[Thread] Covid19 & weather
Research from China points to Ireland being very high-risk for virus spread in winter months. This study linked Spring hot-spot outbreaks (yellow zone) at 5-11°C & low humidity 1/ #Covid19 jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
Research from China points to Ireland being very high-risk for virus spread in winter months. This study linked Spring hot-spot outbreaks (yellow zone) at 5-11°C & low humidity 1/ #Covid19 jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
another study: ‘meteorological factors play independent role in #COVID19 transmission.. Local weather (low temp, mild diurnal temp range & low humidity) likely favor transmission.. each 1°C increase in [temp] related to decline of daily confirmed cases’ 2/ sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
‘Air temperature & humidity indicated to significantly influence transmission of COVID-19’.. the weather two weeks ago was correlated with confirmed new case counts.. epidemiological data were correlated with weather data 14 days ago’ 3/ medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
& the weather also strongly influences human behaviour (more time spent indoors), more heating of buildings, less ventilation & poorer indoor air conditions 4/
https://twitter.com/orla_hegarty/status/1322465921403965440
*low humidity explained:
https://twitter.com/orla_hegarty/status/1322475609558261760
if epidemiologists are ‘surprised’, blaming surge on anecdotal ‘bad behaviour’, it strongly suggests epidemiological models are incomplete/mis-interpreted, & model needs to be interrogated more rigorously by a multi-disciplinary team. #NPHET model has no environmental data 5/
cc @MetEireann @JoannaDonnellyL any plans to report covid high risk conditions like a blight warning?
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
