⚠️ It's Official: Cumulative #COVID19 cases *and* deaths per capita are now higher in Red Counties than in Blue Counties nationally: 1/
acasignups.net/21/01/31/weekl…
Counties w/highest cumul. #COVID19 cases per capita:
1. Crowley County, CO
2. Chattahoochee County, GA
3. Dewey County, SD
4. Lake County, TN
5. Lincoln County, AR
6. Bent County, CO
7. Norton County, KS
8. Bon Homme County, SD
9. Buffalo County, SD
10. Trousdale County, TN
2/
Fully 30% of Crowley County, CO has now tested positive for #COVID19 over the past year (1,816 out of 6,061 residents.
There's 11 counties where at least 20% of the population has tested positive, and 55 counties where at least 15% has.
3/
Counties w/highest cumul. #COVID19 *deaths* per capita:
1. Jerauld County, SD
2. Gove County, KS
3. Buffalo County, SD
4. Dickey County, ND
5. Gregory County, SD
6. Grant County, NE
7. Hancock County, GA
8. Iron County, WI
9. Hamlin County, SD
10. Galax, VA
4/
1 out of every 125 residents of Jerauld County, SD has died (16 out of 2,013).

There's 31 counties where at least 1 out of every 200 residents has died, and 449 counties where at least 1 out of every 400 have.
5/
--There's now just 64 counties (out of over 3,200 nationally) which haven't reported any #COVID19 deaths. Total population? 264,000 people.

--There's now just 3 counties which haven't reported any COVID-19 cases. Total population? 3,070.
6/
Finally, here's what I'm talking about at the beginning of this thread. This graph shows the *ratio* of cases & deaths per capita between red & blue counties.

Cumulative case rates are now 9.1% higher & cumulative death rates are now 0.3% higher per capita in the red counties. Image
Here's how both cases & deaths per capita have spread over time in the Blue & Red counties (defined as counties which voted for Trump or Clinton/Biden by at least 6% or more): Image
And for anyone getting the vapors over my tracking this along "partisan lines", let me remind you that the Trump Administration DELIBERATELY blew off the pandemic last spring SPECIFICALLY because they assumed it would "only be a Democratic area problem".
acasignups.net/20/08/02/updat…
"How dare you track #COVID19 on a partisan basis! Viruses don't care if you're a Republican or Democrat!"

True. HOWEVER...
"How dare you track #COVID19 on a partisan basis! Viruses don't care if you're a Republican or Democrat!"

True. HOWEVER...
statnews.com/2021/01/25/und…
BOTTOM LINE: Partisan lean SHOULDN'T have to be considered when it comes to #COVID19 policy, BUT IT'S DIRECTLY IMPACTING POLICY BECAUSE THE TRUMP ADMIN & THE GOP INSISTED ON POLITICIZING IT ALL LAST YEAR.
That genie can't be put back in the bottle now. "Wearing a Mask" and "Getting Vaccinated" have become “political statements" by the GOP to the point that partisanship has sadly become as vital a data point as age, population density, ethnicity or socioeconomic status.

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More from @charles_gaba

3 Feb
🚨🚨🚨 REMINDER: The Supreme Court *may* save *or* strike down the entire #ACA as early as...TOMORROW MORNING:
acasignups.net/21/01/29/heads…
After #SCOTUS heard oral argument in the absurd GOP-brought, GOP-blessed #TexasFoldEm lawsuit to strike down the #ACA last November, the assumption was that there's no way that they would issue their opinion any earlier than April - June. 2/
HOWEVER, both @shermancourt and @AHoweBlogger have noted that the #SCOTUS website indicates that they're scheduled to issue opinions on several cases "argued in the fall and/or winter" tomorrow (Wednesday) morning.

It's unknown which cases this may include. 3/
Read 8 tweets
1 Feb
How they think: "If the ACA is struck down, it will lead to M4All!"

Reality: If the ACA is struck down, 23 million will lose healthcare coverage, hundreds of thousands will go bankrupt each year, tens of thousands will die each year, and no, M4All still won't happen.
It's important to understand that the SCOTUS decision isn't necessarily all or nothing. A few options would be acceptable. A few would be disastrous. And one in particular would be just a surreal actuarial mess.
Best to worst:
1. SCOTUS throws out entire case.
2. SCOTUS strikes down mandate, leaves everything else.
3. SCOTUS strikes down mandate & guaranteed issue, leaves everything else.
4. SCOTUS rules most of ACA must go; leaves odds 'n ends
5. SCOTUS strikes down EVERYTHING.
Read 9 tweets
30 Jan
🚨 Weekly Update: How #COVID19 has spread across every U.S. State & Territory per capita over time:
acasignups.net/21/01/30/weekl…
Cumulative *cases* per capita:

ND: 1 out of every 8 residents has tested positive
SD: 1 out of every 9 residents
RI, UT, TN, AZ, IA: 1 out of every 10 residents
40 states: More than 1 out of every 15 residents
Cumulative *deaths* per capita:

#COVID19 has now killed 1 out of every 415 New Jersey residents.

1 out of every 450 New Yorkers.

Over 1 out of every 500 in MA, RI & MS.

Over 1 out of 600 in SD, CT, LA, ND, AZ, PA & IL.

1 out of 700 in AR, NM, AL, MI, IN & IA.
Read 5 tweets
29 Jan
🚨 HEAD'S UP: The #SCOTUS may rule on the GOP #TexasFoldEm lawsuit to strike down the entire #ACA as soon as...WEDNESDAY???
acasignups.net/21/01/29/updat…
TO BE CLEAR: The oral arguments in the #TexasFoldEm case *appeared* to go very poorly for the GOP plaintiffs; even Justice ALITO seemed awfully skeptical of their reasoning...
acasignups.net/20/11/11/texas…
Read 7 tweets
28 Jan
📣 UPDATE: 2021 #ACA Open Enrollment is (mostly) BACK, BABY! Here's 7 important things to remember:
acasignups.net/21/01/28/updat…
1. DON'T MISS THE DEADLINE!
This one is a bit confusing at the moment. HC.gov is re-launching Open Enrollment for the uninsured from 2/15 - 5/15 across 36 states; other states have...varying deadlines (see link for updates)
2. MAKE SURE YOU ENROLL IN AN #ACA-COMPLIANT PLAN!
Make sure to enroll using an official #ACA exchange *or* an authorized partner which *only* offers ACA-compliant policies!
Read 10 tweets

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