK @CityHarvest_LDN - with no-deal price hikes and disruption now imminent @DWP must allocate hardship fund- long heralded, never confirmed
Read 16 tweets
Day 3 of the #ProrogationCase hearing at the UK Supreme Court. Previous threads can be found here (follow the nested link for Day 1): THREAD 1/
This morning, we have 4 "oral interventions". These are written statements, read out by QCs. Each written statement is read out by a different QC. Neither the Public Law Project nor Shami Chakrabati's written statements are on the timetable. 2/
First up, a "short statement" on justiciability by Mure QC on behalf of the Scottish Govt; "Court has competence to protect the constitution as much as it can protect individual rights." "Authority for closer ("anxious") scrutiny where constitutional principles at stake." 3/
Read 45 tweets
The import /export #nodeal flowcharts published yesterday/today are very important information.
But if you are already trading there is very little new info there (if any),
And if you aren't, there is very little you can do with the flowcharts /1
If you're a new importer/exporter the flowcharts can demystify the process but you will still need to understand what #customs info you need to provide and how to get it. /2
You will still need a customs broker/agent or a freight forwarder to help you /3
Read 5 tweets
Afternoon session starting on day 2 of the #ProrogationCase. My morning commentary can be found here: THREAD 1/
O'Neill QC starts with a riff on how he's the only unennobled QC present at the Supreme Court hearing. Now arguing that distance confers difference perspectives & quoting Rabbie Burns. This could be more entertaining for a lay audience if he carries on like this. 2/
Sidenote: O'Neill families historically claim descent from the Kings of Ailech. Back in the Supreme Court, more Burns quotes. Entertaining the Justices with references to 1066 & 1966 + WW2 being only dates that matter to English. He's awa doon a rabbithole with this. 3/
Read 43 tweets
As of this morning it seems that the expected tweaks to #nodeal #tariffs will be in line with what biz requested. Gov responding to initial reactions of some industries.

ft.com/content/9528de…
If the #nodeal #tariffs ever enter into force - raising them after the initial 12 months will be a complete nightmare for the Gov.
With the majority of tariffs at 0% questions around UK's ability to sign meaningful and beneficial FTAs and the point of #freepoints remain.
Any increase will cause a massive stir
Read 3 tweets
Day 2 of the Supreme Court hearing on prorogation of Parliament. Yesterday's threads can be found here: THREAD 1/
This morning, the QC for the Government's case will be submitting his skeleton argument (a summary which is supported by evidence, case law, affidavits etc in folders known as bundles). This afternoon, it's the turn of the QC representing the 78 Parliamentarians in Cherry case 2/
Yesterday, we heard from the teams that *lost* the cases that are being appealed to the Supreme Court. That's because in appeals, those doing the appeal go first. Pannick spoke for the Miller case, which lost in High Court; Keen argued for Govt which lost Scottish case. /3
Read 46 tweets
For the sake of clarity, #hauliers are NOT responsible for fulfilling the vast majority of #customs & #regulatory requirements needed to be admitted on board the ferry / in the port area to pick up or deliver goods. This is the responsibility of 1/ ft.com/content/0a37d1…
The #trader (acting as the 'importer' from an EU perspective). That task can be outsourced to an intermediary - of which there is a lack of in the UK so many companies are struggling to find the help they need. The #haulier needs to ensure his/her #driver is in possession of 2/
The right proofs that the required #formalities have been completed & responsible for dealing with the #safety & #security #declaration if the #cargo is transported through #accompanied #transport (which, again, is a task that can be outsourced). 3/
Read 11 tweets
Where/when is our #nodeal "dress rehearsal" taking place please? /1

thelocal.fr/20190912/franc…
Also notice how easy it is to say "we're ready but we remain a bit concerned".

It doesnt all have to be so black and white as it currently is in the UK! /2
France's Budget Minister Gerald Darmanin "said British preparations were a source of concern." "You don't re-create a border that hasn't existed for several years... in just a few hours," he said.
Yep /end
Read 3 tweets
2/ 'Poison Dwarf Speaker Bercow Jumps Before He Is Pushed...' breitbart.com/europe/2019/09…
3/ Bercow wrote a personal guide to luring women into bed......'If you want to pull a drunk girl, offer to take her home and name her breasts. To get her to leave after sex, suggest she might be accidentally infected with Aids.' theguardian.com/politics/2009/…
Read 19 tweets
2/ 'John Bercow says he will stand down as House of Commons Speaker at next UK general election or on 31 October, whichever comes first....' ..Good riddance!! #DrainTheSwamp 🇬🇧👍
Read 26 tweets
My latest @telegraph comment: This may well be the EU’s last chance to avoid a no-deal Brexit. But will they take it?telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
Thread ->
Boris Johnson's future as PM may hinge on whether he can avoid having to request a three-month extension on 18 October.
Brussels may now be strategising on the basis that, if they grant an extension, a @UKLabour government, intent on stopping a no deal #Brexit, could well come to power - and such a situation may work to Brussels' advantage.
Read 8 tweets
2/ “In 2017 ..this is a pledge that I intend to keep - if House votes for early election my tenure will end, if the House doesn't I have concluded that least disruptive course of action would be for me to stand down for close of business on October 31.”
3/ Bullying allegation investigation... thesun.co.uk/news/9529925/j…
Read 13 tweets
2/ Tony Blair - former leader of the Labour Party & MP for Sedgefield. PM from 1997 - 2007. Strong supporter - US president George W Bush. Joined - War on Terror, sending British troops to Afghanistan & Iraq. Succeeded as Labour leader by Gordon Brown.
3/
Read 17 tweets
As hard #NoDeal Brexit goes on back foot, thanks to sterling work of our elected MPs, now the soft Leavers are here arguing for the "EEA option". What follows is a short thread to remind ourselves of the key pros and cons of the Norway model...
Pros of EEA option. 1) reduces economic disruption of Brexit. 2) provides partial solution to Irish border problem. 3) helps shield UK against US economic predation. 4) would make it much easier to rejoin EU as fast as possible thanks to continued regulatory alignment
Now the cons of EEA. A) It would be quite simply bonkers for the UK to transform itself from a leading power within the EU to a passive recipient of the EU's rules. The "rule taker, not rule maker" point is totally true. Norwegians call it "fax democracy". Take back control?!
Read 12 tweets
@VP Pence assured @LeoVaradkar the US “will continue to encourage the UK & IRL, to ensure that any #Brexit respects the #GoodFridayAgreement.”

This challenge is a live one.
And it’s going to remain so.

NI civic & business groups urge 🇺🇸 Congress to uphold this commitment.
1/6
@VP @LeoVaradkar In a letter to 🇺🇸 @SpeakerPelosi they summarise conditions for #peace which must be protected through & after #Brexit:

* Normalisation of security arrangements
* Economic stability & investment
* Equal rights & non-discrimination of citizens here
* Cross-border cooperation

2/6
@VP @LeoVaradkar @SpeakerPelosi They note “the growing sense of danger in N.Ireland
& our diminishing capacity to avert it.”

NI is set to suffer worst effects of a #NoDeal or ‘hard’ #Brexit.

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…

3/6
Read 6 tweets
Worth outlining in full Lady Sylvia Hermon's Q to the PM in @HouseofCommons this afternoon (16:59).

And his response, which doesn’t answer the Q & which presents as a ‘simple fact’ something easily provable as untrue & which only serves to fuel the fears of unionists in NI.

1/7
@HouseofCommons Lady Hermon says she thinks the PM “owes the people of N.Ireland some explanation as to why he and his govt have treated for treating the @BelfastAgmt with such a careless & cavalier manner.

That Agreement has kept stability & #peace in NI since it was signed 21 years ago.”

2/7
@HouseofCommons @BelfastAgmt “It is reported that the Crown Solicitor’s Office has advised the govt that a #NoDeal #Brexit would be in contravention of the 1998 Agmt."
Hermon calls on PM "to publish today in full -& he owes it to the people of NI & to the House- any legal advice he has received" on this.
3/7
Read 7 tweets

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