TO BE CLEAR: The oral arguments in the #TexasFoldEm case *appeared* to go very poorly for the GOP plaintiffs; even Justice ALITO seemed awfully skeptical of their reasoning... acasignups.net/20/11/11/texas…
Ironically, I have a medical appointment which can’t be rescheduled on Wednesday morning, which means if they *do* issue the ruling on the ACA, I’ll be unable to post anything about it until that afternoon.
For those who've asked whether Congress could pass one of the 3 bills to resolve the issue (if necessary) *after* SCOTUS issues their decision: I've been told that it's possible SCOTUS would put a stay on their decision (whatever it is) but that it's unlikely.
Sure enough, here's the SCOTUS page for Wednesday, Feb. 3rd. I don't know where @shermancourt got his info that they'll be giving opinions specifically on fall/winter 2020 cases, but I assume he's confident about that.
As for what happens (and when it happens) *if* #SCOTUS were to strike down the #ACA and *didn't* issue a stay of their ruling, it's not pretty. At all. acasignups.net/20/10/29/if-ac…
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ND: 1 out of every 8 residents has tested positive
SD: 1 out of every 9 residents
RI, UT, TN, AZ, IA: 1 out of every 10 residents
40 states: More than 1 out of every 15 residents
Cumulative *deaths* per capita:
#COVID19 has now killed 1 out of every 415 New Jersey residents.
1. DON'T MISS THE DEADLINE!
This one is a bit confusing at the moment. HC.gov is re-launching Open Enrollment for the uninsured from 2/15 - 5/15 across 36 states; other states have...varying deadlines (see link for updates)
2. MAKE SURE YOU ENROLL IN AN #ACA-COMPLIANT PLAN!
Make sure to enroll using an official #ACA exchange *or* an authorized partner which *only* offers ACA-compliant policies!
For starters, he's explicitly telling HC.gov to re-launch Open Enrollment from 2/15 - 5/15. This includes 36 states; another 3 states (NY, MD, MA) have already re-opened enrollment thru March.
HOWEVER, there's MUCH more good stuff as well! 2/
Assuming I'm interpreting the XO correctly, it appears to include:
--Good riddance to Medicaid work requirements!
--Reversing Trump Admin's horrible 1332 waiver "definition" which lets states blow off patient protections
--Reversing Trump's flooding of the market w/#ShortAssPlans
As I said in my thread: Even under the BEST case scenario we’re likely looking at Thanksgiving before we’re out of this mess. Don’t be shocked at several hundred thousand more COVID deaths even if the new administration does everything perfectly AND there’s full compliance.
Here’s one possible scenario: A precise 2% daily drop in new cases each & every day starting on February 1st. Result if that played out? A total of 700,000 dead Americans by Thanksgiving. (405K pre-1/20/21, 295K post 1/20/21).
Assuming this projection model is accurate, we’re looking at around 5,000 Americans dying on or around 1/29, after which I presume it starts to drop off.
Counties w/highest cumul. per capita #COVID19 cases: 1. Crowley County, CO 2. Dewey County, SD 3. Bent County, CO 4. Lincoln County, AR 5. Lake County, TN 6. Norton County, KS 7. Bon Homme County, SD 8. Chattahoochee County, GA 9. Buffalo County, SD 10. Trousdale County, TN
2/
29% of Crowley County, Colorado has tested positive for #COVID19 to date. Yes, they have a large prison population. Prisoners are still people, as are guards/admin.
3/