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Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
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21 Jan, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Per Rubio, it's not that Trump base includes many racists-it's that the left is oppressing them: "The overwhelming majority of Americans reject racism, bigotry & discrimination. But they also reject identity politics, which constantly divides us by race, ethnicity, and gender"
Xenophobia & nativism? Not a problem. Problem is Ds are weak on the border. "They are proud we are a nation of immigrants. But they want to have immigration laws that are followed and immigration laws that are enforced."
How about hostility to LGBTQ community & other manifestations of social change? "Most Americans... understand that some have different views or lifestyles. But they resent the effort to demonize, punish, and persecute the traditional values of our Judeo-Christian heritage."
Back here on planet earth, in @PRRIpoll more Rs say Whites & Christians face discrimination than say that re Blacks & Hispanics. ~3/5 of Rs say immigrants are "invading our country" & replacing our culture. 55% Rs say biz should be allowed to discriminate vs gays @robertpjones

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More from @RonBrownstein

Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
13 Jan
As 2nd impeachment looms, the Republican Party paved the way to this inevitable end of the Trump presidency by enabling, excusing & abetting an openly racist & authoritarian president who did not hide his contempt for the rule of law or disdain for democracy
Republicans found reasons to excuse Trump after "very fine people" in Charlottesville; "go back" to House D women of color; calling Black Lives Matter "a symbol of hate"; and repeatedly denigrating the intelligence of Black women legislators & journalists.
Rs found nothing to sanction (& often actively supported) as he weaponized the postal service, distorted the Census, obstructed the Mueller inquiry, blocked Congressional oversight, openly extorted the government of Ukraine, pressured prosecutors, dispensed improper pardons.
Read 17 tweets
Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
3 Nov 20
No one can rule out Trump squeezing out another EC win (if less likely than 16). But win or lose, he's exiling GOP from the places shaping 21st century America. Could lose over 90/100 largest US counties & counties that generate fully 70% or more of GDP. Visible in states too
In 2016, Trump won only 4/20 states where immigrants comprise the largest share of the total population; now he’s at varying risk of losing all four: AZ, FL, GA, TX. He won only 7/25 states w/biggest share of col grads; w/PA, NC, GA teetering, he might win only 4 of them today
Trump won just 5/22 states where White Christians (per @PRRIpoll) are below 45% of pop. He could lose 4 of them: AZ, FL, GA, ~TX. This is spilling onto GOP: after today, Ds could hold 35/40 Senate seats in the 20 states w/highest immigrant % & all 28 in the 14 w/most col grads
Read 4 tweets
Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
3 Nov 20
An E-day thread: For 4 years, Trump has governed as a wartime president for red America, w/blue America, not any foreign adversary as the target. That's provoked an enormous reaction from the diverse, well-educated urban centers & inner suburbs driving eco growth & innovation
Tonight will tell whether it's enough, but the scale of the mobilization from blue America-primarily metro America-is unprecedented. It's measured, for starters, in the record-setting Democratic fund-raising, mostly from small donors in well-educated areas, that's swamped Rs
It's measured in outpouring of celebrity support for Biden: ads from Brad Pitt, @springsteen, Eminem, campaigning by Cardi B, John Legend, Lady Gaga, Common, Spike Lee, Taylor Swift's twitter activism, $-raising reunions by casts of Avengers, Princess Bride, Veep & Happy Days etc
Read 17 tweets
Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
30 Oct 20
One key to the politics of the 2020s may be the interactive effect as two parties diverge across the fault line of welcome or resisting the changes remaking America.
It’s not hard to imagine that by 2024, Dems will be led by presidential nominee Kamala Harris, who is of Jamaican /Indian descent; vice-presidential nominee Pete Buttigieg, an openly gay man; House Speaker Hakeem Jeffries, who would be the first Black person to hold that post.
Much like Obama did in 2008, such a roster would symbolize a changing America in a way that inspires the coalition of transformation—but terrifies many in the coalition of restoration.
Read 6 tweets
Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
30 Oct 20
The bottom line on 2020: the emerging America-the places & people most comfortable w/how the country is changing demographically culturally economically-appear poised to reclaim control over the country's direction after a massive mobilization. theatlantic.com/politics/archi…
That's reflected in the widening Trump deficits w/college + whites & young people, continuing towering deficits w/women of color (even if he gains somewhat w/men) & likelihood he will lose the 100 largest metros by even more than his 15m deficit in 2016.
Trump still has a slim path of massive non-col & non-urban White turnout in key states, but, win or lose, he's further exiling GOP from the places defining 21st century America: it's highly possible that the counties he wins will account for only ~30% (or less) of GDP.
Read 7 tweets
Ronald Brownstein Profile picture
1 Oct 20
Trump's belligerent & dangerous behavior obscured how poorly Biden performed for much of #2020debate. On health care he totally misrepresented his own position-making it sound worse than it is. His lead on health fell dramatically in @StanGreenberg focus groups of debate watchers
Sure it was tough w/Trump hectoring, but Biden not only failed to explain his plans to build on #ACA but said his public option is "only for those people who are so poor they qualify for Medicaid they can get that free in most States." No it's not. It's available for everyone
including those who pay too much for employer provided care. His website: "Whether you’re covered through your employer, buying your insurance on your own, or going without coverage altogether, the Biden Plan will give you the choice to purchase a public health insurance option"
Read 9 tweets

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