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16 Dec, 8 tweets, 3 min read
After COVID-related delays, and switching from an in-person event to a virtual one, finally the @euregistry .eu Web Awards are happening tonight!

Tag: #2020euWA

Live stream, 2000 CET: vimeo.com/event/512302

My blog is one of the 3 finalists in "House of .eu" category

1/8
There are 5 categories, and 3 finalists in each

In "House of .eu" I am up against Visit Italy visititaly.eu and New Eastern Europe neweasterneurope.eu @NewEastEurope

2/8
Trying to compare these three sites is like comparing 🍎 and 🍊!

They're more professional operations, and I do not earn a cent from my blog. I fear I can't begin to match them for quality or quantity of content.

3/8
We all ended up in the final round thanks to a public vote - that's the readers of my blog, and especially followers of mine here - thanks *all* of you. I'm so very happy to even get this far!

But the choice among the final 3 is by a jury alone.

4/8
Back in July I wrote a little more about what the nomination means, and looking back over 15 years of blogging, and more than 2000 posts and 900k words written.

jonworth.eu/jonworth-eu-my…

5/8
If you follow the live stream this evening there will be some 🎶 and the showcasing of some cool projects across all the categories

And - because this is meant to be a gala event - I will be donning my 🤵 - in front of the green screen in my office!

6/8
And best of all?

One of the prizes if you win is two months of advertising at 🥁🥁🥁 Brussels Airport!

And I am a 🚅 advocate...

That could be fun!

7/8
So roll on the show later. And good luck to Visit Italy and @NewEastEurope!

8/8

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More from @jonworth

Jon Worth Profile picture
17 Dec
Thinking further about this...

What the European Parliament has said takes us only as far as Sunday

There are 2 options:
1️⃣ A Deal by then can be ratified 28 Dec by EP
2️⃣ There's nothing by then
What happens with 1️⃣ is pretty obvious

With 2️⃣ it's less obvious

The Council could go to the EP "tough" - we'll keep talking to the last minute, and EP has to stomach Provisional Application
There are two problems here.

First, the Council will be playing the UK's brinkmanship game - and the 27 Member States might be wondering what nasties are buried in the Treaty they didn't spot because time was short
Read 8 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
17 Dec
What does the European Parliament saying it needs the text of a Brexit Deal by the end of Sunday - so as it could ratify it 28 December - really mean?

A quick 🧵

1/7
This is essentially the EP - so quiet and docile in this stage of Brexit - finally saying "enough is enough" in public.

2/7
At one level the EP looks ridiculous - trying to ratify something this complicated in just 4 days of EP time is foolish.

But I think, on balance, they have realised it's still better than the alternatives - that are worse.

3/7
Read 7 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
16 Dec
Both @MichelBarnier & @vonderleyen have spoken of a 'narrow path to a Deal' this week

But what *is* that narrow path?

Think of it like a narrow ⛰ path in Barnier's home region, Savoie 🇫🇷

Settle down, and let me tell you the story "The path to the Deal"
The path ahead lasts 15 days

At the end of the path lies Deal

Rocks or crevices might block the path, slowing you down

Worse still you could fall off the cliff to No Deal

Or you might run out of time to reach your destination, and need some extra bridge to Deal
The locals call the first part of your path POLITICAL AGREEMENT

It lasts between now and Friday 18 Dec

The rough map is known here - fisheries and level playing field are the bumps on the path. A farmer called Johnson keeps sovereignty rocks onto the path
Read 18 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
15 Dec
OK, it can be avoided no more.

This is perhaps the most complex 🧵 on #Brexit I've ever attempted. But this issue really matters.

Business, possibly even lives, depend on getting this stuff right.

It is about the complexity of Brexit delay, and what to do about it.

1/25
If negotiations had gone to plan, it would have worked thus:

1️⃣ 🇬🇧&🇪🇺 agree a Deal, politically
2️⃣ That is then turned into a legally ratifiable text
3️⃣ Both sides then ratify - on 🇪🇺 side Member States and the EP, 🇬🇧 side the Houses of Parliament
4️⃣ Deal in force 1.1.2021

2/25
The problem: we do not have 1️⃣ yet.

And with just over 16 days to go - including 🌲 - we do not have time for 2️⃣ and 3️⃣ and hence no 4️⃣.

We *might* have time for 2️⃣ - and that could prove to be significant (see tweet 7 below), but definitely not 3️⃣ on 🇪🇺 side.

3/25
Read 25 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
14 Dec
If there is one aspect of negotiation tactics people think they understand, it's the idea that forcing the timetable increases the chances of an agreement

The tick-tock, tick-tock of the clock forces the sides together

In Brexit it's not so simple
If the topic of negotiation is between two parties, and is binary in nature, a deadline does work

Take for example two football clubs that might (or might not) transfer a player on transfer deadline day - that's why you get a slew of deals at 5 minutes to midnight
The problem is that Brexit - in this phase - is only partially like that

Yes, there is a hard deadline - if there is nothing *ratified* by 31 December, there will be No Deal

Ireland's Taoiseach Martin says publicly that this is the deadline:
Read 9 tweets
Jon Worth Profile picture
14 Dec
I'd not thought I'd need to be asking this, but here we are...

We know the way through to a Deal with no time, EU side (with provisional application, and a vote in the EP in January), but what about UK side?
The assumption has been that primary legislation would be needed, UK side, and this would need 2-3 days of parliamentary time. Could be reduced to 1 if absolutely necessary.
So with 3 days next week that *could* be used, and 3 between Christmas and New Year, 23 Dec is pretty much the latest a Deal could be struck without making a major procedural headache UK side?
Read 4 tweets

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