Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #NoDeal

Most recents (20)

On #customs formalities and documentation under various #Brexit scenarios. Procedures and documentation required for customs clearance can be confusing. Particularly, the difference between a single market and a customs union seems to be unclear. /1
Under different Brexit scenarios there will be different customs formalities and supporting documentation traders will need to complete/ provide for customs clearance (from an upcoming blogpost): /2
This is a simplified view - additional formalities are required depending on the type of goods (e.g. agricultural, excise) and other supporting documentation may be needed (e.g. licenses, certificates, value declaration, insurance docs, tariff quota docs etc). /3
Read 5 tweets
It was easy to be outraged by the shameful comments one MP made about EU citizens in Parliament today. But there is actually much more reason to be outraged about the release and content of this policy paper and I hope you will take a moment to read this thread too! ⬇️ 1/
In a nutshell, the policy paper does what I expected it to do: limit our rights further should there be #NoDeal. This was predictable, but it doesn't make it easier to bear. theguardian.com/politics/2018/… 2/
The policy paper was followed up with this email by the Home Office. Note that they don't even use a mode of address anymore - at least they used to pretend to be friendly in the past. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Today @DExEUgov published what it calls a policy paper on #citizensrights for @The3Million and @BritishInEurope in the event of #NoDeal. We have had to wait for this for far too long and, in a nutshell, this adds additional anxieties rather than help. gov.uk/government/pub… 1/
To understand the immediate concerns the paper raises, read this thread by @The3Million. I share all the concerns flagged there and emphasise the conclusions drawn. This is not good. 2/
In particular, I am concerned about this change from the Withdrawal Agreement in case of #NoDeal. This will impact people immediately because it is not what had, for nearly a year now, been promised. 3/
Read 14 tweets

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1/ The UK Govt has finally published the #Nodeal Brexit preparedness notes on the #citizensrights for the 3.6m EU citizens in the UK. Here are our main concerns.
gov.uk/government/pub…
2/ According to points 7 & 8 #citizensrights will only be guaranteed for those resident/living in the UK on 29th of March 2019. What will happen to those who are currently studying or working on assignment abroad?
3/ the document lays out an exemption of the resident/living in the UK on March 29th condition for those who work cross border, frontier workers, who travel regularly in and out of the UK. But not for any other group.
Read 9 tweets
When all the #Brexit chat is about parliamentary shenanigans it’s easy to forget that these decisions will have real-world impacts, including a potential #nodeal… here’s a quick look at where #nodeal planning currently stands:
1. First the good news: the Government has struck agreements with the USA, Canada and 8 other countries to ensure flights can continue even in the case of no deal (nothing yet on flights to/from/within EU countries though)

gov.uk/government/new…
2. And the Government’s lottery for road haulage permits has opened – so if you’re a haulage company that wants to transport goods across the EU after a #nodeal Brexit, get your application in now for a 5% chance of securing a permit (h/t @RHANews)

gov.uk/guidance/ecmt-…
Read 10 tweets
#BrexitChaos - thread: need for definitions:

#NoDeal #nodealbrexit means crashing out: no arrangements with the #EU or other member states, no transition period. Means losing all existing trade deals & years of global negociations
#WTO ≠ trade deal (look it up!) 1/9
@theresa_may #WithdrawalAgreement is the framework for a future #UK #EU future relationship. Allows for an orderly #Brexit with transition period, but leaves many issues to resolve, trade deals and regulations to negotiate, which will take many years and be costly. No "dividend"!
It is possible to #StopBrexit and #Remain. This means staying in the #EU with all current benefits, reciprocal rights and protections, free trade and movement for goods, services and people within the EU. To do this, Govt must #RevokeA50 (Article 50=notice given to #Leave 3/9
Read 10 tweets
1. Dear @carolinenokes MP and @10DowningStreet.
I started to work in the UK (for @fusionenergy) on the 14/04/2014 as Senior Electrical Designer, I am now an Electrical systems design engineer.
A "#HighSkilled migrant" as they say, but not eligible to the #SettledStatus. [THREAD]
2. I will have my 5 eligible years on the 14/04/2019.
Or 16 days after #BrexitDay.
Maybe it is worth to mention that I arrived on the 01/12/2013. So I have actually my 5 years, but I have no proof.
I was joining an ex-partner to look for work in the UK, my name was not on bills.
3. Yesterday, like other fellow @The3Million, I read the following article.
"Employers will be expected to check whether EU nationals have the right to work in the UK if there is a #NoDeal #Brexit, even though it will be almost impossible to assess this".
theguardian.com/politics/2018/…
Read 14 tweets
So the next (and still not final?!) set of #nodeal notices is out. @instituteforgov will of course be diving into the detail so you don't have to - but that's a job for next week

First, here's a thread of some interesting things we've spotted from a quick scan of today's papers:
1 - first up, a line on the #CustomsUnion in the note on exporting mercury - clarification for worried backbenchers?
2 - no deal means no preferential access to the EU market, or to other markets where we currently have access via an EU free trade deal - unless the Govt can roll over those deals before next March. AFAIK, no confirmation that any have been rolled over yet
Read 13 tweets
A few thoughts on today's #nodeal notices - as others have said, these are some of the really juicy ones...

gov.uk/government/col…

(1/8)
This is the first time, AFAIK, that the Government has accepted in such stark terms that no deal will mean:

- disruption to supply chains
- potential for no flights or bus services between UK and EU, and between UK and other countries (including flights to US)

(2/8)
- extra red tape, as businesses have to re-register their products/services in an EU country
- real problems at the border, particularly around Dover/Calais
- hassle for individuals (pet passports, motor insurance)

(3/8)
Read 8 tweets
001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
Thread: "#Brexit & #Chequers, the sellout. Dump it, let's move on".
...
I keep hearing "Where is the plan?" and a load of misinformation on #Brexit, pushed on UK media by irrelevant & biased commentators, elevated simply because they are avid Remoaners.
They aim to distract.
1/19
We already knew from those tasked with the negotiations, there had been a definite direction of travel & #Brexit plans were well advanced, prior to #Chequers.

2/19
David Davis & his team had been constantly rebuffed by Number 10, as they tried to pursue a proper #Brexit plan, but they HAD been making progress.

3/19
Read 19 tweets
So, as you may have seen, the @UKandEU report on a #NoDeal Brexit is out today. ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl… And whilst, obvs, most of you are already immersed in it, thought I'd attempt q quick summary for the lazy people (1)
We try to explain what No Deal means. There is a tendency to elide it with 'trading on WTO terms'. Which, of course, would be possible with a withdrawal agreement. We also make clear the crucial point that, unlike with most 'deals.' default outcome is not the status quo. (2)
We deliberately pick the worst case. Where we leave with no deal at all. Which, as we point out, we do not think is by any manner of means the most likely outcome. That being said, however, we argue that, in the event of a no deal, mitigations will be hard (3)
Read 25 tweets
"#OrganDonation is an altruistic act that should be celebrated..." (p6)

So why not do that, and devote more resources to making donation easier - an approach that has delivered measurable results - instead of a regressive move to #OrganHarvesting?
gov.uk/government/con…
Describing a *significantly narrowing* shortfall (cf. graph, also p6) in available organs is not a justification for a change to #OrganHarvesting; nor are emotive appeals. This reads like #PolicyBasedEvidenceMaking.
"We want... to change the culture around organ donation in this country in the longer term." (p7)

Stopping it being a gift, freely given, and instead the State 'deeming' you to have given permission will certainly change that! Presumption ain't 'donation' and will erode trust.
Read 20 tweets
@joelymack Here’s some data if it helps. U.K., that was at the top of the G7 prior to Brexit is now an outlier.
@joelymack 2/. ONS. Household expenditure now exceeds income. First time since 1988 Average £900 shortfall.

Not all households face the same budget pressures – the poorest 10% of households are most likely to spend more than they receive in income
ow.ly/5nhG30l7Nue
@joelymack 3/. Q2 2018. Red Flag Research that monitors the financial health of UK companies, 472,183 businesses were experiencing ‘Significant’ financial distress at the end of June 2018, up 9% compared to the same stage last year (Q2 2017:).

begbies-traynorgroup.com/news/business-…
Read 18 tweets
Dear @MattHancock.

I’ve been trying to understand the WTO/No Deal scenario. For the NHS, there is no contingency plan for “No Deal” that won’t stop people dying.

/thread
Firstly, here is my attempt to understand WTO rules and what happens to us if we leave on no deal:



I’ll wait.
2/ The NHS, long before Brexit, from your govt & your mate Jeremy, is in poor shape.
- We don’t have enough staff (100,000 short total, 40,000 nurses, 10,000 doctors)
- we don’t have enough funding (~£26b)
- Demand continues to rise by 4% every year

google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.…
Read 15 tweets
1) Following the failure of any Kent MPs to support business friendly amendments for the Taxation (Cross Border Bill) over the past 2 days we feel the need to explain why VAT is such an important issue for small business.
2) To begin, you have to understand that the #SingleMarket is only a Single Market for countries who are members of it. Businesses from 3rd countries not only have to deal with the taxman in each country they do business with, but also in each country their goods flow through.
3) At present, a UK company selling goods to Germany or providing parts in a supply chain will usually truck these goods via the @Port_of_Dover and land them in Calais. Within the #SingleMarket this is easy as they just pass through France without involvement of the French taxman
Read 10 tweets
Key excperts on #NorthernIreland #irishborder
Island of Ireland will remain one epidemiological unit
Realise the importance of professionals working both sides of the border, or living in one territory and working in another
Read 10 tweets
Unite Members:

57% backed #PeoplesVote
24% leave voters backed #PeoplesVote

West Midlands car workers:
“Only now have voters started to see through the initial referendum campaigns and truly understand the implications & costs of leaving the EU."

theguardian.com/politics/2018/…
Unite union:

"open to the possibility of a vote on any deal the Tories come back with"

"members fears that the Tories' in-fighting and destructive red lines will bring ruin to their jobs and communities"

Unite Statement:
unitebrexitcheck.org/unite-policy-c…

#PeoplesVote
Great speech by Julie Ward MEP on why she marched with #WomenForEurope for a #PeoplesVote

Women and the young will be the most affected by #Brexit



#PeoplesVote
#StopBrexit
#FBPE
Read 50 tweets
Q Drops June 26, 2018

Q Drops can be found @ qanon.pub

Q Proofs can be found @ qproofs.com

It’s Begun! Good news to hear JA & SR mentioned tonight. Comey really pulled one on JA making it impossible for any kind of deal. Figures 😒
#QAnon

#WalkAway
Coincidence?

Review image/location.

Nothing provided is random.

SFO>JFK

A321

Direct

Q
Signal sent.

Attempt still made.

Averted.

Do you believe it’s a coincidence extreme rhetoric is being pushed while at the same time [RR] is on the brink of collapse?

Define.

[RR] must either comply with all document demands or face impeachment.
Read 95 tweets
1. Once again, despite a better first year than Reagan, all kinds of Trump supporters are getting bent out of shape over things they hear are being "put on the table" in the immigration negotiations with the Democrats.

Let's talk about why you should Stay Calm.
@realDonaldTrump
2. Everyone who has no experience negotiating deals summed up by 100+ pages of legalese should pay attention. You can learn the most important rule of negotiating next:

"If you aren't willing to walk away with NO DEAL, you've already lost."

Where've you heard that before? 😀
3. Negotiating an immigration deal falls under that rule

One side has multiple choices they can offer (Trump) & the other side (Dems) already have deal breaker "minimums" their radical base is demanding.
(From outside of Schumer's house @ 3 AM)

Only Trump can walk away
#NoDeal
Read 9 tweets

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