Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Sep 9, 2020 24 tweets 18 min read Read on X
#ISIS #alQaida - "#Africa is providing them that venue, that safe haven where they can establish themselves" @USSOCOM #Africa Commander MajGen Dagvin Anderson tells @AEI
#AfricaCrossroad_AEI
"We see Islamic State core really needing these affiliates" in #Africa, per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson, adding #alQaida in Africa is even more dangerous, learning from the mistakes #ISIS made in #Iraq #Syria

"They stay below that threshold"
#alShabaab "has become more aligned w/#alQaida...more responsive" per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson
"This is not a threat that one nation can take care of on its own" @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson says of #ISIS #alQaida "We should not underestimate what they're doing"

Says both are threats to the current international order
"They have come in and galvanized these localized groups that were disparate" per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson

#ISIS #alQaida "have the ability to transform the local grievance into an int'l one" he says
US has less than 1,000 personnel working w/#Somalia's forces to fight #alShabab-most of that to help build the #Danab forces, per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson

Also focusing on #alShabaab in #Juba River Valley, where al Shabaab's leadership & external planning ops are
US African partners being forced to invest 15-20% of their GDP in security due to terror threats, which means they are not able to invest that money in other areas like health, education, the economy - #ISIS #alQaida trying to take advantage of the shortfalls, per MajGen Anderson
"The US flag helps build trust. It also builds confidence" in #Africa, per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson
"We're having great effect with a small investment" per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson, also praisinf French forces

#France "has put a lot of blood & treasure into the #Sahel"
"The French are carrying the heavy burden of the fight in the #Sahel" adds per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson
"DoD has continued to conflate competition w/deterrence" in #Africa, Mark Mitchell, ex @DeptofDefense Principal Deputy Asst Sec for Special Ops/Low-Intensity Conflict tells @AEI

"We need to do a much better job of integrating our overall military efforts w/the diplomatic..."
US needs to "look at #Africa as a theater of strategic competition" per Mitchell re #Russia #China
"Where we excel, what special ops' niche is, is enabling out partners" per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson

"That is what other soc-called great powers are unable to do"
"These lines of influence aren't set. They're very fluid" in #Africa, per @USSOCOM Africa's MajGen Anderson
"We have the will & values to engage w/our partners a equals, not to make them feel second class" per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson "That matters"
"If we don't want corrosive dictatorships...then we have to be willing to go out an engage" per @USSOCOM #Africa's MajGen Anderson, adding it cannot be just the US military
"I can't think at any time the VEOs [violent extremism organizations] have benefited from #China or #Russia" in #Africa, per @USSOCOM's MajGen Anderson "That's not in anyone's interest"
"There are places to cooperate" w/#China in #Africa, per MajGen Anderson "I do see opportunities if they are willing to play by the rules"
"We need more energy...We need a coherent narrative & a coherent strategy to engage" in #Africa, per MajGen Anderson "We were brilliant at this during the #ColdWar"
"I think what [#RadioFreeEurope]...#VoiceofAmerica did was absolutely critical" per MajGen Anderson "I know that for a fact..."
"Having unbiased news that we push, that we send out around the world is absolutely vital to what we do" per US Special Ops #Africa Commander MajGen Anderson

"We have the ideals & values that transcend borders that people immigrate to America for"
"Whenever I go to #Africa, there isn't a partner that doesn't ask about how to come study in America, how do I get my kids to America, how do I get there?"
per MajGen Anderson "It's because they believe in what America stands for"
"We've become reticent, I think, to engage in information operations, to engage in news & broadcasts that matter" per MajGen Anderson "That's where as a nation we need to look & not be afraid to talk about who we are as a people"
"That is the strength of America & that is what our founding fathers established & that's what the Statue of Liberty stands for" per US Special Ops #Africa's MajGen Anderson "I don't defend that statue. I defend the words at her feet & the intangibles that that beacon stands for"

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More from @jseldin

Feb 13
ISIS-Somalia has dug in - operating out of Buur Dhexaad, described by the UN sanctions monitoring team as "a strategic base secured by natural caves and defensive structures safe from aerial and ground offensives"
ISIS-Somalia leader Abdul Qadir Mumin has also sought to limit unnecessary exposure while focusing on boosting the affiliate's finances thru increased extortion campaigns, per the UN report
Some of that money has been poured into advanced weaponry and drones

ISIS-Somalia has "employed unmanned aerial vehicles for reconnaissance and limited explosive deployment" per the UN. with an aim at "building suicide unmanned aerial vehicles"
Read 5 tweets
Feb 13
NEW: "Growing confidence" that the global leader of ISIS is Abdul Qadir Mumin, also the head of ISIS-Somalia, per new UN sanctions monitoring team report

"But doubts continued to be expressed by other Member States"
If Somalia's Mumin is ISIS leader Abu Hafs al-Hashimi al-Qurashi, "it may signify a deliberate pivot towards a more decentralized operational structure, further from the core conflict zone" per the UN report
Of the 9 regional offices set up by ISIS, only 2 remain active in Africa:

- the al-Karrar office in Somalia, which serves as a key financial hub
- the al-Furqan office in Nigeria

per UN report
Read 14 tweets
Jan 30
HAPPENING NOW: Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing for Tulsi Gabbard to serve as US Director of National Intelligence
"It’s fair to say Ms. Gabbard’s nomination has generated a bit more interest and attention than do most nominees before this committee" per Senate Committee Chairman, Tom Cotton
"But I want to stress that Ms. Gabbard has been and will be treated with the exact same respect, consideration, and professionalism that we have extended to every other nominee" per Cotton
Read 65 tweets
Jan 10
NEW: US intelligence agencies pushing back vs claims health ailments linked to Havana Syndrome were caused by a foreign adversary

"The intelligence does not link a foreign actor to these events. Indeed, it points away from their involvement" per a US intelligence official
"5 elements of the intelligence community continue to assess that it's very unlikely of foreign actors responsible" per the US intelligence official

BUT 2 intelligence agencies have reevaluated - "shift from unlikely w/low confidence to roughly even chance with low confidence"
The US intelligence official, briefing reporters on the condition of anonymity, describe the shift in view about the possible involvement of foreign adversaries as "subtle" - "They have a low confidence in their judgments"
Read 9 tweets
Nov 20, 2024
NEW: Islamic State-Somalia getting boost from an "influx of foreign fighters"

A just-issued UN sanctions monitoring team report warns the foreign fighters "have expanded and enhanced the group’s capabilities against al-Shabaab"
Influx of foreign fighters to IS-Somalia " has coincided with the re-emergence of the Al-Karrar office as a
key administrative and financial hub for [ISIS] globally" per the UN report
IS-Somalia being led by "a cadre of former al-Shabaab
militants based in the Bari region of Puntland" per UN report

Abdirahman Fahiye Isse Mohamud is the emir of IS-Somalia, per report, "responsible for [ISIS] operations in Somalia"
Read 11 tweets
Nov 15, 2024
NEW: Senate Democrats ask @DeptofDefense @TheJusticeDept to look at Elon Musk's reported contact w/Russian officials - "determine whether this behavior should force a review of Mr. Musk’s
continued involvement in SpaceX’s varying contracts" w/the US government Image
Image
"Communications between Russian government officials and any individual with a security
clearance have the potential to put our security at risk" per @SenatorShaheen @SenJackReed

"We urge you to take appropriate action immediately"
Musk's alleged contacts with Russian officials was first reported by @WSJ, which cited current and former U.S., European and Russian officials
Read 5 tweets

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