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Michael Li 李之樸 Profile picture
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19 Nov, 3 tweets, 3 min read
Census Bureau officials say that the Bureau will not be able to get apportionment numbers to the President until at least January 26 - and possibly later. #2020Census #fairmaps nytimes.com/2020/11/19/us/…
A second effect of this: It would mean that the block-level data needed for redistricting won’t come out until later as well (normally it’s delivered to states mid-Feb to March 31). That will delay redistricting in many states. #2020Census #fairmaps 2/
Census Bureau Director Steve Dillingham’s statement today about the discovery of anomalies while processing census data. #2020Census #fairmaps 3/ census.gov/newsroom/press…

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Michael Li 李之樸 Profile picture
17 Nov
A few years back when I read Christopher Hedges’ “War is a Force that Gives Us Meaning” - which is about the war spirit that envelops and takes over societies in a war - I immediately thought of politics, where something similar happens. 1/
Most anyone who has worked on a campaign has at some point experienced a version of this - where you come to believe that your opponent is capable of anything. Stealing yard signs, violating norms, etc. 2/
Worse, in that war-like moment, it’s easy to get lulled into conspiracy theories. And it’s easy to get pulled into really hating the other side. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Michael Li 李之樸 Profile picture
8 Nov
Having watched a fair amount of political coverage this cycle, one thing that stands out is how few Latino commentators & analysts there were (ditto Asians - but the Latino absence is particularly notable). 1/
To be sure, there were occasional Latino/-a operatives or activists on as guests. But not many - and mostly from Florida.

And really no regular analysts or commentators or reporters with deep experience with the Latino community or issues. 2/
Given the increased diversity of the country, it seems like a huge miss and blind spot - and something to do better on for 2024 because the country is only going to get more diverse. Increased diversity, in fact, is one of the giant stories of this decade. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Michael Li 李之樸 Profile picture
7 Nov
Kamala Harris won’t be the first VPOTUS born after the Immigration Nationality Act of 1965 (she was born in 1964).

But nonetheless this feels like a milestone in many ways - the beginning of the political coming of age for the diverse post-1965 generation. #Election2020
And not just for Democrats - I suspect Nikki Haley - a true child of the 1965 Immigration Act - will run for president in 2024 and that you will see children and grandchildren of the post-1965 wave of immigrants start to make their mark in many political areas. #Election2020
(Yes, yes, I know there was Bobby Jindal but he kind of haplessly flamed out early)
Read 4 tweets
Michael Li 李之樸 Profile picture
3 Nov
A term for #ElectionNight: "Dummymander" - a gerrymander that fails because of demographic or political changes (or both) not expected by the mapdrawer, something we're likely to see a fair bit of tonight in places like Texas. #txlege #fairmaps #Election2020
To be clear, this decade's TX gerrymander was pretty durable, successfully locking out Ds for most of the decade after 2011. But Texas is growing so fast & becoming more diverse so fast, it started failing in 2018. #txlege #fairmaps #Election2020
In the TX House, Rs drew a map to try to lock in a supermajority of 101 seats, which required spreading R voters among a lot of districts. Now, there's a good chance they will lose control of the chamber as a result of demographic & political shifts. #txlege #Election2020
Read 5 tweets
Michael Li 李之樸 Profile picture
1 Nov
A look at Texas turnout by county crossed against the number of registered voters. The suburban counties clearly show up as rocking it this year & there is also strong performance in the big urban counties. But a lot of variation for smaller counties. #txlege #Election2020 Image
Oh, the outlier with super high turnout? That's McCulloch Co. in the Edwards Plateau, which the Texas SoS has at 92.5% turnout (not sure if that is a data error or if they are just really pumped). #txlege #Election2020
The state's lowest turnout as of the end of early voting is Hudspeth Co. in West Texas near El Paso, where just 26.8% of voters have voted. #txlege #Election2020
Read 6 tweets
Michael Li 李之樸 Profile picture
31 Oct
🚨🚨🚨Over 9.7 million Texans voted through the end of early voting on Friday, a turnout of 57.3% of registered voters.

💥💥💥As of the close of polls yesterday, Texas turnout is 108% of its **total** 2016 turnout - with Election Day still to go.

#txlege #Election2020
🚨💥🚨💥The 9.7 million votes cast in Texas so far are the most in any Texas election in history - and 743k more than the 8.97 million votes cast by Texans in 2016 (when the final turnout was 59.4%).

#txlege #Election2020 2/
Here’s the turnout through the end of early voting in the big Texas counties-

Harris: 57.9%
Dallas: 57.2%
Tarrant: 60.2%
Bexar: (to come)
Travis: 64.2%
Collin: 69.2%
Denton: 67.4%
El Paso: 45.4%
Fort Bend: 68.0%
Williamson: 68.9%
Montgomery: 64.0%

#txlege #Election2020 3/
Read 6 tweets

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