This morning we have published our letter to @beisgovuk on the UK’s 2030 NDC.

theccc.org.uk/publication/le…

The UK should commit to reduce emissions by at least 68% from 1990 to 2030 - and make clear commitments on international aviation and shipping, climate finance and adaptation.
@AlokSharma_RDG requested our advice ahead of the publication of our Sixth Carbon Budget advice next week (9th December).

We were pleased to provide it, if it helps calibrate ambition before next week's climate ambition summit, when new 2030 NDCs will be the main agenda item.
This would be a serious 2030 UK commitment. Among the most ambitious of any country.

New net-zero targets from China, South Korea, Japan – and (soon) the US are fantastic. But they are mid-century goals. We need short-term ambition too.

Cumulative emissions are what matter.
A geeky technical point, but we are anticipating inventory changes, which will change our understanding of the greenhouse gases that the UK produces. These make a substantive difference.

The 68% we have recommended is equivalent to 70% on the current inventory.
Worth saying that we have framed our advice on the recommended emissions reduction as ‘at least 68%’. The PM can, of course, go further.

We’ve opened the door to use of (serious) international credits for an even more ambitious number, but only if 68% is delivered domestically.
You can think of this as a taster for next week’s @theCCCuk advice. It is based on a wholly new path for UK emissions to Net Zero.

That path is designed to reflect the UK’s ‘highest possible ambition’, within the UK’s particular capabilities, as required by the Paris Agreement.
For a further taster of what you’ll see next week, have a look at this table. Comparing the real-world implications of our new pathway, with the global actions to keep us on track for to Paris by 2030.

If the PM accepts our advice, this is very ambitious indeed.
We will see how the PM responds (I genuinely don’t know what he will decide), but a decent maxim in politics is: don’t ask a question if you aren’t prepared for the answer.

Seeking our advice is a strong indication that the government is prepping an ambitious commitment.
So, over to you @BorisJohnson

Join us next week for our launch of our Sixth Carbon Budget advice
theccc.org.uk/news-insights/…

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More from @ChiefExecCCC

18 Nov
The PM's statement contains a serious set of commitments. If they're delivered, they’ll take a big chunk off UK emissions over the next decade and beyond.

As ever - the detail needs to follow. But for now, I'm pleased. We should celebrate days like this when we get them.
Others have done the detailed commentary (thank you @DrSimEvans). Main thing to say is that this is a vision with some *breadth*.

We’ve become used to piecemeal announcements – this is more like it.
We have meaningful new commitments on transport, power, industry, hydrogen, heat, CCS and woodland creation. It's a statement that a more fully-fledged UK strategy is now emerging.
Read 18 tweets
27 Oct
Tweets have been light recently while we prepare for a very busy period ahead. We’re about to bring you a *lot* of new analysis, insight and commentary.

A rundown of what’s coming up soon from @theCCCuk.

THREAD
There are four themes to our work for the year prior to #COP26

1) Achieving Net Zero in the UK.
2) The UK’s international climate focus.
3) Climate risk and adaptation.
4) New scrutiny of progress

Let’s look at each, starting with the first...
On December 9 we publish our Sixth Carbon Budget advice. It's a biggie: advice on the transition all the way to #NetZero.

New sectoral insights
New investment numbers, profiled over time
New cost / benefit analysis
New Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland pathways
New policy advice
Read 23 tweets
7 Sep
This week brings two important new reports on Net Zero.
The @NetZeroUK report will be published on Thursday (more on that later), but today we have a new report from the @instituteforgov.

A few reflections on the IfG report in this thread.

instituteforgovernment.org.uk/publications/n…
Tom Sasse, one of the report’s authors, has a good thread with the headlines.

This is an important report because it’s a serious review of governance and preparation for Net Zero in government.

The 'governance gap’ is something that we have highlighted in @theCCCUK reports. It’s great to see @instituteforgov look at the issues with their expert eye.
Read 12 tweets
25 Jun
This is our 2020 Progress Report to Parliament.

It is published as the COVID-19 restrictions begin to ease and we begin to get to grips with the economic crisis. Can this crisis be turned into an opportunity?

Resoundingly, yes.

theccc.org.uk/2020/06/25/cov…
Our clear advice to Ministers is to use pro-climate steps as the basis of the UK’s economic and social recovery. Anchor the plan to kickstart the economy in the outcomes that were already implied by the UK’s climate goals.

We already know what must be achieved. So go for it.
Pre-COVID, policy progress this year was notably better than the year before, but not enough to be on track for Net Zero.

We highlight the welcome shift in ambition from the @transportgovuk - and continued progress in Power. But we still need policies to deliver on ambition.
Read 12 tweets
17 Oct 19
👇
We’ve written to the Treasury, ahead of the Budget on 6 November

Our letter covers two important things
1) News that @theCCCuk will offer advice on the 6th Carbon Budget early, in September 2020
2) Our expectations for the @HMTreasury Net Zero review

theccc.org.uk/2019/10/15/com…
We’re going early with our advice on Carbon Budget 6 (2033-37) because we can see that it can play a meaningful part of the UK’s new strategy for decarbonising ahead of hosting COP26 in Glasgow.

A successful presidency rests on demonstrating credible domestic plans for net zero.
Our advice on Carbon Budget 6 is a little bit more than just a new emissions target for the 2033-37 period.

It’s really the detailed ‘net zero’ pathway from today to mid 2030s.

After 2037, there won’t be much more than a decade to the net zero goal. So this is a big deal.
Read 11 tweets
24 Sep 19
Today we are calling on @transportgovuk to bring International #Aviation and #Shipping emissions formally within the UK’s #NetZero target.

It will have the very important effect of establishing a comprehensive legal framework for reducing UK emissions for the first time.
We recommend that the aviation and shipping sectors should themselves reach #NetZero, requiring a major effort from Government and industry. These are international challenges, requiring an international response, but bringing them into the UK target will drive the pace of change
#Shipping emissions can be reduced to zero or near zero through the use of alternative fuels. We have considered the use of hydrogen and ammonia for example.
Read 10 tweets

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