Because it's Christmas eve and there's not much else to do whilst sitting in a dark room waiting for small people to go to bed, here's a quick look at today's T&T data.

Covers 10-16th Dec.

Test times much worse, contact tracing continues to improve.🧵

gov.uk/government/pub…
Any graphs this wk are from PHE report. T&T are just providing data update.

Number of people tested up 12% to 1.99m but positive tests up 58% to 174k, incl a v large 67% increase in pillar 2 (community testing, including use of lateral flow tests in those who are asymptomatic).
Big drop in performance for P2 test turnaround times.
- Regional test sites, 36% of results are provided within 24hrs of taking a test, down from 63% the week before.
- For local test sites the drop is from 51% to 22%
- Mobile test sites: from 68% to 48%
- For satellite test centres, 46% of results within 48hrs down from 63% the week before
- For home test kits it's now 38% compared with 64% last week.
And with median time to results increasing, also seeing distances people are having to travel beginning to creep up for regional and local test sites.
I really *hope* that this is not a sign that the system is buckling as case numbers rise but I fear it might be. It is so important for contact tracing and stopping transmission that people with symptoms can get tested and get results in a timely way.

Symptoms predict disease.
In terms of contact tracing.
Of the 139k transferred, an impressive 88% were reached (up from 87.5% last week, and the highest ever).

And 77% of these were reached within 24hrs - highest since wk 2 (in June)
79% of cases provided details of contacts (in line with previous weeks) - identifying 288k close contacts

And along with the last couple of wks, a v impressive 93% were reached.
The timeliness also remains impressive, with over 97% of contacts managed by the national team reached within 24hrs.
That's it. More detailed figures and commentary next week. But now it's time to wrap presents.

For those celebrating, enjoy and stay safe tomorrow.

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More from @ADMBriggs

24 Dec
PHE's weekly flu and COVID surveillance report now out.

Covering 15th-22nd December.

As PHE's Dr Yvonne Doyle says, this is not a normal Christmas. Please don't treat it like one.

gov.uk/government/sta…
As the gov.uk dashboard has been telling us, cases are now well above the second wave peak and despite increased use of LFDs, positivity is also rising fast.
Cases rising in all age groups, particularly 20-59yrs and now there looks to be relatively steep rises in 60-69yr olds.
Read 17 tweets
17 Dec
Test and Trace wk 28 data covering 3/12 to 9/12.

Case numbers up and performance either similar or improving. This is well timed as we head to Christmas.

gov.uk/government/pub…
As is now abundantly clear and has been for some time, case numbers are rising (12% up this week)

(**skip the next five tweets if not interested in the subtleties of pillar 2 testing**)
Number of tests increased this week, as did positivity, but it's getting increasingly hard to disentangle.

In Pillar 2 there were 1,368,539 tests and 1,318,768 individuals tested (so 49,771 tests were people tested >once).

Pillar two tests (community) includes all this:
Read 16 tweets
17 Dec
PHE's COVID surveillance report covering 7th - 13th December landed today.

It's difficult reading.

It's just the second week since lockdown ended but case rates, hosp admissions, and now ICU admissions are all rising, with more deaths inevitable. 🧵

gov.uk/government/sta…
As was clear from the gov.uk daily data, case numbers rising, and doing so quite rapidly.
This is in all age groups (with over case rates in those over 60yrs being a predictor of hospital admissions)
Read 16 tweets
10 Dec
Wk 27 Test and Trace - 26/11/20 to 02/12/20

Performance continues to get better as we come out of lockdown, but case numbers already starting to rise again across some parts of the country.

gov.uk/government/pub…
The number of people being tested has dropped a little, but the number of positive cases has fallen by 13%.
But we know from both PHE surveillance and gov.uk daily data, that T&T case numbers are going to plateau and start rising again next week.
Read 17 tweets
10 Dec
This week's @PHE_uk Flu and COVID surveillance report came out earlier. Covering 30/11 - 06/12

Tl,dr: In the week we came out of lockdown, case rates and hospital admissions are already plateauing nationally and rising in some regions. 😔

gov.uk/government/sta…
As we know, the fall in cases has plateaued and may now be rising.

Lockdown only ended on 2nd December. This is really concerning. ImageImage
The plateauing is in all ages (although perhaps worth keeping an eye on 5-9y/o) Image
Read 15 tweets
10 Dec
My wife is currently getting her COVID vaccine @OUHospitals.

Feeling far more emotional about this than I had expected. #Science #VaccinesWork
And on the day that BioNTech/Pfizer publish their safety and efficacy data in @NEJM.

There's not much in medicine that can give results this stark.

nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
Oh, and apparently the vaccine comes with a whole world of chocolate bourbon biscuits while you wait.
Read 5 tweets

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