Thread by @gtryan

Ok, good afternoon everyone!

There have been a chunk of vote updates so far today, so let's go through them in a reasonable sequence.

First, some of the remaining big-sized counties:

Sumter
Biden - 815 (67.9%)
Trump - 372 (31.1%)

I expected a 530ish vote gain for Biden here, so a little underperfoming.

Putnam
Biden - 652 (47.8%)
Trump - 700 (51.3%)

I expected a 300 vote gain for Trump here, so big Biden win

Next, small updates from counties I thought were done! All of these are net wins for Biden that didn't factor into my projections.

Bartow - 129/125 (+4)
Fayette - 154/62 (+92)
Peach - 54/33 (+21)
Taylor - 83/31 (+52)

The Big B's. Two counties I thought Biden would get votes from but was nervous about because the projections were high.

Bryan County
Biden - 1,696 (56.4%)
Trump - 1,254 (41.7%)

Burke County
Biden - 370 (62.3%)
Trump - 220 (37.0%)

And finally, the counties you care about. More drops in the metro area.

Fulton
Biden - 4,653 (75.9%)
Trump - 1,364 (22.3%)

Clayton (our first drop on their's!)
Biden - 675 (84.8%)
Trump - 114 (14.3%)

A couple more updates

Cobb
Biden - 614 (65.4%)
Trump - 299 (31.8%)

Clayton
Biden - 488 (83.8%)
Trump - 93 (15.9%)

Bunch of random county 1s and 2s (Bryan, Camden, Madison, McIntosh, Randolph)
Biden - 26 (54.2%)
Trump - 22 (45.8%)

Harris County, GA just dropped their mail ballots. This was Trump's last favorable county with a significant number of mail votes outstanding. I estimated Trump winning them by 525. I was wrong.

Results:
Biden - 1,808 (50.4%)
Trump - 1,738 (48.4%)

I'm pretty sure Fulton County is done now pending provisionals and hoo baby was it a doozy.

Results:
Biden - 4,705 (74.6%)
Trump - 1,457 (23.1%)

Also got some small county provisionals in.

Totals
Biden - 31 (43.7%)
Trump - 40 (56.3%)

An update on today's activity

Chatham County, GA (Savannah) has reported.

Results:
Biden - 11,148 (65.4%)
Trump - 5,578 (32.7%)

Also got some more Clayton County in
Biden - 257 (85.7%)
Trump - 36 (12.0%)

Couple smaller counts as well.

Appling
Biden - 10 (52.6%)
Trump - 9 (47.4%)

Fayette
Biden - 34 (60.7%)
Trump - 20 (35.7%)

Floyd
Biden - 112 (46.5%)
Trump - 122 (50.6%)

Taylor
Biden - 190 (66.4%)
Trump - 96 (33.6%)

And Forsyth County just came in.

Results:
Biden - 1,460 (51.6%)
Trump -1,311 (46.3%)

Clayton County, GA is releasing their numbers in batches. Which is both great theater and incredibly frustrating. Regardless, here's the latest batch.

Results:
Biden - 1,154 (86.3%)
Trump - 165 (12.3%)

Here is where we stand on today’s ballot counts.

And now Rockdale County has closed out their mail ballots. Here are those final ballots

Results:
Biden - 803 (77.9%)
Trump - 208 (20.2%)

Another round of ballots in. Clayton is teasing us with this 34 ballot drop, but Forsyth mail ballots continue to be crazy good for Biden.

Clayton County
Biden - 28 (82.4%)
Trump - 6 (17.6%)

Forsyth County
Biden - 219 (65.0%)
Trump - 114 (33.8%)

Looks like the last of the Forsyth County ballots just posted. Trump finally stopped giving away ground there, but

Forsyth County
Biden - 643 (46.8%)
Trump - 673 (48.9%)

Full day's Forsyth count
Biden - 2,322 (51.8%)
Trump - 2,098 (46.8%)

Another tiny Clayton County drop. But they're using the big machines now, so hopefully a bigger update in 30 minutes or so.

Results:
Biden - 117 (81.3%)
Trump - 12 (14.6%)

Ok, I guess this is how we're doing it now, huh Clayton?

It may be a long night to get to the flip...

Results:
Biden - 249 (89.9%)
Trump - 19 (6.9%)