Share this page!

Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture
Twitter logo
23 Jan, 6 tweets, 5 min read
#Kerala is seeing a steady increase of new #COVID19 cases & Test +ve rates.
👉It accounts for >40% of all new cases in India
👉Testing is pretty stagnated
👉Vaccination has been at a very low pace too. Only 47K Beneficiaries so far, while neighboring Karnataka did 1.83L
1/
The only solace has been a relatively low mortality rate compared to the rest of the country. This mortality rate has also seen a marginal increase in recent times. There are also discrepancies in reported deaths between some district administrations and the state.
2/
Districts like #Ernakulam, #Alappuzha, and #Pathanamthitta are seeing the maximum increase of new cases in recent days!
3/
#Kerala is the only state in India currently experiencing rising new cases of #COVID19.
4/
An overhaul of its current strategy is warranted. People need to own up some responsibility too. Vaccine-induced herd immunity is years away! State elections are around the corner & it only adds to the risk.
5/5 @shailajateacher @COVID19centre @vijayanpinarayi @CMOKerala
@oommen @MenonBioPhysics @RPrasad12 @vrsrini

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Rijo M John, PhD

Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @RijoMJohn

Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture
20 Nov 20
19 Nov: #India crossed 9M reported #COVID19 cases & 132202 deaths. 4.4L active cases
👉1M new cases & 12.1K deaths added in the past 23 days. The previous 1L cases were added in 18 days.

*⃣Follow this data thread to know important trends national, state & district level*⃣
1/ Image
👉Cases growing at 0.44% (it was 0.57% at 8M)
👉Steady fall in 7-day avg. daily new cases seem to have halted for now
👉Daily active cases still in -ve territory
👉Daily tests averaged 9.3L past 7 days (down from 10.5 at 8M)
👉Daily deaths ~500 (It was 511 at 8M)
2/ Image
👉Growth of tests slightly above that of cases now
👉Daily TPR at 4.2% and has been <5% level for 30 days now.
👉only 5.88 (45.4%) of the 12.96 crores tests so far are RT-PCR
👉Testing (whether RT-PCR or Rapid Antigen) need to increase significantly
3/ Image
Read 13 tweets
Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture
28 Sep 20
27 Sep: India crossed 6M reported #COVID19 cases & 95574 deaths. Only 9.6L active cases
👉Beyond the rosy recovery rates, follow this thread to know important trends upto dist. level that matters
👉1M new cases & 12K deaths were added in the past 11 days

(1/n)
👉Cases growth (1.5%) has decreased considerably over a week
👉7-day avg. daily cases showed some decline & is beginning to look up again
👉Daily active cases rebounding after being in -ve territory for few days
👉Daily tests average 10.8L last week
👉Daily deaths ~1095 (2/n)
👉Growth of tests barely above that of cases now
👉Daily TPR at 8.2% and has shown a marginal decline over the past 2 weeks
👉52% of all tests so far are Rapid antigen
👉Most states do not report test results by type of tests
(3/n)
Read 13 tweets
Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture
24 Sep 20
➡️The discrepancy between the daily testing numbers reported by ICMR & states have been growing steadily & has reached very high levels (2L+) of late!
➡️National TPR needn't be an avg of TPRs across states, as a result
➡️Lot of questions remain unanswered
@ICMRDELHI
(1/n) Image
Follow this thread here which gives plausible reasons but, none conclusive. A summary of important questions below:
1) Are states & ICMR including/excluding certain types of tests & not following a uniform standard in reporting?
(2/n)
2) Are states adding duplicates/retests to its total while ICMR doesn’t?
3) Is ICMR withholding certain tests/test types which states report?
4) Are states ‘deliberately’ inflating reported numbers in the interest of showing low TPR?
5) Only @ICMRDELHI can clarify these

(3/n)
Read 4 tweets
Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture
16 Sep 20
👉15 Sep: India reported 50 lakh+ #COVID19 cases & 82091 deaths
👉Read this detailed thread for important trends national, state & district level that matters
👉10 lakh new cases & 12456 deaths were added in the past 11 days
👉The next 10 lakh cases expected in ~10 days!
(1/n) Image
👉Cases growing at the rate of 2%
👉7-day avg. daily new cases shows a minor decline
👉Daily active cases falling (growth 1.5%)
👉Tests growing at 1.98% & 50% tests are Rapid antigen
👉Daily tests averaged 10.9L past 7 days
👉Daily deaths ~1150 level (2/n) Image
👉Growth of tests keeping at or below that of cases which means tests aren't adequate
👉Avg. daily TPR 8.5% despite using ~50% rapid antigen tests
👉Clearly, this means a lot of undetected cases out there
👉Most states don't report test results by test types
(3/n) Image
Read 11 tweets
Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture
11 Sep 20
👉10 Sep: India crossed 4.5M reported #COVID19 cases & 76304 deaths
👉This thread shows important trends national, state & district level
6.3 lakh new cases & 7735 deaths were added in the past one weeks
About 7.4M tests were done during this period (TPR 8.6%)
(1/n) Image
👉Cases growing at the rate of 2.1% & remained steady over a week
👉Average growth of active cases increased to 1.9%
👉Daily tests averaged 10.6L past 7 days
👉Daily deaths ~1100 level (2/n) Image
👉Tests & cases growing almost at the same rate
👉Of the 5.4 crore tests done so far only about 2.7 crores are RT-PCR
👉Most state daily bulletins do not provide break-up of test results by test type
(3/n) Image
Read 9 tweets
Rijo M John, PhD Profile picture
5 Sep 20
👉India crossed 4M reported #COVID19 cases & 69635 deaths
👉How India got here? Follow this thread for important trends national, state & district level
👉10 lakh new cases & 13707 deaths were added in the past 2 weeks
👉About 13M tests during this period (TPR 7.7%)
(1/n)
👉Cases growing at 2.2% & remained steady over a week
👉7-day avg. daily new cases shows no sign of slowing
👉Daily active cases rebounding (growth 1.7%).
👉Tests growing at 2.4%
👉Daily tests averaged 10.5L past 7 days (47% tests are now RADT)
👉Daily deaths ~1000 level (2/n)
👉Growth of tests > that of cases
👉Daily TPR trending down again
👉Rapid antigen tests constitute approx 47% of daily tests
👉In some states like Delhi & Kerala it's ~70%
👉state should report both tests & +ves by test types in their daily bulletin which most don't do
(3/n)
Read 13 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @RijoMJohn has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @RijoMJohn!

Read all threads by @RijoMJohn