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Andrew Follett Profile picture
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6 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
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This thread has really really lowered my already low expectations for academic political scientists.
My point is that Germany TRIED a "center consensus" candidate, Hindenburg, to stop the Nazis from taking over in a multiparty system.

We KNOW that didn't work...and plenty of examples exist of coalition systems empowering extremists both left-and right Image
The response from academics was to say that I wasn't being fair to them and that I was wrong for some reason they refused to specify. ImageImage
In the US, a "centrist coalition" would be running on ideas supported by a VERY small portion of Americans. Most American voters are "extremist" voters. Image

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More from @AndrewCFollett

Andrew Follett Profile picture
6 Jan
I won't sugar coat this...this is a disaster.

If Nov. was Pearl Harbor...we got hit again and lost all carriers.

Our retaliatory options are limited and better employed as shields than swords

But America has survived worse. Here's how we will survive this

#MAGA #2A

1/MANY
First, just the facts about situation.

1: Very soon, Democrats will have (narrow) unified political control of all 3 branches of government and can wreck US.

2: Our country is in an awful position financially due to the Obama spending during the good times.

2/MANY
3: They will greatly escalate "cancellation," likely creating blacklists of people like us.

4: They will use the full force and power of Gov't against us (look up AFP vs Harris), they've been rationalizing it 4 years.

3/MANY
Read 29 tweets
Andrew Follett Profile picture
3 Jan
This is an especially stupid argument...

There's a bunch of things wrong here, let's go point by point.

First off, the gun homicide rate in US is lowest in states with highest gun ownership. Image
Interestingly enough, Wyoming has a murder rate the same as right across the border in more gun-controlled Canada...about a third of the US as a whole.

BC factors giving Canada a low murder rate give Wyoming a low murder rate...and those don't include lower gun ownership.
Similarly, there are many US states that combine very low firearm ownership with very high murder rates.

The highest "state" murder rate in the country is that of Washington, DC, which has a murder rate of 21.8, more than twenty times that of Wyoming
Read 8 tweets
Andrew Follett Profile picture
15 Aug 20
Progressives and their media friends are flat out lying to you about mail in voting.

What they are doing is an EXCEEDINGLY dangerous attempt to delegitimize the 2020 election if/when they lose it.

#USPSsabotage #USPS #MailInVoting #MailInBallots

1/16
First off, mail in voting so far this year has...indisputably...been a disaster.

The NY Congressional race between Maloney and Patel makes this clear.

TWENTY PERCENT of ballots were tossed in that race. TWENTY PERCENT!

queenseagle.com/all/2020/7/17/…

Same thing happened in NJ

2/16 ImageImage
It took SIX WEEKS to declare a victor and (more) progressive candidate refused to concede...went on MSNBC and said “voter suppression is a real thing" in the Dem party.

This happened because #USPS got overwhelemed in a fairly low turnout race relative to general election.

3/16 ImageImage
Read 16 tweets
Andrew Follett Profile picture
26 Jul 20
This is just flat out wrong and the Washington Post should be ashamed.

washingtonpost.com/national/coron…

If I have spare time, I'll write a short novel about all the ways it's wrong.

Reporters continually show their ignorance when they pick a single metric & focus on a single state.
Florida is being treated badly because they have good Sunshine Laws. Other states are FAR worse (like New York and New Jersey), but just aren't publishing the data in a comprehensive format.
For example, here's WaPo mad that DeSantis said the models were wrong about everything.

Here's the WaPo admitting that the models were wrong.

So their position seems to be, "only we can say the models were wrong, even though they're wrong."
Read 20 tweets
Andrew Follett Profile picture
12 Mar 20
Ok, let's explain why the US is in a good position to deal with #WuhanCoronavirus relative to single payer systems thanks to capitalism relative to the Euro healthcare systems we constantly get lied to about.

1/7
The US has about 4 to 6 times as many ICU beds per capita as the UK.

The UK, Italy, and other public systems have almost no surge capacity...as their only means of controlling costs is care rationing.

2/7
The UK has regular "winter crises" from the freaking flu every single year because they increase demand for care, because why not go if its *free* and you already paid for it during taxation?

3/7
Read 7 tweets
Andrew Follett Profile picture
9 Sep 19
This is...not how anything in the Senate works. Let's go through it.

Filibuster: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver via @YouTube
First off, there were ABSOLUTELY Dutch pirates...

They were actually pretty famous, known as the Sea Beggars.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geuzen
It IS true that the Senate’s arcane rules have never been more popular.

The Senate’s 44 standing rules, usually obscured by precedents or made irrelevant by routine waivers, do actually matter.

Of these, the Fillibuster is probably less significant than debate time use.
Read 10 tweets

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