From the data for week 36 (in the data report for week 40 here assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
the positivity data for week 36 is:
P1 cases 1096
P2 cases 14167
P1 positivity 0.7%
P2 positivity 4.0%
That's consistent with the graph
Those positivity figures are slightly different from Theo's FOI request, but that is to be expected as figures can be updated. I assume the latest data issue doesn't go *that* far back to be significant
What data do we have on people tested or number of tests carried out?
PHE seem to take on surveillance from the point of cases being recorded, and testing is done by NHST&T so we have to look there (I'm excluding Pillar 4 surveillance testing here)
What is reported on the dashboard?
Let's download the data.
Questions
- are we looking at specimen date rather than processed date?
- is this for England or the UK?
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We may not be able to rely on case data. But here's the latest PHE map of cases. Not now restricted to the north east and the north west - look at London
So if we can't rely on cases, we have to use other metrics.
Here is a graph of admissions to hospital in England.
478 people were admitted today. And the trend is upwards.
What happens if you deteriorate is that you end up in ICU or a High Dependency Unit.
So what's happening there? These are increasing too.
We also know that we are not doing enough testing as the positivity rate is so high (7% overall for Pillar 2 tests and up to 15% in some areas such as Liverpool) (see this thread)
First, note that the Department of Health and Social care is the data controller for Pillar 2 tests. It passes these data to Public Health England, and DHSC are responsible for the data.
The statement says:
"we have identified that 15,841 cases between 25 September and 2 October were not included in the reported daily COVID-19 cases"
"New York City on Wednesday will close public schools and nonessential businesses in parts of Brooklyn and Queens that have registered a week-long spike in coronavirus cases"