#Moldova: In less than 30 min, the protests are going to start. By means of these protests, the opposition and president elect Sandu are demanding for early parliamentary elections. This thread covers the situation around these protests. THREAD:
1. The major trigger of the protests were the legislative actions of Socialists/Dodon to limit some competences of the President elect Sandu. I explained it here 👇
2. The EU and Romania have signaled their support to the criticism of Sandu and the opposition regarding the limitation of the competences and overall the correctness of legislative process. 👇
3. People are gathering on the main square that is situated in front of the government.
4. The opposition has two demands: 1) the resigning of the government, and as a consequence 2) the triggering of early elections. This seems the most viable way because Sandu’s political allies have insufficient votes to initiate a vote of no-confidence in the parliament.
5. The protests have started. There are thousands of people, who are wearing masks and respect the physical distance (were it’s possible). The stage from which will speak Sandu and other opposition. political leaders is decorated with Moldovan and EU flags.
6. People are chanting “Diaspora, diaspora, diaspora!” thanking for the support. As I wrote yesterday, the diaspora is asked to contribute with donations to back the protests.
7. Because of high political corruption, the current parliament is not deemed anymore as representative and legitimate. Early elections are seen as the only solution.
8. Two important details. First, Dodon/Socialists want early elections too. They invited pro-EU parties to schedule together the elections. Second, president elect Sadu/opposition is willing much sooner early elections to help her party to bring more pro-reform MPs in new parl.
9. The pro-Romanian (reunification) forces pointed to Putin’s Russia as the chief problem. They declared that Russia controls Moldova with the help of Dodon.
10. Sandu’s allies, particularly the Platform DA, is mulling a national strike and longer term protests starting from Dec. 10. This day the Const. Court is most probably going to validate Sandu as president. The nationwide protests/strikes will aim to force the PM to step down.
11. The protests are over. The participants voted on a resolution that requests government’s resigning, the annulment of controversial laws adopted by Socialists and Shor’s group this week, and the triggering of early parl. elections. New protests were announced on Dec. 10. (END)

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More from @DionisCenusa

4 Dec
The president elect Maia Sandu may encounter problems in the relations with Russia. Here is the THREAD (/18):
1.The election of the new Moldovan president inevitably influences FP, but less structurally and more at the institutional level. Objectively, the qualitative transformations in FP began after the fall of the oligarchic regime in the summer of 2019. neweasterneurope.eu/2019/11/13/the…
2.The presidential elections in November 2020 and the victory of Maia Sandu can produce qualitative changes at the level of the president's institution. Therefore, under Sandu's leadership, the president's office needs to escape from "isolation", and less so the country.
Read 19 tweets
3 Dec
#Moldova: President-elect Sandu’s political party managed to mobilize around 100 people so far. The controversial politician Usatii has is backing the today’s protest too. However, his voter base is not in Chisinau. Parliament might try to vote some problematic laws. Read more👇
1) The real size of protests is hard to assess. From the pictures it’s visible that we can’t talk about dozens, but rather hundreds. So, more people might join soon. The protesters wear masks, but the social distance is not respected, as asked for the president-elect Sandu.
2) To read accurate and objective information about the situation in Moldova follow newsmaker.md and moldova.europalibera.org. During the day, I come up with more updates. Stay tuned!
Read 12 tweets
2 Dec
#Moldova: 1) The president-elect Maia Sandu asked people to take to the streets and protest against Dodon and the Socialists Party. Sandu accuses the latter of the attempt to strip the president of the control over the intelligent service.
2) She presented this initiative as a tentative to steal the results of the elections. The protests should start tomorrow. The president-elect condemned harshly Dodon for allegedly trying to serve the interests of the oligarchic groups.
3) Earlier today, the former allies of Sandu, the Platform DA slammed Dodon and the Socialist for stirring inter-ethnic animosities by planning to pass in the parliament the law on a special status for Russian language.
Read 7 tweets
21 Nov
#Moldova: Freshly elected president Sandu made statements that are producing first controversies related to her presidential mandate. The statements referred to Russia and the Moldovan breakaway region. (THREAD)
1. Sandu was asked by @BBCSteveR about the settlement of the Transnistrian conflict. She told that it is necessary to withdraw the Russian peacekeepers from Transnistria. This is not a new request, but depends the modality of saying it. bbc.com/news/world-eur…
2. A first negative reaction came from the Russian Duma. The member of the Committee on International Affairs Elena Panina rejected this idea of withdrawal because it would lead to the “unfreezing” of the conflict. She suggested that the separatist regime will never accept this.
Read 6 tweets
10 Nov
#Armenia: The war in NK is over, but now Pashinyan’s government should survive another “war”, a political one, at home, where the public is deeply disillusioned. The situation is very unstable. This serves the old system that may mull a counter-revolution. ria.ru/20201110/armen…
This situation creates a momentum for the “old system”.
The Armenian President Sarkissian praises Pashinyan and Russia in this interview, and accuses Turkey and Azerbaijan of “continuing the genocide”. armenpress.am/eng/news/10344…
Read 4 tweets
10 Nov
#Nagorno-Karabakh: The ceasefire deal favors Azerbaijan and Russia, and less so Armenia. Here are my takeaways after examining the agreement (THREAD /6):
1. The complete ceasefire comes together with the withdrawal of Armenia from all Azeri territories controlled outside NK - Aghdam (until Nov. 20), Kelbajar region (until Nov. 15); Lachin region (until Dec. 1). The remaining territory (in red circle) is tiny compared to pre-war.
2. Russia comes into play. Its 1970 peacekeepers will be deployed for 5 years, with possible prolongation, in the remaining part of NK and the Lachin corridor (5 km wide). This also will include a “center” for peacekeepers that could be converted into a military base by Russia.
Read 9 tweets

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