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Maple Leaf Capital Profile picture
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28 Jan, 5 tweets, 2 min read
Good work by @Lucas; here's my latest visual. Think Sushi is >2x undervalued vs. $UNI. $UNI and $AAVE seem to be catching inst. bids, $UNI also trades like pot'l v3 release w/ inside info. FWIW I expect gap to close w/ catalyst w/ $SUSHI on Bentobox, Mirin, & other good stuff 👀
Sushi's fully diluted mkt cap could use work -- it's 250 mm vs. what I pulled. so more like 1.8 Bn USD. This puts UNI's diluted 4-5x more than Sushi. The point still stands. One could argue $UNI should have a premium given being #1, pending catalyst, and broadest reach today
Next pts of differentiation around (a) more pairs onboarding + being the go-to for best degen bets, (b) linking closer to exchanges, (c) L2 adoption when makes-sense, (d) broadening liquidity product set when makes-sense, and (e) cross-chain + CeDeFi stuff when necessary.
It's never easy being a fast-follower, even harder when working to differentiate / topple the king. $UNI / $SUSHI / $1INCH is a welcoming force within AMM + Agg, with other competitors at the tail working to catch up. I'm biased bit can't wait to see what $DODO v2 brings.
Bla I'm an idiot, it should be @0x_Lucas . Apologies ser for the mis-tag I might not make it to the citadel.

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More from @MapleLeafCap

Maple Leaf Capital Profile picture
13 Jan
(0) I’m a little #drunj, so here’s a belated 2021-2025 prediction. It becomes much easier to predict 5-10 years out vs. the next year so apologies for the cop-out. I think the outcome would be bifurcated.
(1) Libra equivalent / ETH 2.0 + L2 / Polkadot set off the flywheel of infrastructure prompting application improvements and vice versa, whereby ecosystems and stacks compete for capital and talent. I personally bias towards open, permissionless blockchains.
(2) 1st iteration killer app / use-case emerges utilizing the valuenet and we go through a 1999-type mania. I don’t know what it is, but it’d have to utilize L1+ #DeFi and does something impossible today. It’d be painfully obvious for anyone active in the ecosystem today.
Read 11 tweets
Maple Leaf Capital Profile picture
24 Dec 20
Continue to like the pace at which the @BreederDodo team iterates + take user feedbacks. Looking forward to v2.0 with more features. A few additional thoughts on how AMM+ may evolve in the next 6 months:
Protocols need clean roadmaps for both 2C and 2B -- 2C is as in a solid interface for all key functions a degen may need (assuming trading isn't disintermediated), and 2B is Biz Dev for POS + best algo / optimization for aggregators.
I could argue that all AMM would need to become aggregators eventually (with private pools), and vice versa -- for when you worked so hard on CAC for a customer, you don't want them leaving to another venue. The same goes for adding lend/borrow, derivative features as well
Read 7 tweets
Maple Leaf Capital Profile picture
16 Dec 20
(0) Since our last report on July 4th, 2020, The #DeFi space and our mental framework had evolved enough to prompt another iteration – a deck about the broader #valuenet and ETH-based #DeFi / #WallstreetAPI. As usual, would appreciate any feedback!

Link: drive.google.com/file/d/1eTuhqn…
(0.5) As #Bitcoin soars to uncharted heights today and hitting sweetest part of adoption S-curve at 3rd to 4th inning, we feel like broader #valuenet + #DeFi concept is barely at top half of first inning. If one is so adventurous, this is likely where the next 100-10,000x is born
(1) @cdixon coined the term “game-theoretic guarantee” for tx offered by L0/L1s (too cogent not to steal) -- this nascent, transparent, market-driven alternative harbors a different cost function vs. the legacy recourse-deterring ones, as seen by the Value-transfer-cost U-curve.
Read 28 tweets
Maple Leaf Capital Profile picture
14 Nov 20
(0) This will be a thread about $DHT, what I deem the prime brokerage /custodian / managerial platform on top of $SNX. While you are at it, if you think you got the chops, make sure to apply to the $500k seed investment to kickstart your fund:
(1) $DHT’s core function very similar to a combo of SS&C, Millennium pod platform, StanChar custodian, and JPM Prime Broker. All the back-end & admin details taken care of, so all a manager needs to do is to generate returns (algo or discretionary)
(2) For any aspiring traders, value-prop is simple – if one has so much alpha, why not leverage that know-how and earn some carry? Those that can, do; those who can’t would just larp / shitpost on youtube / twitter while selling newsletters (you know who you are).
Read 16 tweets
Maple Leaf Capital Profile picture
1 Nov 20
(0) While the progress of L2 is on-going, I think another area within #DeFi is highly interesting today and remains slightly underexplored by buidlers and speculators / investors alike – tools & modularization add-ons ($GRT, $Gauntlet, $KP3R, $GYSR)
(1) In this thread I will give 2 types of directions I see today – (a) B2B type buidler tools like $GRT and $Gauntlet, and (b) process-streamlining / modularization tools like $GYSR and $KP3R. This is not endorsement by any sorts but merely highlighting what’s cool out there.
(2) B2B tools by definition service the buidler community to help them buidl better – and there are 2 areas one can find particularly visible that’s almost blockchain / web3 native: one is faster retrieval of standardized on-chain data, and other being simulation of all sorts.
Read 26 tweets
Maple Leaf Capital Profile picture
24 Oct 20
(0) I’ve been quiet for a while but that’s because the Web3 space today is in serious #buidl mode and I don’t have much to say. Some preliminary thoughts on gov, #DeFi, and CBDC after the past 2-3 months; as usual if I have more time, it’d be more coherent and shorter.
(1) Only users that contribute to network effect of protocol deserves to be rewarded. The pure value provided by a good service (for non-network-effect biz) is good enough for most users, giving them more value-capture is dilutive to protocol value. Most users don’t deserve shit.
(2) Control is needed to retain flexibility in times of shock / need for intervention. #DeFi apps before maturity are not L1/L2 where decentralization is foundational feature. To quote Bo @ Dragonfly, Web2 apps are trains where adjustments to carts & passengers are constant…
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