Good morning everyone!
As expected we cracked 4 million early votes in the file this morning. We have just over 3.7 million total early votes counted in the Presidential election. So still a little ways to go.
As expected we cracked 4 million early votes in the file this morning. We have just over 3.7 million total early votes counted in the Presidential election. So still a little ways to go.
Most of these ballots are in the Democratic strongholds of Fulton and Dekalb, but there are plenty spread around the state as well from D-heavy spots like Clayton and Chatham, to R-heavy counties like Houston.
Trump’s lead is 101,795 at the moment.
A very rough analysis of looking at outstanding ballots by county, and those counties’ voting pattern, and would have Biden netting over 90,000 votes.
A very rough analysis of looking at outstanding ballots by county, and those counties’ voting pattern, and would have Biden netting over 90,000 votes.
So if Biden can run a little ahead of the county trends in the ballots most likely to be favorable to him he can win Georgia.
Either way, this race is probably going to be decided by under 10,000 votes.
Either way, this race is probably going to be decided by under 10,000 votes.
I should also add, we’re not 100% sure all of the election day vote in Fulton and Dekalb is represented in the numbers yet. That would be another opportunity for Biden to close the gap.
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