Share this page!

Godlak 🐽 Profile picture
Twitter logo
29 Jan, 8 tweets, 5 min read
#France * bulletin covid-19 * 29jan2021 link.medium.com/ioYIUDTPrdb

#COVID19 #COVID19france #coronavirus #covidupdate
Synthèse #COVID19france
PCR, tx variation, + etc...
#COVID19france
nouvelles hospi, rea+si+sc, décès, retours et pcr+ avec taux var.
#COVID19france
IDF en force sur PCR...
#COVID19france
hospi & rea+si+sc par classe âge
#COVID19france
données urgences
#COVID19france
mon canal TG sur analyses statistiques covid-19 avec pleins de graphiques :)
t.me/chrisgodlak

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Godlak 🐽

Godlak 🐽 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @ChrisGodlak

Godlak 🐽 Profile picture
30 Jan
#thread follow up to previous thread below
i repeat the same excercise with positivity rate instead of reproduction rate vs stringency index by adding country, week and both effects in the panel regressions
#COVID19
1/n
the graphs:
(notice higher positive rate when stringency stronger)
benchmark: within R² = 5.82%
+country dummies: same
+week dummies = 47.36% (~ x 100 w/r benchmark)
+country & week dum. = as above
again "seasonality" explains most of what is going on in the data
#COVID19
2/n ImageImageImageImage
and so again one can ask if they #lockdown during colder seasons and this makes actually things worse ?
#COVID19
3/3
Read 5 tweets
Godlak 🐽 Profile picture
30 Jan
#thread
Following recent success of this thread (thanks @FatEmperor i guess :)just wanted to get back to this
i will just take the first graph as exemple: it's reproduction rate vs stringency index
panel (country-time in days) regression with random effects
#COVID19
1/n
i put the initial graph as "benchmark" and i add 3 other graphs
panel regression with random effects
with countries dummies included
with weeks dummies included
with countries & weeks dummies included
and we will compare the R² as these are the only changing in this excercise
2/n ImageImageImageImage
in panel regression what is most important is the R² within
adding country effects changes nothing
adding weeks (i.e. time trend or "seasonality" in this context) increases a lot the R² within (~ x100)
adding countries & weeks => same results as with weeks added only
3/n
Read 5 tweets
Godlak 🐽 Profile picture
28 Jan
#thread follow up w/r to several threads related to #COVID19 :
1. stringency index "effects" :
2. #lockdowns :


1/n
3. seasonality in various hospi. data curves
#COVID19

2/n
4. demographics !
yep we have lots of baby-boomers, particularly in Western Europe:
#COVID19

3/n
Read 15 tweets
Godlak 🐽 Profile picture
28 Jan
Inspired by this #thread on #lockdown and #cases in several countries by @tomyhub :
I replicate the same excercise but add 'tests' and hospitalizations along with 'cases'
Here is Lithuania
1/n
 #COVID19
Here is Poland
2/n
 #COVID19 #lockdown
Here is France
3/n
#COVID19 #lockdown
Read 16 tweets
Godlak 🐽 Profile picture
27 Jan
#thread
Comme les données sur les vaccinations et les rdv sont désormais là:
data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/do…
data.gouv.fr/fr/datasets/do…
On peut commencer à visualiser la situation... mais c'est encore tôt !
#COVID19 #covid19france #vaccinationCovid
1/n
Les vaccins et les taux de variations (journalier et hebdomadaire):
#covid19france #vaccinationCovid
2/n
Les vaccins par grande région:
(IDF en force forcément par le nombre)
#covid19france #vaccinationCovid
3/n
Read 11 tweets
Godlak 🐽 Profile picture
25 Jan
Things that makes you go hmm
Reproduction rate vs Stringency index in Europe
overall R² = 2.36%
#Covid_19
Hmm continues
Positive rate vs vs Stringency index in Europe
R²=3.99%
notice fitted values higher for positive rate when stringency index higher
#Covid_19
another hmm
New cases per million vs Stringency index in Europe
R²=1.09%
#Covid_19
Read 20 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @ChrisGodlak has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @ChrisGodlak!

Read all threads by @ChrisGodlak