1/6. The USA, Oct. 17 to 23 - Will be experiencing a rise in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with high-medium mortality for 7 more days.
New risk map and 5 states detailed.
Data: Johns Hopkins Univ.
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
New risk map and 5 states detailed.
Data: Johns Hopkins Univ.
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/6. New York will be plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at medium levels, with low levels of mortality, for 7 more days. A situation apparently better controlled than currently in Western Europe.
3/6. Texas will be plateauing at high level of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with decreasing although still high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
4/6. Florida will be plateauing again at high levels of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
5/6. California will be plateauing at medium levels of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with medium levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
6/6. Arizona will be experiencing a rise in its #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with decreasing low levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
7/6
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
Mortality assessment:
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50
Safety zone: nb of forecast cases/day < 4.29/100K pop
Mortality assessment:
Very low mortality: nb of forecast deaths/d < 0.05/100K pop
0.05 < Low mortality < 0.10
0.10 < Medium mortality < 0.20
0.20 < High mortality < 0.50
Very high mortality > 0.50
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