The Bloomberg draft transcript of yesterday's epic Monte dei Paschi call is a pure gem.

It literally starts with:

“(Starts Abruptly)”

And then it only goes downhill. A thread and travel in the absurd.
What about helping clients during Covid?

Sure Monte does great. I'd even say that:

“our support to (Technical Difficulty) rates has been continuous and effective”
But more importantly, will they be able to close the NPL sale transaction?

The answer is very clear:

“with this deal, there is profile of the bank and will strongly improved allowing [ph]Gazit to achieve.”

okaaaay
Let's move on to costs, maybe easier? So what's happening with staff? Are you reducing headcounts?

Again, very clear answer.

” With the impact of the -- exit over 500 insisting employees just for basically.”

I’m not sure they’re insisting to stay in that bank
Maybe you’d like to know how asset quality and cost of risk are doing? Here, you’re welcome, no need to thank me.
“At the moment the bid for right in the danger rate are basically in line with Q2 also thanks to the tax of government to support the measures”
Glad the taxman helped
What about the payment holidays? Everything ok there? Now that's an important topic!

Well, I’ve read this 20 times and still can’t tell what it means.
But on the good side, loan volumes are doing fine. Or are they?

"Almost 1% more than the same period of last year, despite the three muscles down and importantly a 40% quarterly increase"

They certainly flexed their muscles there!
Moving back to important topics, has the ECB approved the NPL transfer deal? All conditions are met?

So, does anyone know why Monte is planning to send investors in Frankfurt? That's odd
I’m also very happy to hear that they sold a basket in Belgium. Was it a basket of eggs or financial indices, I’m not sure.

“In particular, the sale of Monte basket Belgium”
The most important part of the results was the massive legal provision. Why did they take it? Apparently, it was all an insect’s fault.

“Beatle caught by surprise by recent events and that's why we had to book these additional provision”
Then a poor Goldman Sachs analyst asked something about SREP and moratorium. Very clear answer there:

"Thank you, sir. The $9 million was not super”

Sorry, what?
Then, an Unidentified Participant asked an unidentified question.
It made sense that he got, from an unidentified speaker, what we can reasonably call an unidentified answer.
Let me repeat this. There might be an impact on an impact, but it depends on what is happening. Someone else. Sure.
A nice guy from KBW then asks about AT1 issuance. But there is some kind of hydraulic problem stopping the deal, apparently.

"But on the H1 issuance we as part of the hydrous infection we have carved out close to more than [ph]$1 billion in net equity”. "
Then Corinne drops the B word and asks about state aid. Oooh, that’s not very nice. But the management is perfectly relaxed.

“I understand why you ask the question, obviously, it's a very delicate question. So we would prefer not to answer any stage”
Why don’t they answer? Simple, they are not on the same planet!

“Which is why we are (inaudible) we are reviewing our capital planet (inaudible)”
But seriously, is my Tier 2 going to be bailed-in ? please tell me! I WANT TO KNOW. A fascinating dialogue ensues
“(inaudible)"
"I think the 9 that then I think.”
"“Sorry, could you repeat, please."
Then BTIG asks a question about SREP. Or is it about SREP?

“about your threat in 2021"
"there was press speculation that you would breach your scrap"

Honestly, I think both threat and scrap work better than SREP here.
That's all, folks, I hope you enjoyed this little journey in the absurd. All quotes are 100% what's in the transcript!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with JohannesBorgen

JohannesBorgen Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jeuasommenulle

5 Nov
An update post lockdown. Unfortunately, we don't have Google mobility data post-Oct 30th (start date of the lockdown) yet, so let's look at how hospital data changed since then. Quick thread.
From worse to better, let's start with ICU. Incidence and non-parametric fit.

I certainly can't see any change. Image
Confirmed by the statistical analysis of "R" for ICU data which is still hovering around 1.2 Image
Read 9 tweets
31 Oct
This chart is really intriguing.
It looks like:
1) Around mid-September the rising trend reversed in Spain
2) Around mid-October, Madrid diverged from the rest of the country.
Can we explain this with mobility data?
Time at work indeed suggests a different trend for Madrid and the rest of Spain since mid-august (presumably more office work in Madrid that can be done from home?)
But the change is not October
Slight difference in time spent at home, especially as of mid September ; but hard to see the explanation there
Read 6 tweets
31 Oct
I don't know if this is hilarious, scary, or just nuts.
Can you spot the exact day when president Macron announced #Lockdown2 & everyone fled Paris like a plagued city in the Middle Ages?
that's a jump from 81 to 117 in just one day, something that never happened in the data, even during #lockdown1 or when it ended. (Daily changes YTD)
And let's face it, people in Marseille are not too keen about staying there either
Read 4 tweets
30 Oct
An Italian drama could unfold in the next few weeks, with substantial consequences. And, again and again, it's about the (probably not) oldest bank in the world, Monte dei Paschi. What is it about? A quick thread
It all started to unfold when the former CEO & Chairman were convicted earlier this month for accounting fraud (related to the infamous Alexandria etc transactions, worth a thread on their own - btw check who was governor at the BoI back then).
The bank is not directly liable for the conviction of the former CEO & Chairman, but there are many litigations ongoing against Monte Paschi & some of them are related to the capital increases that happened back in the time.
Read 11 tweets
30 Oct
Enough Covid, let's move back to banks. The Spanish CB published a great Financial Stability Report with extremely interesting data - very useful as we approach a possibly new lockdown. A thread.
There is a lot about corporate weaknesses due to Covid - we've all heard about it, so I'll just mention this graph.

Blue is pre-Covid, red & orange are baseline and bad macro scenarios.

In hospi/leisure weak forms employ 70% of the total employment of the sector. Really grim.
The BoS has an interesting model to explain who takes loan moratorium. The bad news is that there is a strong skew towards lower quintiles of revenues etc.

This is not very encouraging for when payment holidays stop
Read 14 tweets
29 Oct
J'étaie un peu plus mon thread sur les mensonges de l'allocution du président hier. Allez, c'est parti, on les prend un par un!
"Et si les efforts consentis ont été utiles"
Mensonge #1 : R a été stable autour de 1.2 depuis 3 mois
"Le virus circule en France à une vitesse que même les prévisions les plus pessimistes n’avaient pas anticipé".

#2 - Quelle farce. Je ne compte plus les prévisions plus pessimistes, à commencer par la mienne
Read 22 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!