I see @fmanjoo has decided that traveling to see distant family this Thanksgiving is “worth it.” Reading his contact tracing experiment👇 is enraging. As an ER doc in a region getting decimated by #COVID19 right now, I have a slightly different take. (1/9)
The missing component of his article is where he considers how his actions & writing about them impacts those outside his bubble & family. Each time a person interacts with those not in their bubble, the odds of getting the virus goes up. It may be small, but it's additive. (2/9)
The actions of 1 person have minimal impact on the pandemic as a whole, or on the ability of a hospital to handle the onslaught of patients to find room to care for. But each time 1 person breaches public health protocols, the odds of initiating a cluster of cases goes up. (3/9)
If this happens many times across many families in a particular area, the caseload starts to go up. In some areas, just a few index cases can set off an irreversible chain of events that leads to a critical lack of resources with which to care for a lot of sick people. (4/9)
I'm living through this scenario right now. My small hospital in rural Michigan is bursting with #COVID19 patients. Every day we start or finish the day full. Nearby tertiary care hospitals are also full. We contact other hospitals to scrounge for the last bed available. (5/9)
Then we wait. We wait for an EMS crew to take our sick patient, trapped in a tin can for 60-90 minutes with an actively shedding #COVID19 patient, to the distant destination. (6/9)
Our crews are working 24 hour shifts, for $15-18/hour, sleepless, to help us manage the fallout from people making seemingly personal decisions that are impacting us all. They are cracking. They may not come through this. They’re my heroes. (7/9)
I am offended for them that Mr. Manjoo would so cavalierly put them at risk to share a meal with his parents. I am also worried that his readers will take comfort in his tracing exercise and take his decision as tacit approval that they may do the same. (8/9)
I am begging them to listen to the CDC and public health experts across the world.

And stay home this Thanksgiving so that we all can share a meal with our loved ones next year. (END.)

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More from @DrRobDavidson

3 Nov
As an ER doc for 20 years, I have only ever wanted my patients to get the care they need. Like many, I have been critical of @realDonaldTrump’s lack of a plan to control #COVID19 & his desire to eliminate health insurance for 25 million. Here’s why I voted *for* @joebiden: (1/11)
It’s not just that he isn’t Trump, although I can’t think of anyone worse that could be President in this moment. Not being Trump isn’t enough to stand in line for hours in a mask just to vote. Biden may be especially suited to lead us out of the darkness at this time. (2/11)
Biden is an institutionalist. He believes in the power of government to makes peoples’ lives better. Government is not everything, but through good governance, it can make a meaningful difference in the lives of everyday Americans. This is especially true of healthcare. (3/11)
Read 11 tweets
25 Oct
I can’t believe it’s come to this: The head of the president’s #COVID19 task force, @Mike_Pence, has an outbreak in his inner circle. As an emergency physician, I can tell you this: The Vice President is putting many lives at risk & must quarantine right away. Here’s why: (1/8)
As doctors we routinely tell our patients and their family members that if they are a close contact of an individual who tests + for #COVID19, they must quarantine for 14 days. We’ve learned that members of @vp Pence’s staff have tested +, yet he’s on the campaign trail. (2/8)
.@CDCgov guidelines are clear, and Pence is in direct violation. He’s not endangering himself, but is endangering anyone with whom he comes into contact. He rarely wears a mask in public, and he could become a vector and #superspreader of @SARSCov2 without showing symptoms. (3/8)
Read 8 tweets
14 Oct
As a doctor who cares for #COVID19 patients the idea #HerdImmunity through infection is alarming. It's been rejected by the head of the NIH as "fringe," but is being embraced by the White House and @realDonaldTrump. Just what is herd immunity? 1/XX nytimes.com/live/2020/10/1…
Herd Immunity is an epidemiological phenomenon achieved when enough of a healthy population is immune through vaccination so that an infectious organism can no longer spread in a population. 2/XX
So what is enough of a population? For COVID19 most experts think around 70% of the population would need to be immune to achieve herd immunity. The range may be 40% to 90%, but it is likely somewhere in between. Currently 10-20% of the US has likely been infected. 3/XX
Read 12 tweets
14 Oct
As a doctor, it's beyond bizarre to see a potential #SCOTUS justice say she'll make decisions about healthcare (eg, denying it to millions) based on #Originalism-what she thinks people in the 1700s would have intended. How different was medicine back then? Read on... (1/11)
In the 18th century, barber-surgeons were still doing blood letting, a common (deadly) practice that gave rise to the barber pole with red & white stripes representing bandages & blood. It'd be 11 yrs before surgeons would separate from barbers & perform medical procedures (2/11)
The 1st vaccine wasn't developed until 1799 (smallpox). Does Judge Barrett support #Medicaid covering the routine immunization of kids against deadly diseases? Would she oppose @realDonaldTrump providing a coronavirus vaccine to us, even tho the founders would be confused? (3/11)
Read 11 tweets
6 Oct
As an ER doc who admitted many new #COVID19 patients on my shift yesterday, the idea that @realdonaldtrump left the hospital early is disturbing & alarming. He's not only putting himself in serious harm, he could kill many others. Here's how: (1/5)
The president wants his fans to think the virus is no big deal. Well, 1 out of 10 COVID patients in his age range die of it. If people his age listen to him & don't take it seriously, that's a huge number who will get the virus. And a huge chunk of them will die of it. (2/5)
Keep in mind, the president's case was severe enough that he was treated with some very serious therapies. His oxygen levels sank to alarming levels. His fever shot up. There's a chance he's setting his own recovery back. At minimum, he's modeling very dangerous behavior. (3/5)
Read 5 tweets
15 Sep
I know we're all now immune to reports of the White House mishandling Americans' health - but this story👇 about them meddling with @CDCgov to alter their weekly reports is an OUTRAGE & will make the job of doctors like me much harder. Here's why... (1/12) washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/…
Everyday in my practice as an emergency physician I rely upon updated studies of various tests & therapies, so that I can best serve my patients. It's called evidence-based medicine & it means relying on rigorous data. Stated simply, patients depend upon it to stay alive. (2/12)
A political aide reportedly applied pressure to tamper with something called the MMWR (Morbidity & Mortality Weekly Report), a digest in epidemiology. This journal has been a critical piece of communication about emerging & established diseases in the U.S. for 90 yrs. (3/12)
Read 12 tweets

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