Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #nodealbrexit

Most recents (24)

A #Brexit extension is “almost inevitable”
- Nicola Sturgeon to me earlier @FRANCE24

Scottish First Minister wants Labour’s Corbyn to
“get off the Brexit fence & put his weight behind [...] something that would break the deadlock”
#Scotland #SNP #F24
2/ Sturgeon on Theresa May:

“she should change her approach... 1st thing she should do is request an extension to #Article50

“My preference then would go back to the people in another referendum- bcs people have so much more information now than in 2016”#Brexit #F24
Nicola Sturgeon accuses both Theresa May & Jeremy Corbyn of
“probably trying to run the clock down as much as [each other] in all this.”
#Brexit #Article50 #PeoplesVote #F24 🇬🇧🇪🇺
Read 7 tweets
My #tftd:

John Oliver has done a Brexit update, and it is utterly damning.

Part 1: Everyone's talking about Brexit


@LBC #r4today #PoliticsLive #newsnight
@LBC Part 2: Explaining the English border in Ireland problem


@LBC #r4today #PoliticsLive #newsnight
@LBC Part 3: What happens if there is a #NoDealBrexit?


@LBC #r4today #PoliticsLive #newsnight
Read 8 tweets
Tory #Brexit dimwit Daniel "Kerchingski" complains to "liberal elites" of #BBCNews about #SkyNews reporter...
Tory #Brexit patriot Daniel "Kerchingski" Takes Back Control of UK sovereignty by asking Polish Govt to overrule UK Parliament...
May 2017: Tory deputy mayor suggests guillotine for disabled children...
Read 40 tweets
A @SkyData poll has found that the vast majority of the Irish public want their government to hold firm on a #BrexitBackstop even if it risks a #NoDealBrexit
Eight in 10 in the Irish Republic think their government should hold out for a legal guarantee that there will be no #hardborder - even if it risks a #NoDealBrexit...
And there is little appetite to give ground to the UK in negotiations to help facilitate a deal... #Brexit #SkyData
Read 6 tweets
My prediction: if we proceed to a #NoDealBrexit this year, Scotland will have a second #IndependenceReferendum within 6 months, which will succeed. Northern Ireland will have a #BorderPoll within a further 5 years.

I don't want it, but I feel at this point it's inevitable.
It appears that the UK government want to hasten this outcome. Maybe my timeline was too long.

Hmm. Senior Cabinet ministers now thinking the same thing.…
Read 4 tweets
Can we all take a moment to behold the breathtaking stupidity of #Shrewsbury MP Daniel Kawczynski aka @DKShrewsbury? Yes, im creating an epic thread devoted to the man who embarrasses himself and his constituents all the time.
1. Here's Daniel dressed like a middle class Del Boy, but channeling something out of Royston Vasey. The people of Shrewsbury have engaged in political self-harm since 2005. I can't really talk but he makes Paisley look a genius.
2. You might have seen Daniel's recent idiotic tweet about the Marshall Plan and Britain's post-war finances. Over 4,000 people gave Daniel a history lesson.…
Read 12 tweets
If you voted Brexit wanting/expecting a deal with the EU but now you want #NoDealBrexit, then YOU have changed your mind about what relationship you want with the rest of the EU. If you have that right, WE ALL DO!

The 2016 referendum didn't permanently put the 52% in charge!
Deal and No Deal are completely different relationships with the EU.
(Arguably Deal is closer to Remain than No Deal)
"Leave" just ends our current relationship. It can't give Brexiteers carte blanche to decide which one *most* of 37% of the electorate want.
Actually, a young guy we met in Leeds yesterday called that the "Tyranny of the minority of the majority" because ending up with No Deal would be something that only a small part of those who voted Brexit actually wanted at the time.
Read 3 tweets
If a parliament elected to represent our interests, and whose sovereignty is at the heart of our constitution, chooses not to ensure we avoid a #NoDealBrexit the British Medical Association calls "catastrophic" for the NHS, our democracy is broken beyond repair.
The first responsibility of Parliament/Government is to protect its citizens.
Parliament is actively abandoning its responsibility to protect the country from the effects of No Deal.
#WithdrawalAgreement #BrexitDebate "Cooper Amendment"
Read 3 tweets
IMPORTANT. #HMRC announced (still informally) Day1 #NoDealBrexit #customs simplifications for traders. Substantial simplifications planned for EU/UK trade. Also for RoRo traffic. Available for undefined time but 12 months’ notice will be given if changes planned /1
Customs declarations and pre-notifications still required but various simplifications available to avoid congestion. Traders able to lodge them ahead of goods arriving at the border or into company’s records /2
Initial declaration submitted in the company’s own commercial records. Once the goods arrive in the UK a supplementary declaration is lodged /3
Read 12 tweets
The British government, over several years, has already destroyed the papers, without scanning them, of those belonging to the #Windrush generation, quietly deporting them, depriving them of their rights as British citizens. /2
2/ Since the #EUreferendum, it has enabled an environment so hostile that no few blink when an MP is murdered in the street, where #EU27 citizens have been spat on and beaten up in public, and where @the3million are forced to *apply* to remain in their own homes. /3
3/ The right wing has seized on this moment, carefully recruiting the violent and vulnerable to make them feel important, enabled, and politically capable, placing them where they can disrupt emergency services and abuse public figures without immediate action from the police./4
Read 23 tweets
@JamesDelingpole Two issues with your piece.
N°1: you assert, "Britain traded perfectly well for the large chunk of history it has spent outside the EU." This is a spurious argument. The EU didn't exist then. We are going from the best possible trade terms with the EU (SM+CU) to worst (#WTO).
@JamesDelingpole This will not just impact our trade with EU27 + EEA/EFTA4, but also with those countries with trade with via EU FTAs and those countries we trade with on WTO+++ terms, the '+++' furnished by the EU's 759 facilities that improve on #WTO terms.
@JamesDelingpole Only 16% of UK's trade is on WTO terms alone.

You're proposing that we dramatically downgrade 100% of our trade to WTO terms alone, at the stroke of a pen. This is insanity. It has taken decades to reach to position we're in today. No wonder Mogg says 50yrs to recover!
Read 8 tweets
Zero Deal explained:
All UK trade deals (World bridge) were concluded through the EU.
So, if you dynamite the EU bridge, the World bridge goes down with it.
What's left (WTO) is better than nothing -barely tho.
And ofc the UK can rebuild bridges.
Will take (lots of) time&efforts.
To illustrate that bit on "building bridges takes a lot of time and efforts, here's a thread to start to grasp what "FTA negotiation" means.
(Turns out there's a reason it takes years.)
Read 3 tweets
Did you vote Leave?
Are you just tired of the permanent fight between Leave & Remain? Well here is a #Brexit topic both Leavers & Remainers can unite & agree on: the #citizensrights of EU citizens who have made their home in the UK.

No one voted to take away #citizensrights from EU citizens already living in the UK.
No one voted to put 3m EU citizens through almost 1,000 days of uncertainty over their status in the country they made their home.
No one voted to punish their EU neighbours & colleagues.

Whether people voted Leave or Remain they voted in the knowledge of the Vote Leave promise to EU citizens:
- no change for EU citizens
- a new automatic status
- treated no less favourably than at present

Read 9 tweets
I have sympathy for rejecting May's deal in the #MeaningfulVote out of frustration with her style of government. But if you advocate a shock to the political system as a remedy for the current #Brexit impasse, you should be aware that this strategy carries enormous risks.Thread.1
As a German who is convinced of the idea of European integration, and as a historian of Britain's role in world history, I greatly regret the UK's decision to leave. I think #Brexit , whatever form it may take, will damage both Britain and the EU. In fact it already has. 2
But what concerns me even more is the damage that has been done by the #Brexit debate and negotiations to Britain's political system. The government has tried to sideline Parliament, democratically elected politicians have been physically threatened, conspiracy theories abound. 3
Read 12 tweets
Citizens’ Rights Myth Buster

The UK Govt, like @WalkerWorcester here, and UK press in general keep on repeating that the #citizensrights of the EU citizens in the UK have been guaranteed even in case of a #NoDealBrexit.

This myth buster will look these claims in more detail.
Myth 1: #citizensrights in case of no-deal are guaranteed
@Stuart_McDonald busting this myth here: “a unilateral promise from the Prime Minister can be here today & gone tomorrow. [...] it doesn't bind her successors [...] their rights can be repealed at a blink of an eye"
Myth 2: It is a registration process
Often repeated in the press that Settled Status is a registration process:
@Dr_PhilippaW busting this myth: “There should not be an application. Even a registration would suggest something different. An application implies you can be refused"
Read 12 tweets
At the Emmanuel Centre in Westminster waiting for the start of The Convention.
#ThinkAnewActAnew #PeoplesVote #stopbrexit
As I mentioned before, it's a very impressive lineup for @The_Convention_ today.
The inimitable @HenryCPorter (who I've come across on other unrelated campaigns in the past) is opening events now (Lara Spirit, host for the morning is alongside).
Read 110 tweets
1/ The team is in #Eastbourne #Wetherspoons. Within 5 mins of arriving a bitter faced woman comes up to me & orders me "not to disrupt the event or she will vote Leave again in a #PeoplesVote"
I asked her if she was threatening me? 🤔
(At least she is thinking about another vote)
2/ absolutely packed full in #Eastbourne #Wetherspoons. Some holding @LeaveMnsLeave placards. Everyone squeezed in like sardines. I heard a lady whining that Remainers had come. Someone else pulled a pro EU badge off my guitar case and slipped it into their pocket (Beats me?)🤷🇪🇺
3/This lady asks what facts Tim has to show food prices won't rise as a result of #Brexit, as evidenced by the various "commentaries" he dismisses. He claims we don't need to charge tarrifs on anything & then food prices will drop, @Jim_Cornelius taking him to task on his lies
Read 8 tweets
While the UK Govt refuses to secure the #citizensrights of EU citizens in the UK & @BritishInEurope through a bilateral ring-fencing agreement with the EU for the case of #NoDealBrexit they just showed that they are willing to do so with Switzerland.…
The agreement with Switzerland does not only cover indefinite residence rights but also social security coordination, sevices provided & recognition of qualifications - things at risk for EU citizens in the UK & @BritishInEurope in case of no-deal Brexit.…
We are asking @DExEUgov & @Number10gov why is ring-fencing #citizensrights possible with Switzerland when you are refusing so hard to do so for the 3.6m EU citizens in the UK & 1.2m @BritishInEurope with the EU? People's lives are still used as #BargainingChip.

Read 3 tweets
1/ With 2018 drawing to an end we are looking back at a year with many ups and some downs.
2/ In March 2018 the #citizensrights part of the Withdrawal Agreement was finalised.

Though not optimal, especially for our friends the @BritishInEurope who will lose onward movement, for the first time since the referendum EU citizens in the UK had some form of certainty.
3/ Towards the end of 2018 the threat of #NoDealBrexit was growing though. The #citizensrights certainty provided by the Withdrawal Agreement slipping away slowly. Replaced by ‘unilateral promises’ of fewer rights with lesser future protection.
Read 10 tweets
Being in the Single Market & Customs Union means anything made in this country is automatically legal to sell across Europe without checks or tariffs at the border, which lowers the prices for businesses and therefore consumers.
#NoDealBrexit takes us out of that.
The UK makes 1/2 of its own food and gets 1/3 from mainland Europe. It comes in easily, cheaply and quickly because of that system of making rules together.
So when you hear people talking about damage to our food supply and lorry queues at Dover, that's why. #NoDealBrexit
Being an EU citizen means all Brits have the right to live work and love across Europe without having to compete for a visa.
#NoDealBrexit removes the citizenship which 1.4 million Brits rely upon for their right to work in their jobs and live in their own homes.
Read 7 tweets
A 'No Deal' Brexit would pose major problems for the UK construction industry in the short-term & long-term. A brief thread...
#ukhousing #ukconstruction #NoDeal #NoDealBrexit
There are skills issues in UK construction. In 2018 Q3, 82% of contractors reported difficulties recruiting carpenters & joiners, 78% reported difficulties recruiting bricklayers & 63% reported difficulties recruiting plasterers.
#ukhousing #ukconstruction #NoDeal #NoDealBrexit
In 2018 Q3, 70% of main contractors reported difficulties recruiting roofers, 63% reported difficulties recruiting plumbers & half of main contractors reported difficulties recruiting painters & decorators.
#ukhousing #ukconstruction #NoDeal #NoDealBrexit
Read 17 tweets
𝐁𝐫𝐞𝐱𝐢𝐭 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐲
This thread is entirely 2018 analysis and as unbiased as I can make it. Collated as I find a lack of signposts to the raw analysis in the media and political discourse, which are high on spin low on facts. Hopefully this will be helpful.
Tetlow G., Alex Stojanovic A. (2018). Understanding the economic impact of Brexit. 𝐼𝑛𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑡𝑒 𝑓𝑜𝑟 𝐺𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑛𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡. This report attempts to make clear the assumptions that different studies have made, what evidence they have to support them.…
Gudgin G., Coutts K., Gibson N., Buchanan J. (2018) The macro-economic impact of Brexit: using the CBR macro-economic model of the UK economy (UKMOD)𝐽𝑜𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑜𝑓 𝑆𝑒𝑙𝑓-𝐺𝑜𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑛𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑀𝑎𝑛𝑎𝑔𝑒𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐸𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐𝑠 2:7-49
Read 26 tweets
#BrexitChaos - thread: need for definitions:

#NoDeal #nodealbrexit means crashing out: no arrangements with the #EU or other member states, no transition period. Means losing all existing trade deals & years of global negociations
#WTO ≠ trade deal (look it up!) 1/9
@theresa_may #WithdrawalAgreement is the framework for a future #UK #EU future relationship. Allows for an orderly #Brexit with transition period, but leaves many issues to resolve, trade deals and regulations to negotiate, which will take many years and be costly. No "dividend"!
It is possible to #StopBrexit and #Remain. This means staying in the #EU with all current benefits, reciprocal rights and protections, free trade and movement for goods, services and people within the EU. To do this, Govt must #RevokeA50 (Article 50=notice given to #Leave 3/9
Read 10 tweets

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