Sugg resigned because of a policy disagreement, as her resignation letter outlines, but the outright and blunt way the announcement was made by Sunak fits a pattern - this is not a decision that has been debated, discussed, mulled over.
This echoes what has happened with regard to COVID lockdowns - where rebellion has been mounting on the Tory backbenches - enough to make the Tories worried about their majority
And one of the oft-cited problems with the attitude of Cummings to the Tory Parliamentary Party was that he did not take it seriously (and had disgust for many MPs).
Cummings has gone, the problem remains.
Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.
So to the ⛈ - Brexit.
At the time of writing we still do not know if there will be a Deal or not.
But *whatever* there is it's going to be rocky.
There has been no preparing of the ground for a Deal. No explaining of why trade offs are necessary. No softening of the rhetoric on fisheries or level playing or impact on Northern Ireland or anything else...
There has been a little more preparing the ground for No Deal - Gove today saying that any problems will be due to EU intransigence for example - but the Prime Minister has been essentially silent on Brexit for weeks.
When this goes 💥 one way or another - next week probably - it's going to be a sight.
Having not done the work to prepare one or other side for a letdown - not least because the PM seems to not have decided himself - the danger of it all getting politically very nasty are high.
Perhaps all of these tensions in the Tory Party are irreconcilable.
Perhaps modern UK politics has to just be like that, where the cycle of resign, rebuild reputation, and return is faster than before.
Perhaps after 1 Jan it'll calm down, although I doubt it.
But nothing I have seen today gives me any reassurance about what's around the corner.
Indeed it might even underline my theory that simply not deciding anything might be Johnson's tactic...
Next week is shaping up to be one hell of a week in 🇬🇧 politics
It all revolves around parliamentary sovereignty, Tory party shenanigans, and Johnson's need to survive and if that contradicts with doing the right thing
Bear with me - this is messy but important
1/12
Why will it be hellish?
We *know* that there will be a vote on Coronavirus Tier system on Tue 1 Dec, with the system to come into force from the end of 2 Dec
There *might* be a Brexit Deal at the start of next week as well, and Johnson having to OK it or not
2/12
Coronavirus first
I am not well placed to judge whether the Tier system is right (don't @ - reply me about that), but it's enough to say there are 3 grounds for critique
- do lockdowns work?
- does THIS lockdown system work?
- has my town/region been harshly treated?
There's an election happening mid January, and it's going to decide the successor to the leader of the western alliance...
Really!
Well, sort of
No, I am not referring to the start of Biden's term as US President
I am referring to the decision of Germany's CDU to decide who will be its party leader - because whoever that is has an excellent chance to succeed Merkel as Chancellor in September 2021
Don't get me wrong - there might be good reason for not saying anything. But had Verhofstadt still been doing Brexit coordination for the EP you can be sure it would not be this quiet!
I'm sorry for my hard line on grace periods, implementation periods for 🇬🇧, post 1 Jan - but 🇪🇺 must resist them
While I have some sympathy for the mess facing Brits and firms, the cause of this problem is completely and squarely with 🇬🇧 Government
Until 🇬🇧 Govt owns (or is forced to own) the mess it has caused there will be no change
And yes, it might require a metaphorical rubbing of Michael Gove's nose in it, in the bottom of a portaloo on the hard shoulder of the M20. But so be it
As @SnellArthur rightly put it, it's odd that "'taking back control', is giving the French port authorities the ability to bring your economy to its knees"