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4 Nov, 6 tweets, 1 min read
Initial early vote numbers in Cobb:

Biden - 73,526
Trump - 40,951
2016 full early vote in Cobb:

Clinton - 84,596
Trump - 73,550
Cobb Update

Biden - 84,624
Trump - 46,481

That’s more early votes than Clinton got in 2016 in Cobb County, and early in-person doesn’t look like it’s been counted yet.
Finally another Cobb update! Starting to get a few e-day votes in here.

Biden - 109,929 (62.4%)
Trump - 64,082 (36.4%)
More Cobb data. Pretty much all the update here is e-day vote. ~120k early votes left to count here.

Biden - 131,587 (57.1%)
Trump - 95,104 (41.3%)
Final update on Cobb for the night (from me)

Biden - 155,367 (55.6%)
Trump - 119,374 (42.7%)

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More from @gtryan

Ryan Anderson Profile picture
5 Nov
Ok, good afternoon everyone!

There have been a chunk of vote updates so far today, so let's go through them in a reasonable sequence.
First, some of the remaining big-sized counties:

Sumter
Biden - 815 (67.9%)
Trump - 372 (31.1%)

I expected a 530ish vote gain for Biden here, so a little underperfoming.

Putnam
Biden - 652 (47.8%)
Trump - 700 (51.3%)

I expected a 300 vote gain for Trump here, so big Biden win
Next, small updates from counties I thought were done! All of these are net wins for Biden that didn't factor into my projections.

Bartow - 129/125 (+4)
Fayette - 154/62 (+92)
Peach - 54/33 (+21)
Taylor - 83/31 (+52)
Read 7 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
5 Nov
I’ve watched a lot of early vote numbers come in today, and have been tracking the margins vs what existing vote predicts they’d be vs what the deficit is.

Right now Biden’s down by 38,126. I think he’s got ~44,500 margin in the outstanding votes.

Biden wins GA.
Predicted margins by outstanding (big) county:

Chatham - 8,225
Clayton - 5,207
Dekalb - 5,237
Dougherty - 1,740
Fulton - 20,025
Gwinnett - 2,393
Rockdale - 542
Sumter - 533
(Sumter’s not big, but that margin’s worth noting)
Read 4 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
4 Nov
So, interesting data point.

The first batch of Houston County mail ballots have reported. The county was 60/38 in 2016 and pretty much in line with that after early in-person and day-of votes were counted this year.

Mail votes so far:
Biden - 2.026 (55.8%)
Trump - 1,558 (42.9%)
There are still ~20k mail ballots to go in Houston County it looks like, but this was a county that was supposed to help protect against the Atlanta surge.

If Biden is actually making up ground here, it’s going to be real trouble for Trump.
To follow up here, and thanks to @JoshCrawfordNE for the tip, a peek at Jeff Davis County (yeahhhh, that one. problematic)

Small county, not impactful overall.

Full county went 81/18 for Trump.

Just released early vote totals were
Trump - 530
Biden - 520
Read 14 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
4 Nov
Good morning everyone!

As expected we cracked 4 million early votes in the file this morning. We have just over 3.7 million total early votes counted in the Presidential election. So still a little ways to go.
Most of these ballots are in the Democratic strongholds of Fulton and Dekalb, but there are plenty spread around the state as well from D-heavy spots like Clayton and Chatham, to R-heavy counties like Houston.
Trump’s lead is 101,795 at the moment.

A very rough analysis of looking at outstanding ballots by county, and those counties’ voting pattern, and would have Biden netting over 90,000 votes.
Read 5 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
4 Nov
First round of Fulton early vote numbers

Biden - 58,946 (80.2%)
Trump - 13,913 (18.9%)

2016 was:

Clinton - 191,819 (69.2%)
Trump - 77,341 (27.9%)
Fulton update as some more early votes and a handful of day-of votes come in

Biden - 65,941 (78.4%)
Trump - 17,410 (20.7%)
More Fulton data

Biden - 107,662 (76.7%)
Trump - 31,230 (22.2%)
Read 5 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
2 Nov
We had another 30k votes counted over the weekend bringing us up to 3,912,819 total votes cast so far in the 2020 election. Hopefully a big backlog of mail ballot clears today, and we can hit an even 4 million going in to election day.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
And now that we have most of the data, last week some folks sent in questions they'd like to see answered so I wanted to help answer a few of those today.
First up, is a look at the demographic breakdown of early voters compared to 2016. Here's what that looks like. Image
Read 12 tweets

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